Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
The noose is tightening for Empoli while Lazio’s season threatens to implode as the Italian Serie A enters the final four rounds. Placed 19th, Empoli will welcome Lazio, who have now dropped out of the European football slots. Here is our prediction for the match.
It hasn’t been a great season for Empoli and could well end in relegation. Going into this match, they are two points adrift of safety, having only managed four wins in their 34 league games.
In their last outing, Empoli gave a brave fight against Fiorentina but still suffered a 2-1 away defeat. Jacopo Fazzini’s goal counted for little in the end in a match that had Alberto Grassi sent off at the death.
Lazio’s 2-1 win in the reverse fixture marked their fourth straight victory against Empoli. The visitors will look to this form as they seek to rise from a run of just two wins in their last 10 outings. In an entertaining match last time out, Lazio rallied from 2-0 down to hold Parma to a 2-2 draw.
Veteran Pedro Rodriguez scored two late goals to save Lazio from what would have been an embarrassing home defeat. These are tough times for Biancocelesti, who recently got dumped out of the Europa League.
Their poor run has also seen them drop out of European football places in Serie A.
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The Best Betting Odds for Empoli v Lazio Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.5 | 3.6 | 1.83 |
|
|
4.5 | 3.5 | 1.83 |
|
|
4.4 | 3.4 | 1.75 |
|
|
4.5 | 3.4 | 1.83 |
|
|
4.4 | 3.4 | 1.83 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Empoli and Lazio?
Our prediction for the Empoli vs Lazio match is: Lazio to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/05/2025 between Empoli and Lazio in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 14.64% for a win of Empoli against Lazio with odds of 4.8 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Empoli vs Lazio is 20.76% with odds of 3.79 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 64.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Lazio vs Empoli with odds of 1.88 at Betsson.
Empoli - Lazio Prediction and Best Odds:
| Empoli Lazio Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lazio wins | 64.61% | 1.88 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.15% | 2.3 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 34.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Lazio/Lazio | 31.36% | 3 at Betfair |
Empoli vs Lazio Form
Empoli and Lazio's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
65 | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 12 |
|
18
|
31 | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -26 |
Empoli and Lazio Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
24 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
14 Apr 2025 - Serie A
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
1 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
1 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
8 Feb 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
24 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
14 Apr 2025 - Serie A
29 Mar 2025 - Serie A
15 Mar 2025 - Serie A
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Apr 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
17 Apr 2025 - Europa League
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Apr 2025 - Serie A
17 Apr 2025 - Europa League
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
31 Mar 2025 - Serie A
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
10 Mar 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
Empoli vs Lazio Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Oct 2024 - Serie A
12 May 2024 - Serie A
22 Dec 2023 - Serie A
3 Jun 2023 - Serie A
8 Jan 2023 - Serie A
6 Jan 2022 - Serie A
Players list
D. Vasquez
DefenderJ. Sambia
A. Ismajli
T. Campaniello
L. Marianucci
G. Pezzella
L. Cacace
MidfielderJ. Fazzini
ForwardE. Gyasi
I. Konate
L. Colombo
C. Mandas
DefenderE. Hysaj
S. Gigot
A. Romagnoli
M. Gila
G. Isaksen
MidfielderM. Guendouzi
O. Provstgaard
Pedro
ForwardM. Vecino
T. Castellanos
Substitutes
M. Silvestri
F. Brancolini
J. Seghetti
DefenderL. Tosto
J. Sambia
M. De Sciglio
MidfielderJ. Bacci
ForwardT. Campaniello
S. Esposito
I. Konate
A. Furlanetto
I. Provedel
DefenderM. Gila
O. Provstgaard
A. Ibrahimovic
F. Dele-Bashiru
T. Basic
R. Belahyane
M. Vecino
Pedro
G. Isaksen
L. Tchaouna
T. Noslin
Missing players
S. Sazonov
MidfielderN. Haas
Y. Maleh
S. Zurkowski
A. Grassi
L. Henderson
ForwardP. Pellegri
C. Kouame
Patric
N. Tavares
MidfielderM. Lazzari
Most goals and assists
Empoli
Lazio
S. Esposito
(8 Goals)
Pedro
(14 Goals)
, 
T. Castellanos
(14 Goals)
L. Henderson
(5 Assists)
N. Tavares
(9 Assists)
Empoli - Lazio Key Points
- Lazio won seven of their last 10 away matches.
- Half of Empoli’s last 10 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Lazio won each of the last four meetings with Empoli.
- Empoli are winless in 10 home league matches, losing six times.
- 23 goals were scored in the last seven meetings between these two.
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Our Empoli vs Lazio Prediction
There is a high possibility that this will be a high-scoring match. Neither of these teams can afford to drop points at this stage of the season, so we can expect an end-to-end, entertaining match. Half of Empoli’s last 10 matches returned over 2.5 goals, and we could have something similar with their last seven producing a combined 23 goals.
Lazio have dominated this fixture, a trend we expect to continue, as they have the better run of form coming here. Our prediction for Empoli v Lazio is for Lazio to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Empoli Lazio
| Empoli vs Lazio | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli wins | 4 | 4.5 | +12.5% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.6 | +2.9% |
| Lazio wins | 1.91 | 1.83 | -4.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lazio is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.4% and is now 54.6% (2.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Empoli vs. Lazio game!
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Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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