Elena Rybakina vs Elise Mertens Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Australian Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Elise Mertens, the 21st seed, has once again made it to the second week at the Australian Open and will next face fifth seed Elena Rybakina. These two have met seven times previously, and this is their second meeting at a major. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Rybakina has dominated this fixture with Mertens. She has won six times against the Belgian and is unbeaten on hard courts with five victories.
The world number five has gone on to make three tour finals after facing off with Mertens, winning once. She will hope for much of the same as she seeks her second slam title.
Rybakina, a finalist in Melbourne three years ago, defeated Tereza Valentova in the last round.
Elise Mertens will compete in the second week in Melbourne for the first time since 2022. The Belgian, who had lost in the second round in each of her last two appearances, is a former semi-finalist at this major.
She achieved this feat in 2018, and it remains her best-ever result at a Slam. Mertens, whose only win against Rybakina was achieved on a clay surface, is having a strong season.
She has won six of seven matches and is yet to drop a set this week. The world number 21 defeated the qualifier Nikola Bartunkova by the loss of just four games in the third round.
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Elena Rybakina v Elise Mertens Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.16 | 5.25 |
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1.18 | 4.78 |
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1.14 | 5.5 |
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1.13 | 5.2 |
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1.13 | 5.2 |
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Who will win the Elena Rybakina vs Elise Mertens Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Elena Rybakina vs Elise Mertens match is: exact score: 2-1.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Elena Rybakina vs Elise Mertens game on 26/01/2026 of the current WTA Australian Open season:
- Elena Rybakina has a 73.44% chance to win against Elise Mertens according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 1.18.
- Elise Mertens has a 26.56% probability of winning facing Elena Rybakina ⭐ with odds of 6 at Tonybet.
Elena Rybakina vs Elise Mertens Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Elena Rybakina has a 73.44 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | 73.44 % |
| Elise Mertens | 26.56 % |
Elena Rybakina vs Elise Mertens Form
Elena Rybakina and Elise Mertens Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
24 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
22 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
19 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
8 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
7 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
6 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
23 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
21 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
19 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
9 Jan 2026 - United Cup
8 Jan 2026 - United Cup
5 Jan 2026 - United Cup
Elena Rybakina vs Elise Mertens Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
11 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
1 Jun 2024 - WTA French Open
4 Jan 2024 - WTA Brisbane
27 Mar 2023 - WTA Miami
Elena Rybakina - Elise Mertens Key Points
- Rybakina has won six times against Mertens.
- Five of Rybakina’s six wins against Mertens were on a hard court.
- A decider was played the last time Mertens and Rybakina faced off.
- Mertens and Rybakina have won a combined 478 matches on hard courts.
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Our Elena Rybakina vs Elise Mertens Prediction
Our prediction for Elena Rybakina v Elise Mertens is exact score: 2-1. Rybakina has a dominant record whenever she has been up against Mertens. She has won six of their seven duels thus far and is unbeaten on hard courts, winning five times on such surfaces.
Though Mertens has had a strong start to the year, we feel strongly about another win for Rybakina in this fixture. Rybakina, however, is likely to secure victory via a decider, just like she did in their most recent matchup.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.