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Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatek Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA US Open

WTA - WTA US Open

WTA 12 Russia
Ekaterina Alexandrova
01/09/2025 11:00
WTA 2 Poland
Iga Swiatek

Prediction :

 

Swiatek to win in straight sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Second seed Iga Swiatek and 13th seed Ekaterina Alexandrova will face off in the fourth round of the US Open. This will mark the seventh meeting between the two but the first at a major, with the winner drawn to meet Amanda Anisimova or Beatriz Haddad Maia next. Read on for our prediction of the match.

Alexandrova suffered her latest defeat in this fixture this year at Bad Homburg. She lost in straight sets and will be looking to slow down Swiatek’s run in this matchup.

To warm up for the game, she defeated Laura Siegemund, recording a third straight win in three sets and with that securing a record 11th place in the live rankings. The Russian is eyeing a first-ever slot in the US Open quarters.

Swiatek will be out to stop Alexandrova’s rise, to boost her own charge for a second US Open title. The Pole comes into this round as one of the most in-form players at the moment, though her most defeats (2) at Flushing Meadows happened in this round.

She couldn’t defend her 2022 title two years ago, and last year she crashed out at the quarters. This time she’s confident, carrying a nine-game unbeaten run to this outing.

Swiatek dropped just one set in her last eight finished games and has only lost once in 19. Her win against Anna Kalinskaya in the last round was her 52nd of the season, and she’s third in the live rankings.


 

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The Best Betting Odds for Ekaterina Alexandrova v Iga Swiatek Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3 1.4
William Hill
3.3 1.33
Betway
2.75 1.44
Ladbrokes
3.4 1.3
Unibet
3.6 1.29
Check all Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatek odds
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Who will win the Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatek Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatek match is: Swiatek to win in straight sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatek game on 01/09/2025 of the current WTA US Open season:

  • Ekaterina Alexandrova has a 34.03% chance to win against Iga Swiatek according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 3.69.
  • Iga Swiatek has a 65.97% probability of winning facing Ekaterina Alexandrova ⭐ with odds of 1.44 at Betway.

Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatek Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Ekaterina Alexandrova has a 34.03 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Ekaterina Alexandrova34.03 %
Iga Swiatek65.97 %

Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatek Form

Ekaterina Alexandrova and Iga Swiatek Last Matches

Ekaterina Alexandrova Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

30 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
2 :  0
Laura Siegemund

28 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
2 :  0
Xinyu Wang

26 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
2 :  0
Anastasija Sevastova

23 Aug 2025 - WTA Monterrey Open

Diana Shnaider
2 :  1
Ekaterina Alexandrova

22 Aug 2025 - WTA Monterrey Open

Marie Bouzkova
abort
Ekaterina Alexandrova

21 Aug 2025 - WTA Monterrey Open

Linda Noskova
1 :  2
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Iga Swiatek Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

30 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open

Anna Kalinskaya
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

28 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open

Suzan Lamens
1 :  2
Iga Swiatek

26 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open

Emiliana Arango
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

18 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

17 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Elena Rybakina
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

15 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Anna Kalinskaya

Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatek Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Ekaterina Alexandrova

33 %

Iga Swiatek

67 %

26 Jun 2025 - WTA Bad Homburg Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

25 Mar 2024 - WTA Miami

Iga Swiatek
0 :  2
Ekaterina Alexandrova

14 Feb 2024 - WTA Doha

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Compare Ekaterina Alexandrova and Iga Swiatek with our comparison tool.

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Iga Swiatek Key Points

  1. Swiatek is unbeaten in her last nine games.
  2. Alexandrova has a 2-4 record against Swiatek.
  3. In her last 19 matches, Swiatek suffered only one loss.
  4. Alexandrova’s last two losses to Swiatek were in straight sets.
  5. Swiatek has dropped one set only in her last eight completed matches.
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Our Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatek Prediction

Iga Swiatek has the edge in this matchup, having beaten Alexandrova four times in their six meetings. Alexandrova comes seeking revenge, but she will need to work for that. In Swiatek’s current form it will be hard to imagine her dropping even a set in this match.

Swiatek’s last two wins in this matchup were in straight sets, and given her good start at Flushing Meadows, we are backing the same. Our prediction for Ekaterina Alexandrova v Iga Swiatek is for Swiatek to win in straight sets.

Prediction :

 

Swiatek to win in straight sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatek Prediction
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