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by Devesh Jaganath | in World Cup Predictions
Djibouti and Sierra Leone will conclude their 2026 World Cup qualification campaign when they face off in neutral Casablanca on Sunday. The Sharks of the Red Sea are at the bottom of Group A, while the Leone Stars are in third place. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Djibouti entered this group as the clear outsiders to qualify for the World Cup, and that is exactly how things have panned out, as they have only taken one point from their nine games so far.
The Sharks of the Red Sea were outclassed by Egypt (3-0) in midweek and have now failed to score in their last three matches in this competition, while conceding 11 goals in that period.
Given that they do not have a FIFA-approved stadium, Djibouti will not have home advantage here. They lost to their upcoming opponents 2-1 in the reverse fixture last year.
Meanwhile, Sierra Leone have fought valiantly in this qualification campaign, but their hopes of reaching their first World Cup were ended last week when they were beaten 1-0 by Burkina Faso.
Still, with 12 points after nine games, the Leone Stars can be proud of their performance, and a win here would make this their most successful WCQ campaign ever in terms of points earned.
However, the visitors have not won an away game in this competition, while their last victory on the road in any competition was back in October 2023 against Somalia.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Djibouti v Sierra Leone Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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17 | 6.25 | 1.2 |
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15 | 6 | 1.18 |
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13 | 5 | 1.2 |
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15 | 6 | 1.2 |
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9.5 | 5.4 | 1.23 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Djibouti and Sierra Leone?
Our prediction for the Djibouti vs Sierra Leone match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/10/2025 between Djibouti and Sierra Leone in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 17.84% for a win of Djibouti against Sierra Leone with odds of 17.5 at Bwin.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Djibouti vs Sierra Leone is 23.15% with odds of 6.4 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 59.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Sierra Leone vs Djibouti with odds of 1.27 at Melbet.
Djibouti - Sierra Leone Prediction and Best Odds:
| Djibouti Sierra Leone Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sierra Leone wins | 59.02% | 1.27 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.99 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 56.25% | 3 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Sierra Leone/Sierra Leone | 28.5% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
Djibouti vs Sierra Leone Form
Djibouti and Sierra Leone's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
15 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
|
6
|
1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -28 |
Djibouti and Sierra Leone Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
20 Mar 2024 - AFCON
20 Nov 2023 - World Cup
12 Nov 2021 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - AFCON
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sept 2024 - AFCON
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sept 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
Djibouti vs Sierra Leone Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
5 Jun 2024 - World Cup
Djibouti - Sierra Leone Key Points
- Four of Djibouti’s last five matches in this competition have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Djibouti have conceded two or more goals in seven of their last 10 matches.
- Sierra Leone have only kept one clean sheet in their last nine games.
- The reverse fixture between these sides ended with over 2.5 goals.
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Our Djibouti vs Sierra Leone Prediction
Djibouti have known their fate in this competition for a while now, and with only one point in nine games and a whopping 31 goals conceded to date, it’s difficult to make much of a case for them in this match.
Regardless of the outcome here, Sierra Leone have certainly made strides in the right direction during this qualification campaign. With nothing on the line, we’re expecting these sides to throw caution to the wind in hopes of signing off on a positive note. Our Djibouti vs Sierra Leone prediction is over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Djibouti Sierra Leone
| Djibouti vs Sierra Leone | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Djibouti wins | 17 | 17 | 0% |
| Draw | 5.25 | 6.25 | +19.0% |
| Sierra Leone wins | 1.25 | 1.2 | -4.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sierra Leone is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 83.3% (3.3%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Djibouti vs. Sierra Leone game

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.