England - Championship
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by Joseph King | in Championship Predictions
Matchday 41 in the English Championship sees 21st-place Derby County face off against league-leaders Burnley on Tuesday. The surging Rams are involved in a relegation scrap while the Clarets are seeking to win the title. Read on for our match prediction!
Derby head back to Pride Park following a 1-0 away loss to Swansea over the weekend. The defeat snapped a four-match winning streak for John Eustace’s side as they attempt a late-season escape act to avoid relegation to League One.
The Rams currently find themselves just outside the bottom three owing to their superior goal differential as they are even on points with 22nd-place Cardiff.
Derby are on a fantastic run on their home patch, winning their last three on the trot. They’ve seen 30 of their 41 points come at this ground.
Burnley have taken advantage of the recent slip ups from their title-challenging rivals and have leapfrogged both Sheffield United and Leeds into first place. The visitors are on a three-match winning streak and have extended their Championship unbeaten run to 27 games (seven across all competitions).
They conceded a goal in their recent 2-1 away win over Coventry, something that has been a rare occurrence for Scott Parker’s side. In their 40 league fixtures, the Clarets have allowed only 12 goals.
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The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Burnley Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.5 | 3.2 | 1.85 |
|
|
5 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
|
|
4.75 | 3 | 1.95 |
|
|
4.5 | 3.1 | 1.88 |
|
|
4.8 | 2.15 | 2.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Burnley?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Burnley match is: both teams to score - No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/04/2025 between Derby County and Burnley in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.89% for a win of Derby County against Burnley with odds of 5.08 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Burnley is 28.06% with odds of 3.25 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.05% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Derby County with odds of 2.25 at Ladbrokes.
Derby County - Burnley Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County Burnley Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 46.05% | 2.25 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 64.77% | 1.75 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 22.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Burnley | 27.6% | 4.75 at Betsson |
Derby County vs Burnley Form
Derby County and Burnley's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
100 | 46 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 53 |
|
19
|
50 | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | -8 |
Derby County and Burnley Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
2 Apr 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Apr 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
14 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Apr 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
4 Apr 2025 - Professional Development League
31 Mar 2025 - Professional Development League
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
28 Mar 2025 - Professional Development League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Apr 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
4 Apr 2025 - Professional Development League
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
18 Mar 2025 - Professional Development League
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
10 Mar 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
31 Mar 2025 - Professional Development League
28 Mar 2025 - Professional Development League
25 Mar 2025 - Professional Development League
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
4 Mar 2025 - Championship
Derby County vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
Derby County against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Burnley
J. Yates
(10 Goals)
J. Brownhill
(18 Goals)
N. Mendez
(4 Assists)
,
J. Yates
(4 Assists)
, 
C. Forsyth
(4 Assists)
J. Anthony
(8 Assists)
Derby County - Burnley Key Points
- The reverse fixture ended in a 0-0 draw.
- Burnley have kept a clean sheet in 28 of their 40 league matches (70%).
- Derby have kept a clean sheet in three of their last five home matches, including the last two in a row.
- Seven of Derby’s last nine have seen at least one side keep a clean sheet.
- 17 of Burnley’s last 21 matches across all competitions have seen at least one team keep a clean sheet.
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Our Derby County vs Burnley Prediction
It can’t be overstated just how solid Burnley have been on the defensive side of the ball this season. Keep in mind that the record for fewest goals conceded in a Championship season is 30, while Burnley currently have allowed 12 with six games left.
Meanwhile, Derby have seen a dramatic uptick in form in recent weeks and could prove to be a handful for the visitors. Additionally, the hosts have improved defensively with clean sheets in back-to-back home games. Our Derby County vs Burnley prediction: both teams to score - No.Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Burnley
| Derby County vs Burnley | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 3.9 | 4.5 | +15.4% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.2 | -8.6% |
| Burnley wins | 1.9 | 1.85 | -2.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Burnley is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.6% and is now 54.1% (1.4%)
Use the Derby County vs. Burnley game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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