Derby County vs Bolton Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions
Derby County will go in search of a first win since September, when they host Bolton Wanderers in the Championship. The Rams are 23rd in the league standings, six places and 10 points behind Bolton. The visitors haven’t enjoyed a lot of their trips here, but we will be backing them in this prediction.
Derby are struggling to match their highest standards set last season when they finished eighth. It was expected they would step up this term, but having managed one win thus far tells a different story.
Of their 14 league games, the Rams have lost nine and drawn four. They are coming off a 4-0 thumping at home against Norwich, the third time in five matches that they’ve conceded four goals.
Bolton Wanderers will come here to pile on to the pressure, but there is more than just that. The Trotters will also be looking to end their poor away run in this fixture.
The last time these two sides faced off Derby carried the day, winning that League One encounter 1-0 back in 2024. The Rams actually have a good record in this fixture, especially when hosting it.
Bolton have suffered six straight defeats away to Derby and won none of the last 10. The last of them was in a lower league, though, and here they’ll look to build on a run of four away matches unbeaten, winning three. The latest of them was a 1-0 win at Charlton.
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Derby County v Bolton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.38 | 3.55 | 2.70 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.55 | 2.78 |
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|
2.33 | 3.55 | 2.78 |
|
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2.33 | 3.55 | 2.78 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.55 | 2.78 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Bolton?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Bolton match is: Bolton wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/11/2026 between Derby County and Bolton in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.69% for a win of Derby County against Bolton with odds of 2.47 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Bolton is 29.11% with odds of 3.6 at Roobet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Bolton vs Derby County with odds of 2.82 at Shangrila.
Derby County vs Bolton Form
Derby County and Bolton's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
17 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -7 |
|
23
|
7 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -18 |
Derby County and Bolton Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2026 - Championship
31 Oct 2026 - Championship
24 Oct 2026 - Championship
17 Oct 2026 - Championship
14 Oct 2026 - Championship
10 Oct 2026 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2026 - Championship
17 Oct 2026 - Championship
10 Oct 2026 - Championship
12 Sept 2026 - Championship
9 Sept 2026 - Championship
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Oct 2026 - Championship
24 Oct 2026 - Championship
14 Oct 2026 - Championship
19 Sept 2026 - Championship
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
1 Sept 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2026 - Championship
31 Oct 2026 - Championship
23 Oct 2026 - Championship
17 Oct 2026 - Championship
13 Oct 2026 - Championship
10 Oct 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Oct 2026 - Championship
23 Oct 2026 - Championship
10 Oct 2026 - Championship
12 Sept 2026 - Championship
8 Sept 2026 - Championship
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2026 - Championship
17 Oct 2026 - Championship
13 Oct 2026 - Championship
20 Sept 2026 - Championship
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
1 Sept 2026 - Championship
Derby County vs Bolton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
25 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Mar 2024 - League One
27 Dec 2022 - League One
13 Apr 2019 - Championship
29 Sept 2018 - Championship
Derby County vs Bolton last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Vickers
DefenderS. Duffy
J. Robinson
MidfielderF. Bilbija
L. Travis
ForwardR. Brewster
C. Blackett-Taylor
L. Salvesen
M. Fuseini
D. Harrington
DefenderB. Davies
G. Larrazabal
MidfielderR. Rodrigues
D. Watson
L. Brunt
ForwardT. Bair
K. Dong
T. Gale
Missing players
C. Forsyth
C. Taylor
M. Clarke
D. Murkin
E. Cashin
S. Langas
MidfielderL. Travis
ForwardP. Agyemang
C. Forino
MidfielderE. Erhahon
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Bolton
S. Szmodics
(3 Goals)
, 
B. Clark
(3 Goals)
S. Dalby
(6 Goals)
B. Clark
(2 Assists)
G. Larrazabal
(3 Assists)
Derby County and Bolton Stats in Championship
Derby County - Bolton Key Points
- Bolton are unbeaten in four games, winning three.
- Bolton have won four more league games than Derby.
- Derby are winless in their last nine home matches.
- Derby have bagged just one point from the last five league games.
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Our Derby County vs Bolton Prediction
Derby County will be desperate to return to their past form against Bolton at home. That might not come to pass, though, as Bolton are in a better run of form, especially when playing away from home. The visitors are unbeaten in four away league games, winning three.
So far they haven’t enjoyed much in the season, and their case has been even tougher at home with Derby’s only league win coming on the road. In this state, our prediction for Derby County v Bolton Wanderers is that Bolton wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
