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Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osaka Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA US Open

WTA - WTA US Open

WTA 18 Australia
Daria Kasatkina
30/08/2025 09:40
WTA 24 Japan
Naomi Osaka

Prediction :

 

Osaka to win in straight sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Naomi Osaka’s chase for a third US Open title has gained momentum. In the third round, she’s set to meet Daria Kasatkina, a match that will mark their third career meeting. The winner will progress to face Magdalena Frech or Cori Gauff, and below we have a prediction.

Kasatkina reached the fourth round at Roland Garros and at the Australian Open, a feat she’ll want to match at least. This season, however, the third round has been her toughest, losing seven times in 10 matches at that stage.

After battling through three sets to beat Kamilla Rakhimova, a tougher match awaits. The Australian’s fears will be justified, having lost twice against Osaka. She comes here on a 19-19 record and placed 14th in the live rank.

The last time Osaka reached the third round at Flushing Meadows, she went on to win the title. The Japanese will be desperate to bring back those times. A two-time winner here, Osaka has shown the right mentality to go for the kill.

She arrived here as a losing finalist in Montreal and has the momentum to go all the way. The 27-year-old hasn’t been dropping a lot of sets and has spent less time on the court compared to her opponent.

The second-round win against Hailey Baptiste moved Osaka to a 29-12 record for the season, and she’s 23rd in the live rankings.

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The Best Betting Odds for Daria Kasatkina v Naomi Osaka Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
4 1.25
William Hill
4 1.25
Betway
4.25 1.22
Ladbrokes
3.8 1.25
Unibet
3.7 1.29
Check all Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osaka odds
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Who will win the Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osaka Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osaka match is: Osaka to win in straight sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osaka game on 30/08/2025 of the current WTA US Open season:

  • Daria Kasatkina has a 24.71% chance to win against Naomi Osaka according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 4.25.
  • Naomi Osaka has a 75.29% probability of winning facing Daria Kasatkina ⭐ with odds of 1.29 at Unibet.

Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osaka Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Daria Kasatkina has a 24.71 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Daria Kasatkina24.71 %
Naomi Osaka75.29 %

Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osaka Form

Daria Kasatkina and Naomi Osaka Last Matches

Daria Kasatkina Last matches
L W L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

28 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open

Daria Kasatkina
2 :  1
Kamilla Rakhimova

25 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open

Daria Kasatkina
2 :  0
Elena-Gabriela Ruse

10 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Daria Kasatkina
1 :  2
Lucia Bronzetti

31 Jul 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Marta Kostyuk
2 :  1
Daria Kasatkina

29 Jul 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Anna Blinkova
0 :  2
Daria Kasatkina

5 Jul 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Daria Kasatkina
0 :  2
Liudmila Samsonova
Naomi Osaka Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

28 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open

Hailey Baptiste
0 :  2
Naomi Osaka

26 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open

Greet Minnen
0 :  2
Naomi Osaka

7 Aug 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Victoria Mboko
2 :  1
Naomi Osaka

6 Aug 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Naomi Osaka
2 :  0
Clara Tauson

5 Aug 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Elina Svitolina
0 :  2
Naomi Osaka

3 Aug 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Naomi Osaka
2 :  0
Anastasija Sevastova

Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osaka Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Daria Kasatkina

0 %

Naomi Osaka

100 %

11 May 2024 - WTA Rome

Daria Kasatkina
0 :  2
Naomi Osaka

18 Mar 2018 - WTA Indian Wells

Naomi Osaka
2 :  0
Daria Kasatkina
Compare Daria Kasatkina and Naomi Osaka with our comparison tool.

Daria Kasatkina - Naomi Osaka Key Points

  1. Osaka’s last six wins were in straight sets.
  2. Osaka won eight times in her last 10 matches.
  3. Osaka’s two wins against Kasatkina were in straight sets.
  4. Kasatkina suffered seven defeats in her last 12 matches.
  5. Kasatkina has only four wins in 10 hard court matches.
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Our Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osaka Prediction

Judging from Naomi Osaka’s form earlier in the season, this should have been Kasatkina’s chance to get a measure of revenge. However, Osaka has her mojo back and comes here as the favorite, and it seems history will favor her again.

Kasatkina was not comfortable at all in her second-round match. That mirrors her performance in the third round this season. She hasn’t done really well, and another defeat seems to be loading here. Our prediction for Daria Kasatkina v Naomi Osaka is for Osaka to win in straight sets.

Prediction :

 

Osaka to win in straight sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osaka Prediction
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