England - Premier League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Joseph King | in Premier League Predictions
Matchday 10 of the 2025-26 English Premier League season sees fifth-place Chelsea hosting seventh-placed Sunderland at Stamford Bridge. The Blues are looking to extend their winning run while the Black Cats come to London trying to build on their excellent start.
Following a stellar result in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday, Chelsea head back out in front of the home fans with the chance to notch their fifth victory in a row across all competitions. The hosts are now up to 14 points in the standings, putting them just one point behind surprise package Bournemouth and five points off leaders Arsenal.
Sunderland fans will be all smiles with a fifth of the campaign already in the books. They likely couldn’t have envisioned a much better start with their team having accumulated the same number of points as their opponents today at 14. The goal for the season will have been to survive the drop and Sunderland have already built up a nine-point lead over the bottom three.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Sunderland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.42 | 4.75 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.6 | 9 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.6 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.38 | 5 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.35 | 5 | 9.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Sunderland?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Sunderland match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/10/2025 between Chelsea and Sunderland in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.49% for a win of Chelsea against Sunderland with odds of 1.42 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Sunderland is 15.39% with odds of 5 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Sunderland vs Chelsea with odds of 9.5 at Unibet.
Chelsea vs Sunderland Form
Chelsea and Sunderland's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
|
7
|
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Chelsea and Sunderland Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
30 Sep 2025 - Champions League
27 Sep 2025 - Premier League
23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
30 Sep 2025 - Champions League
27 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Sep 2025 - Premier League
17 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
22 Aug 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sep 2025 - Premier League
21 Sep 2025 - Premier League
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sep 2025 - Premier League
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Chelsea vs Sunderland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 May 2017 - Premier League
14 Dec 2016 - Premier League
Chelsea - Sunderland: Form Analysis
The floodgates opened for Chelsea following Ajax’s red card after just 17 minutes into the first half. The Blues took full advantage, blasting five goals past the Dutch side to cruise to a 5-1 win at home in the Champions League and win their fourth game in a row across all competitions.
Chelsea have won their last two on the bounce in the Premier League after their thrilling 2-1 home win over Liverpool was followed up with a comfortable 3-0 away win over struggling Nottingham Forest.
The fans will be hoping to see their team's good goalscoring form continue. Chelsea have netted 11 goals in their last four appearances and have scored in every fixture after being blanked by Palace in the season opener.
14 points from the first eight matches marks Sunderland’s joint-best start to a Premier League campaign.
After an eight-year absence, Sunderland have marked their return to the English top flight in scintillating fashion. They bounced back from a 2-0 away loss to Manchester United with a 2-0 home win over fellow promoted side Wolves for their second win in the last three outings.
Much of Sunderland’s early success can be attributed to their superb showing at the Stadium of Light, where they’ve taken 10 points from a possible 12. As for their away form, the visitors have scored just a single goal and lost twice in four appearances.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Chelsea vs Sunderland last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
L. Colwill
B. Badiashile
M. Gusto
MidfielderD. Essugo
C. Palmer
ForwardL. Delap
D. Fofana
D. Cirkin
A. Alese
L. Hjelde
O. Alderete
MidfielderR. Mundle
H. Diarra
Chelsea & Sunderland Squad Analysis
Youth was the name of the game for Chelsea against Ajax as manager Enzo Maresca fielded an incredibly young team. At just 22 years and 163 days, the starting 11 for Chelsea was the second youngest in Champions League history by an English side.
The kids delivered, with 18-year-old Brazilian wonderkid Estevao’s performance in particular drawing praise from the media and Maresca himself, who said he feels “lucky to be his manager.”
Maresca is still dealing with quite a long injury list with no fewer than six players unavailable.
The most notable absences include Cole Palmer, Levi Colwill and Liam Delap. We should see a return to the starting lineup for Joao Pedro and Pedro Neto, while Estevao, Jamie Gittens and Alejandro Garnacho will be competing for the other opening on the wing.
Sunderland manager Regis Le Bris is missing a few key pieces as well. Romaine Mundle, Habib Diarra and Dennis Cirkin are among the five injuries that the visitors will have to deal with.
Special attention will have to be paid to Granit Xhaka, who has been one of Sunderland’s most influential players of the season so far. The former Arsenal and Bayer Leverkusen midfielder leads the team in most passing metrics, including assists (3), big chances created (4), passes per 90 (46.1) and accurate long balls per 90 (4.9).
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Sunderland
E. Fernandez
(4 Goals)
, 
M. Caicedo
(4 Goals)
W. Isidor
(3 Goals)
R. James
(4 Assists)
G. Xhaka
(3 Assists)
Chelsea and Sunderland Stats in Premier League
Chelsea - Sunderland Key Points
- There have been under 2.5 goals scored in all four of Sunderland’s Premier League away matches this season.
- Chelsea have scored five goals in four home league matches, compared to 11 on the road.
- The hosts have created only five clear cut chances at home in the Premier League.
- Seven of Sunderland’s nine games this season have seen under 2.5 goals.
- Sunderland rank 16th in expected goals (7.5) and have the second best defense in the league (6 allowed).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Chelsea vs Sunderland Prediction
Chelsea will be coming into this match with plenty of momentum but they’ll face a stern test here in Sunderland. Goals on the road have been to come by for Sunderland but they have the ability to make this a tough day at the office for the hosts with their defensive prowess.
While we still expect Chelsea to get the three points, it could wind up being a low-scoring match. At better than evens, this price represents some solid value. Our Chelsea vs Sunderland prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Chelsea vs Sunderland - Other Interesting Predictions
Chelsea to win
Use £/€50 free bets for the Chelsea vs. Sunderland game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Chelsea and Sunderland? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Premier League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
