Portugal - Taca de Portugal
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Football Predictions
Benfica will put a pause to their Primeira Liga engagements for a trip to second-tier side Chaves in the Portuguese Cup. The two sides are enjoying strong starts to the season, both in the top three of their respective leagues. We have a prediction for the match below.
Chaves will go into this game on a high, having tasted no defeat in their season so far. The hosts beat Paredes 2-0 in the first round and will have a familiar foe for the second.
Last season, with Chaves in the topflight, they lost both legs against Benfica. They’ve, however, avoided defeat in two of their last three home matches against Benfica, winning one.
Their 1-0 win over Vizela last time out was their third straight, with a clean sheet.
Jose Mourinho's return at Benfica has been marked by a shaky start. Under the veteran Portuguese manager, Benfica have posted two wins in five matches.
They failed to score in the latest two, losing one, but this will be a much more manageable game. The Eagles played to a 0-0 draw with FC Porto in their last outing before the international break.
Having won four of the last five matches against Chaves, this is a game Benfica would need at this point in time. It will be their third straight match away from home, and Benfica will hope it sets them on a run of stable results.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Chaves v Benfica Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13 | 6.25 | 1.17 |
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13 | 6.5 | 1.17 |
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13 | 5.5 | 1.18 |
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13 | 6 | 1.18 |
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12 | 6.4 | 1.16 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chaves and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Chaves vs Benfica Lisbon match is: Both teams to score – No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/10/2025 between Chaves and Benfica Lisbon in Taca de Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.95% for a win of Chaves against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 13 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chaves vs Benfica Lisbon is 29.6% with odds of 6.5 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Chaves with odds of 1.22 at LSbet.
Chaves - Benfica Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chaves Benfica Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 45.45% | 1.22 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 66.34% | 2.4 at Betfair |
| Both Team To Score | 37.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Benfica Lisbon | 19.56% | 4 at Unibet |
Chaves vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Chaves and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Segunda Liga
28 Sept 2025 - Segunda Liga
20 Sept 2025 - Taca de Portugal
14 Sept 2025 - Segunda Liga
30 Aug 2025 - Segunda Liga
22 Aug 2025 - Segunda Liga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Segunda Liga
14 Sept 2025 - Segunda Liga
22 Aug 2025 - Segunda Liga
10 Aug 2025 - Segunda Liga
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Segunda Liga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - Segunda Liga
20 Sept 2025 - Taca de Portugal
30 Aug 2025 - Segunda Liga
16 Aug 2025 - Segunda Liga
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
26 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
20 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
12 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Aug 2025 - Champions League
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
20 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
20 Aug 2025 - Champions League
16 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
Chaves vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal
4 Nov 2023 - Liga Portugal
15 Apr 2023 - Liga Portugal
29 Oct 2022 - Liga Portugal
25 Feb 2019 - Liga Portugal
27 Sept 2018 - Liga Portugal
Most goals and assists
Chaves
Benfica Lisbon
R. Maximiano Rodrigo
(4 Goals)
V. Pavlidis
(11 Goals)
D. Lukebakio
(3 Assists)
Chaves - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- At least one side failed to score in these teams’ last five meetings.
- Chaves scored in only three of their last 10 meetings with Benfica.
- Both teams scored in only two of Benfica’s last five matches.
- Only one of Chaves’ last five matches had both teams scoring.
- FC Porto failed to score in their last two away matches.
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Our Chaves vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
These two sides are meeting for the first time in a game outside the Primeira Liga confines. Chaves will be looking to extend their fine start to the season. They have the second-best defence in the second tier and will hope this plays out against one of the best teams in the topflight.
Benfica have also been solid defensively in the Primeira Liga. As two solid sides meet, we may not have a very entertaining match as far as goals are involved. That’s why our prediction for Chaves v Benfica is: Both teams to score – No.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chaves Benfica Lisbon
| Chaves vs Benfica Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chaves wins | 15 | 13 | -13.3% |
| Draw | 9 | 6.25 | -30.6% |
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 1.08 | 1.17 | +8.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Benfica Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 92.6% and is now 85.5% (-7.1%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Chaves vs. Benfica Lisbon game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Chaves and Benfica Lisbon when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Taca de Portugal!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
