England - League One
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by Ian John in League One Predictions
Charlton Athletic will face Leyton Orient in the League One Playoff Final at Wembley on Saturday, 25th May. It will be the fourth meeting between the Addicks and the U’s this season and all the previous games have been closely-fought contests. What will our match prediction be for this season-defining London derby?
Charlton finished their regular League One season in fourth place in the table. The Addicks took 85 points from their 46 games, scoring 67 goals and conceding 43. Opponents Leyton Orient finished in sixth place in the table, taking 78 points from their 46 games. The U's scored a joint-second-highest 72 goals in the league, conceding 48.
The three matches between the two this season have seen Charlton win both league contests, 1-0 away at Leyton Orient and then 2-1 in the home fixture. However, Leyton Orient won 2-0 away to Charlton Athletic in the Football League Trophy in that competition.
However, with promotion into the Championship on the line, this will be the most important game between the two teams in their history.
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The Best Betting Odds for Charlton Athletic v Leyton Orient London Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 3.1 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.2 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.15 | 3 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.15 | 3.45 |
|
|
2.13 | 2.97 | 3.41 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Charlton Athletic and Leyton Orient London?
Our prediction for the Charlton Athletic vs Leyton Orient London match is: Under 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score - No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/05/2025 between Charlton Athletic and Leyton Orient London in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.91% for a win of Charlton Athletic against Leyton Orient London with odds of 2.25 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Charlton Athletic vs Leyton Orient London is 19.2% with odds of 3.28 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Leyton Orient London vs Charlton Athletic with odds of 3.5 at Betfred.
Charlton Athletic vs Leyton Orient London Form
Charlton Athletic and Leyton Orient London Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 May 2025 - League One
11 May 2025 - League One
3 May 2025 - League One
26 Apr 2025 - League One
21 Apr 2025 - League One
18 Apr 2025 - League One
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 May 2025 - League One
3 May 2025 - League One
18 Apr 2025 - League One
5 Apr 2025 - League One
29 Mar 2025 - League One
15 Mar 2025 - League One
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - League One
26 Apr 2025 - League One
21 Apr 2025 - League One
12 Apr 2025 - League One
1 Apr 2025 - League One
22 Mar 2025 - League One
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2025 - League One
10 May 2025 - League One
3 May 2025 - League One
26 Apr 2025 - League One
21 Apr 2025 - League One
18 Apr 2025 - League One
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - League One
26 Apr 2025 - League One
18 Apr 2025 - League One
5 Apr 2025 - League One
27 Mar 2025 - League One
8 Mar 2025 - League One
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2025 - League One
3 May 2025 - League One
21 Apr 2025 - League One
12 Apr 2025 - League One
8 Apr 2025 - League One
1 Apr 2025 - League One
Charlton Athletic vs Leyton Orient London Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Mar 2025 - League One
10 Dec 2024 - EFL Trophy
17 Aug 2024 - League One
Charlton Athletic - Leyton Orient London: Form Analysis
Charlton’s recent form in League One and the Playoffs is very good, with just one defeat in their last ten games, that coming in a 3-0 defeat away to promoted Wrexham on the penultimate weekend of the season. The Addicks then secured fourth spot in the table, and a playoff berth, with a 3-1 win over Burton Albion.
Wycombe Wanderers would be Charlton’s semi-final opponent.
A tight first leg at Adams Park saw the game finish goalless and then in the second leg at the Valley, it was Matt Godden’s opportunistic finish near the end of the game that was enough for the Addicks to reach the final with a 1-0 win on the night.
Leyton Orient’s form heading into the Playoff Final is excellent. The U’s are unbeaten in their last nine games, winning six and drawing three. They finished their season with a 1-0 home win over Wycombe and then a 4-1 away win at Huddersfield Town to earn a place in the playoffs.
The U’s would face Stockport County over two legs in their semi-final.
The first leg saw a controversial 2-2 draw at Brisbane Road, with the second leg in Stockport finishing 1-1 after extra time following a dramatic game. Orient though held their nerve on penalties to earn a spot in the final this weekend.
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Charlton Athletic & Leyton Orient London Squad Analysis
Both sides have positive news on the injury front ahead of their League One Playoff Final meeting.
Charlton saw Chuks Aneke return from suspension in the second-leg win over Wycombe, and the ex-Arsenal striker will also be available to play at Wembley.
Manager Nathan Jones will likely adopt the same 3-4-1-2 formation he used in the second leg against Wycombe to great effect. This could open the door for someone to partner Matt Godden in attack after Tyreece Campbell didn't impress in that role against Wycombe.
Aneke could come in for Campbell for the Addicks, to partner Godden in attack.
Leyton Orient did not pick up any further injuries following their two-legged semi-final penalty victory over Stockport County.
Manager Richie Wellens will likely keep his flexible 4-2-3-1 formation, with Charlie Kelman, the leading goalscorer in League One this season, spearheading the attack.
Ethan Galbraith will likely continue at right back ahead of Thomas James, while striker Randell Williams will likely have to settle for a place on the bench.
Most goals and assists
Charlton Athletic
Leyton Orient London
M. Godden
(18 Goals)
C. Kelman
(24 Goals)
T. James
(1 Assists)
,
D. Jaiyesimi
(1 Assists)
Charlton Athletic - Leyton Orient London Key Points
- Eight of the last ten matches between these two teams have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- Charlton and Leyton Orient have both scored in just three of the last ten matches between the two teams.
- Both teams have scored in just two of Charlton's last six matches.
- The last six matches between these two teams have produced just nine goals in total.
- Charlton have won both league matches between the two teams this season (1-0 and 2-1), but Leyton Orient won the Football League Trophy match (2-0).
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Our Charlton Athletic vs Leyton Orient London Prediction
Our prediction for the Charlton Athletic vs. Leyton Orient League One Playoff Final is: Under 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score - No.
Playoff finals can be dramatic or dour, and recent history between these two London rivals suggests a tight, close, and nervy game is more likely. Recent games between the two teams have been very close, with both teams in good form. Data suggests it may be one goal, or even extra time and penalties, that is required to split the teams. So, backing the Under 2.5 Goals and BTTS-No looks the best bet here.
Charlton Athletic vs Leyton Orient London - Other Interesting Predictions
Charlton Athletic Wins the Trophy
Having said the data shows that a goal-filled game is unlikely, the fact that extra time and perhaps penalties are likely means that backing a full time result is tricky. As such, we've used the flexibility offered by the To Win the Trophy/Promotion markets available to back Charlton Athletic to be the team to earn promotion via the playoffs, either in normal time, extra time or via penalties.
The Addicks have a strong playoff record, winning the League One Playoff Final back in 2019, and having beaten Orient twice in the league, they should be the more confident team of the two.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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