Europe - Conference League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in Conference League Predictions
Celje will look to complete their task and progress when they play Lugano in the third qualifying round of the 2025-26 UEFA Conference League after winning the first leg by a 5-0 score. This second-leg match will be played on Thursday at Stadion Zdezele and comes with our prediction of a home win. The winner of this two-legged tie will be in the playoffs, where the winner of Banik Ostrava vs Austria Wien awaits.
Celje started in the first qualifying round of the Europa League this season, but after losing in the second qualifier in that competition, they dropped down to this stage. Lugano started in the second qualifier of the Europa League, and after losing to Cluj, they dropped down a tier to this qualifier.
The Slovenians followed their first-leg win with a 3-0 domestic win at the weekend, making it three victories in a row. All three wins came with a clean sheet, so there’s enough defensive stability for Celje to be confident of a result here.
Lugano bounced back from the first-leg smashing defeat by winning 3-1 at home against Basel last weekend. That helped them bounce back from four defeats in a row, but the task of bouncing back here still remains huge.
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The Best Betting Odds for NK Celje v FC Lugano Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.15 | 3.5 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.1 | 4 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.75 | 3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between NK Celje and FC Lugano?
Our prediction for the NK Celje vs FC Lugano match is: NK Celje wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/08/2025 between NK Celje and FC Lugano in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.4% for a win of NK Celje against FC Lugano with odds of 2.19 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between NK Celje vs FC Lugano is 24.98% with odds of 4 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.62% chance ⭐ for a win of FC Lugano vs NK Celje with odds of 3.2 at 22bet.
NK Celje vs FC Lugano Form
NK Celje and FC Lugano Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - Prva Liga
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3 Aug 2025 - Prva Liga
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
27 Jul 2025 - Prva Liga
24 Jul 2025 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - Prva Liga
27 Jul 2025 - Prva Liga
24 Jul 2025 - Europa League
17 Jul 2025 - Europa League
2 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Prva Liga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3 Aug 2025 - Prva Liga
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
20 Jul 2025 - Prva Liga
10 Jul 2025 - Europa League
18 May 2025 - Prva Liga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - Super League
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3 Aug 2025 - Super League
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
27 Jul 2025 - Super League
24 Jul 2025 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - Super League
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
27 Jul 2025 - Super League
24 Jul 2025 - Europa League
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2025 - Super League
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
18 May 2025 - Super League
15 May 2025 - Super League
4 May 2025 - Super League
21 Apr 2025 - Super League
NK Celje vs FC Lugano Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
Most goals and assists
NK Celje
FC Lugano
F. Kovacevic
(4 Goals)
A. Grgic
(1 Goals)
, 
A. Papadopoulos
(1 Goals)
, 
G. Koutsias
(1 Goals)
, 
O. Doumbia
(1 Goals)
A. Grgic
(1 Assists)
,
R. Steffen
(1 Assists)
NK Celje - FC Lugano Key Points
- Celje won their last three fixtures, each coming with a clean sheet.
- Celje won their last two home games.
- Lugano lost four of their last five games, one of those after extra time.
- Lugano lost three of their four recent trips, although one of those saw them level during regular time.
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Our NK Celje vs FC Lugano Prediction
Celje added a bit of gloss to their win in the first leg with a couple of goals beyond the 80th minute. The 5-0 lead gives them more than a bit of comfort and makes them strong favourites to progress. The visiting Swiss team have been struggling for results recently, although they had a bit of a morale boost with a victory last weekend.
That may prove to be a tough act to repeat here, as the hosts look strong to continue their run. Our NK Celje vs FC Lugano prediction is NK Celje wins the match.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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