England - Carabao Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath in Carabao Cup Predictions
On Tuesday night, Cardiff City will play host to Swindon Town in the opening round of the 2025-26 Carabao Cup. This is the first competitive fixture between the Bluebirds and the Robins since 2003. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Cardiff City’s best run in the Carabao Cup came in 2011-12 when they were beaten on penalties in the final by Liverpool. They have only been eliminated in the first round in one of the last four seasons.
The Bluebirds suffered relegation from the Championship last season, but have started their League One campaign positively, beating Peterborough 2-1 before a stalemate away to Port Vale.
The hosts are unbeaten in their last five home matches (W2 D3), three of which were competitive games.
Meanwhile, Swindon Town won the EFL Cup way back in 1968-69 by beating Arsenal, but they have been eliminated in the first round of the competition in each of the last 10 seasons.
The Robins ended last season winless in their final three games and have made a mixed start this term, losing their opening match 2-1 to Walsall before beating Cambridge 3-2 this weekend.
Over their last 10 away competitive matches, the visitors have a record of five wins, two draws and three defeats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Cardiff v Swindon Town Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.62 | 4 | 5 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.33 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.9 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.2 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.5 | 5.75 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Cardiff and Swindon Town?
Our prediction for the Cardiff vs Swindon Town match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/08/2025 between Cardiff and Swindon Town in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.9% for a win of Cardiff against Swindon Town with odds of 1.88 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Cardiff vs Swindon Town is 35.55% with odds of 4.5 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Swindon Town vs Cardiff with odds of 6.5 at Betfred.
Cardiff - Swindon Town Prediction and Best Odds:
| Cardiff Swindon Town Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 35.55% | 4.5 at Unibet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.81% | 1.94 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 57.14% | 1.73 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 14.95% | 7 at Unibet |
Cardiff vs Swindon Town Form
Cardiff and Swindon Town Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2025 - League One
2 Aug 2025 - League One
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2025 - League One
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Apr 2025 - Championship
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2025 - League One
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - League Two
2 Aug 2025 - League Two
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - League Two
3 May 2025 - League Two
21 Apr 2025 - League Two
12 Apr 2025 - League Two
1 Apr 2025 - League Two
22 Mar 2025 - League Two
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2025 - League Two
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Apr 2025 - League Two
Most goals and assists
Cardiff
Swindon Town
R. Kpakio
(1 Goals)
,
R. Colwill
(1 Goals)
W. Wright
(1 Goals)
,
D. Oldaker
(1 Goals)
,
H. Smith
(1 Goals)
, 
A. Drinan
(1 Goals)
Cardiff - Swindon Town Key Points
- Seven of Cardiff’s last 10 matches across all competitions ended with both teams scoring.
- Cardiff have scored two or more goals in seven of their last eight matches.
- Seven of Cardiff’s last 10 competitive home games ended with both teams scoring.
- Each of Swindon’s last four matches across all competitions ended with both teams scoring.
- Swindon have only failed to score in one of their last seven competitive away games.
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Our Cardiff vs Swindon Town Prediction
Cardiff City endured one of their worst seasons in recent memory in 2024-25, but they have made a positive start to this campaign and will want to keep building momentum in the early season.
Swindon are expected to find it tough against higher division opposition, but they have fared well on the road either side of the summer break, only failing to score in one of their last eight away matches. Our Cardiff City vs Swindon Town prediction is both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Cardiff Swindon Town
| Cardiff vs Swindon Town | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff wins | 1.73 | 1.62 | -6.4% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 4 | +6.7% |
| Swindon Town wins | 4.5 | 5 | +11.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.7% and is now 25.0% (-1.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Cardiff vs. Swindon Town game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Cardiff and Swindon Town? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Carabao Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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