Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Sebastian Baez Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Buenos Aires
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Sixth seed Camilo Ugo Carabelli and fourth seed Sebastian Baez will meet in the quarter-finals of the Argentina Open. Their eighth career meeting will also be their second in Buenos Aires. Below is our prediction for this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli comes into this tie in good form. The Argentine has won seven consecutive matches and has offset starting the season with three successive losses.
Carabelli, who arrived in Buenos Aires after winning the Rosario Challenger, has now compiled a 7-3 record and is unbeaten on clay. Yet to drop a set this week, the 26-year-old, who is up to 45th in the live ranking, defeated Mariano Navone in the last round.
Meanwhile, Sebastian Baez has a dominant record against Carabelli and will be confident of moving into the semi-finals.
The Argentine has won six of the last seven meetings with his compatriot, with five of those victories coming on clay. Baez defeated Carabelli in last year’s edition in Buenos Aires.
A quarter-finalist here two seasons ago, Baez started his week having received a bye into the second round. He defeated Ignacio Buse in straight sets to improve to nine wins in 11 outings this season and move to 33rd in the live ranking.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Sebastian Baez Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.53 | 1.53 |
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|
2.53 | 1.53 |
|
|
2.63 | 1.5 |
|
|
2.44 | 1.51 |
|
|
2.44 | 1.51 |
|
Who will win the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Sebastian Baez Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Sebastian Baez match is: exact score: 1-2.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Sebastian Baez game on 13/02/2026 of the current ATP Buenos Aires season:
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 39.16% chance to win against Sebastian Baez according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.63.
- Sebastian Baez has a 60.84% probability of winning facing Camilo Ugo Carabelli ⭐ with odds of 1.53 at Melbet.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Sebastian Baez Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 39.16 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 39.16 % |
| Sebastian Baez | 60.84 % |
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Sebastian Baez Form
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Sebastian Baez Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
12 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
10 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
12 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
4 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
29 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
12 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
16 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
15 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
15 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Sebastian Baez Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
75 %
20 May 2025 - ATP Hamburg Open
1 Mar 2025 - ATP Santiago Open
22 Feb 2025 - ATP Rio Open
11 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Sebastian Baez Key Points
- Baez has defeated Carabelli six times previously.
- Baez has registered nine tour wins so far in 2026.
- Five of Baez’s six wins against Carabelli were on clay courts.
- A decider was contested in the last four meetings between these two.
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Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Sebastian Baez Prediction
Our prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Sebastian Baez is for exact score: 1-2. Carabelli is in great form and comes into this match having won seven consecutive matches. However, with this hot streak, we still feel he will come up short once again against Baez.
Carabelli has been on the receiving end in almost all of his matchups with Baez, losing six of seven battles. Most of those setbacks have been on clay. Aside from his dominant record against Carabelli, Baez, the more accomplished tour player in this tie, is having a strong season as well.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Sebastian Baez game!
When you place a bet on the match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Sebastian Baez you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Camilo Ugo Carabelli or Sebastian Baez, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
