ATP - ATP Umag Open
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Can Luciano Darderi make it eight consecutive clay court wins? He's seeded second in the Croatia Open and in the semi-final he faces third-seeded Camilio Ugo Carabelli. Here's our match prediction.
Last week saw Darderi win the clay court tournament played in Bastad. That was his second ATP Tour clay court title of the year following his April win in Marrakech. Now he is just two wins away from a third title in 2025.
He's had to play two matches to reach this stage. After a straight sets win over Tseng Chun-Hsin, the Italian beat Dino Prizmic on Thursday. He only won one game in the first set but dropped just five games in the next two. He's now 42nd in the live rankings.
This is the eighth match between these two players and all have been on clay. Darderi leads 4-3 but certainly has the momentum. He's won the last three without losing a set. He's won one Challenger Tour title on this surface in 2025.
The 26-year-old has beaten Francesco Passaro in three sets and in his quarter-final, defeated Pablo Llamas Ruiz. He was 6-4 5-2 ahead when his opponent retired. Carabelli has now set a new career-high of 46th.
We tip Darderi to win this match in straight sets.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Luciano Darderi Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
3.4 | 1.33 |
|
|
3.3 | 1.33 |
|
|
3 | 1.38 |
|
|
3.4 | 1.3 |
|
|
3.15 | 1.36 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Who will win the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luciano Darderi Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luciano Darderi match is: Luciano Darderi to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luciano Darderi game on 25/07/2025 of the current ATP Umag Open season:
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 22.25% chance to win against Luciano Darderi according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 3.46.
- Luciano Darderi has a 77.75% probability of winning facing Camilo Ugo Carabelli ⭐ with odds of 1.38 at Betway.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luciano Darderi Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 22.25 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 22.25 % |
| Luciano Darderi | 77.75 % |
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luciano Darderi Form
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Luciano Darderi Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
24 Jul 2025 - ATP Umag Open
22 Jul 2025 - ATP Umag Open
19 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
18 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
17 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
15 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
24 Jul 2025 - ATP Umag Open
23 Jul 2025 - ATP Umag Open
20 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
19 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
18 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
16 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luciano Darderi Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
16 May 2024 - Turin, Italy
2 May 2024 - ATP Challenger Cagliari, Italy Men Singles
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luciano Darderi Key Points
- Darderi has won two ATP Tour clay court tournaments this year.
- Last week saw Darderi win the ATP tournament in Bastad and he's now won seven consecutive matches on this surface.
- Darderi leads Carabelli 4-3 in previous meetings.
- Carabelli has lost his last three matches against Darderi (all on clay) without winning a set.
- Carabelli is yet to reach an ATP Tour clay court final.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luciano Darderi Prediction
Luciano Darderi is out to win his second sucessive ATP Tour clay court title. Last week he was victorious in Bastad and is going well again this week in Umag. He has won his last seven matches on this surface.
Darderi has also won his last three matches against Carabelli, all won on this surface and without dropping a set. Carabelli is in good form and a side bet on this match going to a final set could win. Our main Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Luciano Darderi prediction is Luciano Darderi to win in straight sets.
Get up to £30 to bet on the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Luciano Darderi game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Luciano Darderi when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on ATP Umag Open!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
