Brighton vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Saturday’s stacked schedule kicks off on the south coast with Brighton & Hove Albion playing host to Liverpool in a Premier League Matchday 31 clash. The Seagulls are 12th in the league standings, while the Reds are in fifth place after 30 games. Check out our match prediction below!
After a successful trip to the Stadium of Light, Fabian Hurzeler’s side reached the key 40-point threshold in the top flight with eight games left to play. A win here could see the Seagulls soar into the top half of the table, but they have already lost to this opponent twice this season, most recently, in the fourth round of the FA Cup a month ago.
Arne Slot eased some of the pressure that’s been building by producing an Anfield masterclass in midweek, but playing the early kickoff here means his side has had less than a three-day turnaround from Europe. Three points could take the Merseysiders into the top four, but can they fight fatigue to enter the international break on a high? Let’s get into the key stats!
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Brighton v Liverpool Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.15 | 3.75 | 2.21 |
|
|
3.15 | 3.6 | 2.18 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.64 | 2.14 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.7 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.6 | 2.12 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Liverpool?
Our prediction for the Brighton vs Liverpool match is: 2-4 match goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/03/2026 between Brighton and Liverpool in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.26% for a win of Brighton against Liverpool with odds of 3.25 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Liverpool is 16.97% with odds of 3.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Brighton with odds of 2.3 at 888Starz.
Brighton - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brighton Liverpool Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 46.77% | 2.3 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 55.21% | 2.38 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score: No | 50.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Liverpool | 19.46% | 6 at Bet365 |
Brighton vs Liverpool Form
Brighton and Liverpool's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
60 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 |
|
8
|
53 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 |
Brighton and Liverpool Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
19 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
Brighton vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
19 May 2025 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
31 Mar 2024 - Premier League
Brighton - Liverpool: Form Analysis
Brighton & Hove Albion’s 1-0 victory over Sunderland on the road last week not only got them to 40 points for the season (W10 D10 L10), but also saw them move up two places in the EPL standings.
The Seagulls are enjoying a nice run of form, having now taken nine points from their last four games (W3 L1), which is as many points as they earned in their previous 12 top-flight matches (W1 D6 L5).
The hosts have earned 24 of their 40 league points at the Amex this season (W6 D6 L3), and they are unbeaten in their last three league games against this opponent at this venue (W2 D1).
Each of the last five matches between these sides at the Amex have ended with over 2.5 goals!
Meanwhile, Liverpool were held to a disappointing 1-1 draw by Tottenham Hotspur at home last weekend, but that point took them into the top five after Chelsea’s home defeat to Newcastle United.
The Reds surged into the quarter-final of the Champions League in midweek by overturning a 1-0 deficit to beat Galatasaray 4-1 on aggregate. They will meet reigning champions PSG in the last eight.
The visitors have not been great on the road this season, earning just 21 points from their 15 away matches (W6 D3 L6). Their record across their last six away league games reads as W2 D2 L2.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Brighton against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 1 - 2
Substitutes
J. Steele
DefenderM. De Cuyper
O. Boscagli
J. Veltman
C. Baleba
Y. Ayari
K. Mitoma
C. Kostoulas
G. Rutter
F. Woodman
DefenderC. Ramsay
A. Robertson
J. Gomez
MidfielderC. Jones
F. Chiesa
K. Morrison
T. Nyoni
ForwardR. Ngumoha
Missing players
S. Tzimas
Alisson
DefenderC. Bradley
S. Bajcetic
G. Leoni
MidfielderW. Endo
Brighton & Liverpool Squad Analysis
As expected, Hurzeler brought Yankuba Minteh back into the starting lineup last week, and he made a major impact, scoring the winner against Sunderland. The Gambia international now has the second-most successful dribbles in the EPL this season.
James Milner started at the Stadium of Light, but Hurzeler will likely replace the Premier League’s all-time highest-capped player with Carlos Baleba to try and combat the Reds’ formidable midfield setup.
The hosts have two players ruled out through injury for this match in Stefanos Tzimas and Adam Webster. Kaoru Mitoma missed the last game with an ankle issue and is a doubt for this one.
Mohamed Salah has 17 EPL goal contributions against Brighton (10 goals, seven assists)!
The Egyptian King scored and assisted in the 3-0 win against this opponent in the FA Cup last month. However, he asked to be substituted due to an injury in the second half against Gala, and Slot confirmed he will need to be assessed ahead of this match.
Given the short turnaround, the Dutch manager is likely to make a few changes to his starting 11 from midweek, which could allow for Cody Gakpo and teenage starlet Rio Ngumoha to get the nod from the off as they did against Spurs.
The confirmed absentees for the visitors this weekend include Giovanni Leoni, Wataru Endo, Alexander Isak and Conor Bradley, who has now been ruled out for the remainder of the season.
Most goals and assists
Brighton
Liverpool
D. Welbeck
(13 Goals)
H. Ekitike
(11 Goals)
Y. Minteh
(4 Assists)
M. Salah
(7 Assists)
, 
D. Szoboszlai
(7 Assists)
Brighton - Liverpool Key Points
- Ten of Brighton’s last 15 league games have ended with between 2 and 4 goals.
- Brighton have only kept two clean sheets in their last 10 home league games.
- Liverpool have only failed to score in two of their last 10 away league games.
- Liverpool and Brighton are averaging 1.67 and 1.46 xG per 90 this season, respectively.
- Between 2 and four goals were scored in five of the last six league games between these sides.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Brighton vs Liverpool Prediction
While Liverpool have already beaten this opponent in the league and the FA Cup this season, they are entering this match with a very short turnaround from midweek, meaning fatigue could be a major factor for the visitors here.
Matches between these sides have delivered goals in recent times. Since February 2021, there have been 12 games between these teams across all competitions, and none of those matches have ended with fewer than two goals. Therefore, our Brighton vs Liverpool prediction is 2-4 match goals.
Brighton vs Liverpool Alternative Predictions
Rio Ngumoha over 0.5 shots on target
Given the short turnaround and potential absence of Salah, Rio Ngumoha is likely to get another start in this match. The 17-year-old has attempted six shots in 201 playing minutes this season (one shot every 33 minutes) and has recorded four attempts on target (67%). He has also had a shot on target in each of his last three appearances.
Draw
Liverpool will be in high spirits coming into this match, but the two-and-a-half-day turnaround from midweek is far from ideal. Additionally, Brighton are on a nice run of form with three wins in four and have avoided defeat in their last three league games against the Reds at this venue.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brighton Liverpool
| Brighton vs Liverpool | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 3.15 | 3.25 | +3.2% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.8 | +4.1% |
| Liverpool wins | 2.09 | 2.3 | +10.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Liverpool is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.8% and is now 43.5% (-4.4%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Brighton vs. Liverpool game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Brighton and Liverpool? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Premier League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Brighton vs Liverpool - FAQs
The Premier League match between Brighton and Liverpool will take place on March 21 at 12:30 GMT.
The Premier League match between Brighton and Liverpool will be played at the Amex Stadium in Brighton.
The Premier League match between Brighton and Liverpool will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
