Brazil vs Norway Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath | in World Cup Predictions
The third team to progress to the quarter-finals of the 2026 World Cup will be decided when Brazil and Norway face off at New York New Jersey Stadium in the Round of 16 on Sunday. Matches involving Selecao and the Vikings have delivered goals in this competition, and we fancy both teams to get on the scoresheet here as our main prediction.
It has been over two decades since Brazil last lifted the World Cup, but under Carlo Ancelotti, they look like genuine contenders this year. Canarinho’s got through the group stage as winners of Group C before edging Japan in the Round of 32, and are the clear favourites heading into this blockbuster showdown.
Stale Solbakken’s side have been the ultimate entertainers in North America, both on the pitch and in their legions of supporters in the stands. After coming out on top against the Ivory Coast in the RO32, the Red, White and Blues reaffirmed their status as this year’s dark horses, but can they get by the most successful nation in World Cup history this weekend? Let’s get into the key stats!
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Brazil v Norway Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.85 | 3.65 | 4.1 |
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|
1.88 | 3.83 | 4.48 |
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|
1.83 | 3.7 | 4.16 |
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1.83 | 3.7 | 4.16 |
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1.88 | 3.83 | 4.48 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Brazil and Norway?
Our prediction for the Brazil vs Norway match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/07/2026 between Brazil and Norway in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.39% for a win of Brazil against Norway with odds of 1.92 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brazil vs Norway is 16.95% with odds of 3.84 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Norway vs Brazil with odds of 4.7 at Bet365.
Brazil vs Norway Form
Brazil and Norway Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jun 2026 - World Cup
24 Jun 2026 - World Cup
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
13 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jun 2026 - World Cup
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
13 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jun 2026 - World Cup
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
Brazil - Norway: Form Analysis
After being held to a 1-1 draw by Morocco in their opening match of the 2026 World Cup, Brazil bounced back to clinch top spot in Group C with back-to-back 3-0 victories over Haiti and Scotland.
Selecao then pulled off a dramatic late comeback in the Round of 32, overturning a 1-0 deficit to beat Japan 2-1 in the fifth minute of stoppage time, thanks to a clutch strike by Gabriel Martinelli.
The South American giants are now unbeaten in their last seven matches across all competitions (W6 D1) and only failed to score two or more goals in one of those fixtures (against Morocco).
Brazil currently have the highest xG per 90 at the 2026 World Cup (2.35)!
Meanwhile, Norway booked their spot in the RO32 with victories against Iraq and Senegal. Solbakken made wholesale changes for their final group-stage match, which they lost 4-1 to France.
However, the decision to rest key players paid off in the first stage of the knockouts, as the Vikings avoided an upset by beating Ivory Coast 2-1, with Erling Haaland netting the winner in the 86th minute.
The Red, White and Blues have lost just two of their last 20 matches since November 2024 (W15 D2). However, they have only kept one clean sheet in their last 11 games in all competitions.
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Brazil vs Norway last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 1 - 3
Substitutes
Weverton
Ederson
DefenderAlex Sandro
R. Ibanez
L. Pereira
Bremer
MidfielderE. Silva
D. Santos
Fabinho
ForwardG. Martinelli
Luiz Henrique
I. Thiago
Endrick
Neymar
S. Tangvik
E. Selvik
DefenderF. Bjorkan
L. Ostigard
H. Falchener
S. Langas
MidfielderF. Aursnes
M. Thorsby
K. Thorstvedt
O. Bobb
T. Aasgaard
J. Hauge
A. Schjelderup
ForwardJ. Strand Larsen
J. Ryerson
Missing players
Casemiro
L. Paqueta
ForwardRaphinha
J. Ryerson
Brazil & Norway Squad Analysis
Vinicius Junior has been the standout performer for Brazil in this competition. The Real Madrid attacker leads the team with four goals in this competition, overperforming his tournament xG of 3.87.
Man United forward Matheus Cunha has netted three times, and his form has largely been the reason that Santos star Neymar has only received 14 minutes of game time in the competition.
Lucas Paqueta limped off the pitch at half-time with a hamstring injury against Japan. The Flamengo midfielder is undergoing treatment and is listed as a major doubt for this match.
Can Brazil find a way to stop Erling Haaland?
Man City’s goal machine was rested against France before netting the winner against the Ivory Coast. Haaland has scored in every match he has featured in this tournament (5 in total), taking his tally to 60 goals in 53 caps for Norway.
Keeping Haaland quiet is going to be a massive ask. However, if there is one player that relishes the challenge, it’s Brazilian centre-back Gabriel Magalhaes, who has shared several heated battles with the Norwegian talisman in the Premier League.
Julian Ryerson of Borussia Dortmund was unable to feature in the knockout match against Japan after sustaining a thigh injury earlier in the tournament. He remains a doubt for this one.
Most goals and assists
Brazil
Norway
Vinicius Junior
(4 Goals)
E. Haaland
(5 Goals)
B. Guimaraes
(4 Assists)
M. Odegaard
(3 Assists)
Brazil - Norway Key Points
- Seven of Brazil’s last nine games in all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
- Brazil currently has the highest xG per 90 at the 2026 World Cup (2.35).
- Norway has not kept a clean sheet in this competition.
- Nine of Norway’s last 10 games in all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
- Norway has recorded 2.08 xG per 90 in this tournament.
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Our Brazil vs Norway Prediction
After an underwhelming start to the World Cup, Brazil quickly rediscovered their rhythm and enter this match as clear favourites. They also have an in-form Vini Jr, who has been key to helping them achieve the highest xG in the competition to date.
However, with Martin Odegaard and Erling Haaland fit and firing, Norway always have a puncher's chance, regardless of who they are up against. Two dangerous attacks in a knockout battle point to a high-quality matchup here, and we feel there will be plenty of goalmouth action at both ends. Our Brazil vs Norway prediction is BTTS.
Brazil vs Norway Alternative Predictions
Brazil wins
Brazil are unbeaten in their last seven matches since the start of April and have the highest xG in this competition. They also have a more balanced team, while Norway have already been exposed by an elite attack (France) in this competition.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Brazil vs. Norway game!
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Brazil vs Norway - FAQs
The 2026 World Cup Round of 16 match between Brazil and Norway will take place on July 5 at 20:00 UTC.
The 2026 World Cup Round of 16 match between Brazil and Norway will be played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, USA.
The 2026 World Cup Round of 16 match between Brazil and Norway will be broadcast on Grupo Globo (Brazil) and NRK (Norway). UK viewers can tune in to the BBC and ITV.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our World Cup livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
