Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions
Botafogo will have to improve their recent indifferent record to challenge Flamengo as the teams meet on Wednesday night in a Brazilian Serie A matchday 28 fixture. This match in Rio de Janeiro between the fifth-placed Fogo and the second-placed ‘Scarlet and Black’ comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
Ahead of this round, Botafogo is in fifth place with 43 points from 27 matches (W12, D7, L8). They are three points outside the top four teams. Flamengo’s 55 points (W16, D7, L3) from 26 matches see them start three points behind leaders Palmeiras.
Botafogo lost 2-0 away at Internacional in their last matchday, which meant they could win only twice in their last seven league matches (W2, D2, L7). They are only marginally outside the top four and will hope for consistency.
Home form plays to their strength, though, as Botafogo have won three and drawn one of their last four home league games.
Flamengo lost 1-0 away at Bahia for their first league defeat since July 2025. During this period, they have secured eight victories and secured four draws to avoid any potential setbacks.
The defeat to Bahia ended a five-match winning run (W4, D1), where they have managed to score seven goals in the latest three matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Botafogo v Flamengo Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.5 | 3.1 | 1.95 |
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|
4 | 3.2 | 1.95 |
|
|
4 | 3 | 1.95 |
|
|
4 | 3.1 | 2 |
|
|
4.6 | 3.15 | 1.89 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Botafogo and Flamengo?
Our prediction for the Botafogo vs Flamengo match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/10/2025 between Botafogo and Flamengo in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.56% for a win of Botafogo against Flamengo with odds of 4.92 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Botafogo vs Flamengo is 23.08% with odds of 3.26 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.37% chance ⭐ for a win of Flamengo vs Botafogo with odds of 2.11 at 888Starz.
Botafogo - Flamengo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Botafogo Flamengo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Flamengo wins | 43.37% | 2.11 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 60.42% | 2.18 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 48.75% | 2.05 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Flamengo | 16.15% | 5 at Betfair |
Botafogo vs Flamengo Form
Botafogo and Flamengo's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
58 | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 40 |
|
5
|
43 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 11 |
Botafogo and Flamengo Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Sep 2025 - Copa do Brasil
30 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil
24 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Sep 2025 - Copa Libertadores
21 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Sep 2025 - Copa Libertadores
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Sep 2025 - Copa Libertadores
31 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Sep 2025 - Copa Libertadores
14 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
17 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
Botafogo vs Flamengo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Feb 2025 - Campeonato Carioca
2 Feb 2025 - Supercopa Do Brasil
18 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Apr 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Feb 2024 - Campeonato Carioca
Botafogo against Flamengo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
Neto
DefenderBastos
A. Telles
Kaio
MidfielderD. Oliveira
ForwardN. Fernandes
Allan
Most goals and assists
Botafogo
Flamengo
Igor Jesus
(7 Goals)
G. De Arrascaeta
(17 Goals)
A. Telles
(6 Assists)
G. De Arrascaeta
(12 Assists)
Botafogo - Flamengo Key Points
- Botafogo average 2.22 goals per game this season and only three teams have a fewer average.
- Flamengo’s 12 away league games this season average 2.17 goals per match.
- Flamengo have the best defensive record of the season, conceding only 13 goals.
- In four of Botafogo’s last five league matches, there have been two or fewer goals.
- Five of Flamengo’s last eight league fixtures returned under 2.5 goals.
- The last two matches played between these sides produced under 1.5 goals.
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Our Botafogo vs Flamengo Prediction
This is a top-five clash on paper, but with 12 points separating them, there’s still a lot of gulf between Flamengo and Botafogo. Flamengo are hot on the heels of Palmeiras and wouldn’t want to slip here. Their defensive record of conceding only 13 goals is likely to work in their favour as they look to stay in the title race. Botafogo’s away record has been poor since the start of September, but they are likely to keep it tight.
This match could be a tight affair in terms of goals, and our Botafogo vs Flamengo prediction is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Botafogo Flamengo
| Botafogo vs Flamengo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo wins | 3.5 | 4.5 | +28.6% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.1 | -4.6% |
| Flamengo wins | 2.1 | 1.95 | -7.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Flamengo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 51.3% (3.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Botafogo vs. Flamengo game!
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Try your luck on this year's Brasileirão Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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