Bosnia Herzegovina vs Poland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Only one point separates Bosnia Herzegovina and Poland ahead of their matchday four meeting in the UEFA Nations League (UNL) as the race for top-two heats up in group B4. This match on Monday between the second-placed ‘Dragons’ and the third-placed ‘Eagles’ is likely to be more exciting than the reverse leg with BTTS our match prediction.
With five points (W3, D2), Bosnia remain two points behind leaders Sweden ahead of this matchday. Poland are one point behind their hosts (W1, D1, L1) and could leapfrog them into the promotional play-off spot with a win.
Bosnia needed an 80th-minute goal to draw 1-1 at home against leaders Sweden on Friday to extend their unbeaten start to this UNL cycle. That included a matchday one draw (0-0) against Poland, while the 4-2 win away at Romania remains their only victory.
Playing at home seems to bring their combative best, as Bosnia lost only one of their last eight home games (W4, D3).
After failing to score against Bosnia on matchday one and losing 3-1 away at Sweden on matchday two, Poland needed a significant comeback. They achieved just that, in a 6-0 thrashing of Romania at home on Friday. It was their first win across six games (D2, L3) and perhaps a critical one, although they have lost their last three away UNL games.
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Bosnia Herzegovina v Poland Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.35 | 2.18 |
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|
3.46 | 3.54 | 2.18 |
|
|
3.38 | 3.46 | 2.13 |
|
|
3.38 | 3.46 | 2.13 |
|
|
3.38 | 3.46 | 2.13 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bosnia Herzegovina and Poland?
Our prediction for the Bosnia Herzegovina vs Poland match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/10/2026 between Bosnia Herzegovina and Poland in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.37% for a win of Bosnia Herzegovina against Poland with odds of 3.46 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bosnia Herzegovina vs Poland is 33.91% with odds of 3.54 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Poland vs Bosnia Herzegovina with odds of 2.25 at Tonybet.
Bosnia Herzegovina vs Poland Form
Bosnia Herzegovina and Poland's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 |
|
3
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +4 |
Bosnia Herzegovina and Poland Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jul 2026 - World Cup
24 Jun 2026 - World Cup
18 Jun 2026 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Jun 2026 - World Cup
29 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jul 2026 - World Cup
18 Jun 2026 - World Cup
12 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
17 Nov 2025 - World Cup
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
Bosnia Herzegovina vs Poland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sept 2020 - UEFA Nations League
Bosnia Herzegovina vs Poland last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
M. Jurkas
M. Zlomislic
DefenderN. Mujakic
A. Malic
Z. Smajlovic
S. Radeljic
N. Omerovic
MidfielderL. Djuric
E. Mahmic
I. Sunjic
ForwardH. Tabakovic
J. Lukic
M. Kochalski
S. Abramowicz
DefenderT. Kedziora
T. Puchacz
K. Potulski
MidfielderM. Regula
B. Slisz
O. Pietuszewski
K. Urbanski
N. Wojtuszek
ForwardM. Skoras
M. Zukowski
Missing players
O. Pietuszewski
Most goals and assists
Bosnia Herzegovina
Poland
H. Tabakovic
(1 Goals)
,
A. Gigovic
(1 Goals)
,
T. Muharemovic
(1 Goals)
,
E. Mahmic
(1 Goals)
,
K. Alajbegovic
(1 Goals)
R. Lewandowski
(3 Goals)
E. Bajraktarevic
(2 Assists)
N. Zalewski
(2 Assists)
Bosnia Herzegovina and Poland Stats in UEFA Nations League
Bosnia Herzegovina - Poland Key Points
- Thirteen of Bosnia’s last 16 matches saw both teams score.
- Both teams scored in eight of Bosnia’s last 13 UNL matches.
- Three of Bosnia’s last four home UNL matches have produced BTTS.
- Nine of Poland’s last 14 matches have seen goals from both teams.
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Our Bosnia Herzegovina vs Poland Prediction
There was very little to separate these sides when they played in Warsaw earlier in this cycle, with a 0-0 draw being a fair result. This time around, there should be goals, considering how Poland have netted seven in their last two games and Bosnia hit five. Poland have never lost against Bosnia, but it’s the goals market that looks appealing.
Six of Poland’s last nine UNL games saw both teams score, and that’s likely to continue here. Our Bosnia Herzegovina vs Poland prediction is BTTS.
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