England - League One
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by Ian John in League One Predictions
This match prediction takes in Saturday's lunchtime League One clash between two teams with genuine promotion aspirations. Bolton Wanderers host Cardiff City with the Trotters seeking to extend their unbeaten home record this season, against a Bluebirds team who are yet to lose an away game in the league thus far.
The current table sees Steven Schumacher's Bolton Wanderers lying seventh in the table having played 13 games and taken 20 points from those contests. Cardiff are even better placed with Brian Barry Murphy's team top of the table on 26 points from their 12 games, a point ahead of a clutch of teams all on 25 points for the season.
While Bolton's home form is good, their recent form is more mixed. They started October with a 2-1 win over Peterborough United at home, but were then comfortably beaten 3-0 away to Burton Albion. However, in their last game they made a short trip to Huddersfield and came away with an excellent 2-1 victory.
Cardiff City's recent form is excellent and they saw them begin October with a battling 4-3 home win over Leyton Orient. A much-changed team lost 1-0 at home to Newport County in the Football League Trophy a couple of days later and their game with Barnsley was postponed the following weekend. Most recently, they took on Reading at home last Saturday, emerging with a 2-1 victory.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bolton v Cardiff Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.96 | 3.6 | 3.4 |
|
|
2 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
|
|
2 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
|
|
2 | 3.6 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.65 | 3.3 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bolton and Cardiff?
Our prediction for the Bolton vs Cardiff match is: Draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/10/2025 between Bolton and Cardiff in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.95% for a win of Bolton against Cardiff with odds of 2.02 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bolton vs Cardiff is 16.91% with odds of 3.7 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Cardiff vs Bolton with odds of 3.6 at Betfred.
Bolton vs Cardiff Form
Bolton and Cardiff's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
|
7
|
20 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Bolton and Cardiff Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Oct 2025 - League One
11 Oct 2025 - League One
4 Oct 2025 - League One
27 Sep 2025 - League One
23 Sep 2025 - EFL Trophy
20 Sep 2025 - League One
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - League One
23 Sep 2025 - EFL Trophy
20 Sep 2025 - League One
6 Sep 2025 - League One
2 Sep 2025 - EFL Trophy
23 Aug 2025 - League One
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Oct 2025 - League One
11 Oct 2025 - League One
27 Sep 2025 - League One
13 Sep 2025 - League One
30 Aug 2025 - League One
16 Aug 2025 - League One
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - League One
7 Oct 2025 - EFL Trophy
4 Oct 2025 - League One
30 Sep 2025 - League One
27 Sep 2025 - League One
23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - League One
7 Oct 2025 - EFL Trophy
4 Oct 2025 - League One
30 Sep 2025 - League One
20 Sep 2025 - League One
30 Aug 2025 - League One
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - League One
23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
16 Sep 2025 - EFL Trophy
13 Sep 2025 - League One
23 Aug 2025 - League One
19 Aug 2025 - League One
Most goals and assists
Bolton
Cardiff
M. Burstow
(7 Goals)
Y. Salech
(5 Goals)
Bolton - Cardiff Key Points
- In six home League One games this season, Bolton have won four and drawn two.
- Cardiff are unbeaten in five away League One matches this season, winning three and drawing two.
- Cardiff have conceded just one goal in their five away games this season in League One.
- Bolton (along with Reading) have drawn more games (5) than any other League One team this season,
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Our Bolton vs Cardiff Prediction
Our prediction for the Bolton Wanderers vs. Cardiff City League One match is: Draw.
The data for this fixture shows two teams with excellent records at home (Bolton) and away (Cardiff). However, Bolton's freescoring home form is in sharp contrast to Cardiff's ultra-tight defence, that has conceded just one goal on the road this season. Similarly, the recent form of both teams does tend to slightly favour the visitors, but only because Bolton are poorer away from home. Given the home team have drawn a lot of games this season, backing the draw here makes perfect sense.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
