Bolivia vs Uruguay Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in World Cup Predictions
Bolivia will look to make the most of their high-altitude home advantage and trip Uruguay when the sides meet in a matchday 14 meeting of the CONMEBOL 2026 World Cup qualifiers. This match at Municipal Stadium El Alto on Tuesday comes with our prediction of over 2.5 goals. The hosting La Verde are seventh with 13 points, while the visiting La Celeste are fourth with 20 points.
Bolivia are in the inter-confederation play-offs but are just a point above Venezuela. They lost 3-1 away at Peru last week, which was their third defeat in four matches, while the other was a draw.
It’s a completely different scenario at home, as Bolivia won three of their last four home World Cup qualifiers. That puts Uruguay in a tight spot, as they were also beaten 3-0 in their last visit to Bolivia.
The visitors are only two points behind second-placed Ecuador, but with only three points separating five teams, the competition for qualification is tight. They were narrowly beaten 1-0 at home against Argentina, extending their recent indifferent form.
Uruguay have drawn four and lost two of their recent seven matches, while two draws and one defeat on the road put a question mark on their chances here.
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Bolivia v Uruguay Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 3.1 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.79 | 3.24 | 2.87 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.14 | 2.87 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.1 | 2.86 |
|
|
2.75 | 3 | 2.75 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bolivia and Uruguay?
Our prediction for the Bolivia vs Uruguay match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/03/2025 between Bolivia and Uruguay in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.14% for a win of Bolivia against Uruguay with odds of 2.8 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bolivia vs Uruguay is 33.12% with odds of 3.24 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Uruguay vs Bolivia with odds of 3 at LSbet.
Bolivia - Uruguay Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bolivia Uruguay Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bolivia wins | 36.14% | 2.8 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 56.2% | 2.08 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 62.08% | 1.75 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bolivia | 15.42% | 6.25 at LSbet |
Bolivia vs Uruguay Form
Bolivia and Uruguay's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
28 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | +10 |
|
7
|
20 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -18 |
Bolivia and Uruguay Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sept 2024 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
5 Sept 2024 - World Cup
1 Jul 2024 - Copa America
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sept 2024 - World Cup
27 Jun 2024 - Copa America
23 Jun 2024 - Copa America
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
11 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sept 2024 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
6 Sept 2024 - World Cup
10 Jul 2024 - Copa America
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
11 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sept 2024 - World Cup
1 Sept 2024 - International Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Copa America
1 Jul 2024 - Copa America
Bolivia vs Uruguay Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Jun 2024 - Copa America
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
16 Nov 2021 - World Cup
5 Sept 2021 - World Cup
24 Jun 2021 - Copa America
10 Oct 2017 - World Cup
Players list
G. Viscarra
DefenderE. Morales
D. Medina
J. Sagredo
L. Haquin
MidfielderG. Villamil
R. Matheus
H. Cuellar
Miguelito
R. Vaca
ForwardV. Abrego
S. Rochet
DefenderS. Caceres
M. Olivera
J. Gimenez
G. Varela
MidfielderM. Araujo
R. Bentancur
M. Ugarte
ForwardC. Olivera
F. Vinas
R. Aguirre
Substitutes
B. Uraezana
R. Banegas
DefenderD. Arroyo
R. Fernandez
L. Zabala
L. Paz
Y. Rocha
L. Chavez
B. Cespedes
ForwardM. Paniagua
C. Algaranaz
R. Ferrufino Arauz
F. Israel
S. Mele
DefenderR. Araujo
MidfielderE. Martinez
N. Fonseca
N. Nandez
F. Valverde
J. Piquerez
F. Pellistri
A. Alvarez
D. Nunez
B. Rodriguez
Most goals and assists
Bolivia
Uruguay
Miguelito
(7 Goals)
D. Nunez
(5 Goals)
Bolivia - Uruguay Key Points
- Bolivia’s last four matches produced over 3.5 goals.
- In eight of their last ten home matches in World Cup qualifiers, Bolivia saw over 2.5 goals scored.
- The last four matches between these sides produced three or more goals each time.
- Uruguay scored eight goals combined in their last two matches against Bolivia.
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Our Bolivia vs Uruguay Prediction
Bolivia are low down in the points tally, and their recent form hasn’t been encouraging, but playing at home has always been their strong point. The high altitudes have seen teams struggle, which is why they continue to be a strong force at home. Uruguay have struggled for goals in recent times, but with eight to their name in the last two matches against Bolivia, this could be their chance to get back to some scoring form. This match should see some action, and our Bolivia vs Uruguay prediction is over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bolivia Uruguay
| Bolivia vs Uruguay | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bolivia wins | 2.06 | 2.8 | +35.9% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.24 | -0.3% |
| Uruguay wins | 3.6 | 3 | -16.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bolivia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 35.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 48.5% and is now 35.7% (-12.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
