World - World Cup
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by Nella Wagah | in World Cup Predictions
Benin will play host to Lesotho in their Group C World Cup qualifier this Tuesday, looking to solidify their hold of second place. The two nations are separated by five points, though Benin also trail group leaders South Africa by five points. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Benin’s best hope in this pool will be to target a second-place finish. They are four points below the best four runners-up in the chase for playoff places. A 1-0 home win against Zimbabwe kept their dream alive, with Nigeria lurking just behind.
Seeking just their second win in 10 matches, Benin will have to contend with playing this home game in Abidjan.
Lesotho will want to slow down Benin, but with three straight defeats, they seem to be having bigger problems. The southern African nation is coming from a 3-0 loss to neighbours South Africa in a home game they hosted in Bloemfontein.
The defeat left them fifth in the group on six points and with really faint hopes of a second-place finish. Their only win so far was against the bottom-placed Zimbabwe, though they drew 0-0 with Benin in the first meetup.
This match marks their third meeting with Benin and Lesotho are not only winless but have never scored a goal.
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The Best Betting Odds for Benin v Lesotho Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.45 | 3.7 | 10 |
|
|
1.44 | 3.75 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.5 | 3.5 | 8 |
|
|
1.45 | 3.8 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.56 | 3.6 | 6.1 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Benin and Lesotho?
Our prediction for the Benin vs Lesotho match is: BTTS – NO & Under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2025 between Benin and Lesotho in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.09% for a win of Benin against Lesotho with odds of 1.57 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benin vs Lesotho is 25.13% with odds of 3.8 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Lesotho vs Benin with odds of 10 at Bet365.
Benin - Lesotho Prediction and Best Odds:
| Benin Lesotho Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Benin wins | 59.09% | 1.57 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 58.04% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 27.08% | 3 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Benin | 29.98% | 3.8 at Ladbrokes |
Benin vs Lesotho Form
Benin and Lesotho's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
|
4
|
12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 |
Benin and Lesotho Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sept 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
7 Sept 2024 - AFCON
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
8 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
5 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sept 2024 - AFCON
3 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
28 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
8 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
5 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
Benin vs Lesotho Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Nov 2020 - AFCON
14 Nov 2020 - AFCON
Benin - Lesotho Key Points
- Six of Lesotho’s last 10 matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Seven of Benin’s last eight outings had under 2.5 goals.
- Lesotho failed to score in each of their last three games.
- Only one of Lesotho’s last 10 matches had both teams score.
- At least one side failed to score in six of Benin’s last 10 outings.
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Our Benin vs Lesotho Prediction
Benin will go into this game as favorites. The prospect of a first-ever World Cup appearance has never been this close for Les Guepards. They can mount a serious quest for a playoff place, and this, therefore, should be a winnable game. However, they aren’t on a great scoring run of form, and that could be a major impediment.
The same is the case with Lesotho, who come here without a goal in the last three matches. Going by the teams’ challenges in attack, we may see a low-scoring game. Our prediction for Benin v Lesotho is: BTTS – NO & Under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Benin Lesotho
| Benin vs Lesotho | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benin wins | 1.5 | 1.45 | -3.3% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.7 | +2.8% |
| Lesotho wins | 7.5 | 10 | +33.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Benin is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 69.0% (2.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Benin vs. Lesotho game!
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Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
