Belgium vs Senegal Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
Belgium and Senegal found their scoring shoes only on matchday three of the group stage in the 2026 World Cup, which adds a new dimension to their last 32 encounter on Wednesday. The winner of this match between the 'Red Devils' and the 'Lions of Teranga' will face either the United States or Bosnia and Herzegovina in the round of 16. This game will be the first ever World Cup match between these sides, but does their recent form promise an exciting game?
A late goal surge on matchday three helped Belgium upgrade Egypt and finish top of Group G on goal difference. They have finished the group stages with an unbeaten record, the fifth time in their last six appearances in the World Cups that they have done so.
Senegal also needed a heavy matchday three win to upstage Iran in the ranking for third-place teams, with DR Congo's victory putting them in Seattle. Will the surge in scoring momentum from the two sides point to an exciting scoring encounter? Read our analysis to find more about the teams and our match predictions.
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Belgium v Senegal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.09 | 3.35 | 3.55 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.46 | 4.18 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.42 | 4.04 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.36 | 3.64 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.4 | 4.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Belgium and Senegal?
Our prediction for the Belgium vs Senegal match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/07/2026 between Belgium and Senegal in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.63% for a win of Belgium against Senegal with odds of 2.15 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Belgium vs Senegal is 31.11% with odds of 3.5 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Senegal vs Belgium with odds of 4.2 at Bet365.
Belgium - Senegal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Belgium Senegal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Belgium wins | 43.63% | 2.15 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.33% | 2 at BC Game |
| Both Team To Score: No | 64.29% | 2.25 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time : Belgium/Belgium | 17.16% | 3.3 at LSbet |
Belgium vs Senegal Form
Belgium and Senegal Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Jan 2026 - AFCON
14 Jan 2026 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
9 Jan 2026 - AFCON
30 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
Belgium - Senegal: Form Analysis
Belgium thrashed New Zealand 5-1 on matchday three to finish unbeaten in the group stages (W1, D2) and top Group G on goal difference. It wasn't still a vintage performance from the 'Red Devils,' but three goals beyond the hour mark made the difference for them.
The result extends an incredible unbeaten run for Belgium to 16 matches (W10, D6). This also marked the fifth time in the last six World Cup appearances that Belgium completed the group stages without losing a game.
Belgium had 73 attempts at goal this edition, more than any other side.
Senegal recorded their biggest ever win in World Cup history when they defeated Iraq 5-0 on matchday three. This helped them to dramatically bounce back from defeats to Norway and France on the first two matchdays and qualify as the eighth-ranked third-place team.
The 'Lions of Teranga' have also ended a four-game winless run in the process (D1, L3). However, just three victories from their last eight games (W3, D1, L4) is a sign of their inconsistent form that could play to Belgium's advantage.
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Belgium against Senegal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
M. Penders
S. Lammens
DefenderK. De Winter
N. Ngoy
J. Seys
T. Meunier
N. Raskin
A. Onana
D. Moreira
A. Saelemaekers
A. Witsel
ForwardM. Fernandez-Pardo
D. Lukebakio
R. Lukaku
Y. Diouf
DefenderM. Sarr
E. Diouf
K. Koulibaly
A. Mendy
A. Seck
MidfielderP. Sarr
B. Ndiaye
L. Camara
I. Mbaye
C. Ndiaye
B. Dieng
N. Jackson
A. Diao
Missing players
Z. Debast
E. Mendy
Belgium & Senegal Squad Analysis
Zeno Debast was included in the Belgian squad despite being unavailable for the entire group games due to rehabilitation. He could be available here at least for a bench spot, while Romelu Lukaku's fitness issues have seen him play a substitute role.
The 'Red Devils' are set up in a 4-2-3-1 formation usually, with Jeremy Doku and Leandro Trossard playing on the wings behind Charles De Ketelaere, the lone forward. That could continue here, unless they decide to unleash Lukaku from the start.
Lukaku has a goal and an assist in 102 minutes of action this tournament.
Edouard Mendy missed Senegal's game against Iraq due to a left-knee injury and remains doubtful for this knockout fixture. There are no other major injury scares for them, though.
Senegal played in an aggressive 4-3-3 formation against Iraq, but are usually prone to fielding a 4-2-3-1 system. Ismaila Sarr could be the one to watch out for, as he scored three and assisted one goal this tournament. Another exciting player is Everton's Iliman Ndiaye, who has one goal and two assists in this tournament.
Most goals and assists
Belgium
Senegal
R. Lukaku
(3 Goals)
,
C. De Ketelaere
(3 Goals)
I. Sarr
(4 Goals)
L. Trossard
(3 Assists)
I. Ndiaye
(2 Assists)
Belgium - Senegal Key Points
- Six of Belgium’s last ten matches have produced BTTS.
- Four of Belgium’s last six competitive matches have also seen both teams score.
- Four of Senegal’s last six matches have seen both teams score goals.
- Senegal kept just one clean sheet in their last 14 World Cup matches, although it came in their latest game.
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Our Belgium vs Senegal Prediction
Belgium entered the knockouts with an unbeaten run in the group stages, although only marginally, due to goal difference. They were largely helped by a 5-1 matchday three win over New Zealand, which should give confidence to the under-pressure 'Red Devils.' Senegal also smashed five goals in their matchday three game against Iraq, which helped them edge out Iran in the ranking of third-place teams.
Both teams are coming off games where they scored five goals, so there should be some in this encounter. Our Belgium vs Senegal prediction is BTTS.
Belgium vs Senegal Alternative Predictions
Draw
Senegal have pushed Norway and France hard, although the final results don't tell the entire story. They have the firepower to push Belgium too and perhaps take the game deeper. Back a draw in regulation time here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Belgium Senegal
| Belgium vs Senegal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium wins | 2.19 | 2.15 | -1.8% |
| Draw | 3.36 | 3.5 | +4.2% |
| Senegal wins | 3.82 | 4.2 | +9.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Belgium is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.7% and is now 46.5% (0.8%)
Belgium vs Senegal - FAQs
The Belgium vs Senegal World Cup match will be shown live on VRT and RTBF in Belgium, RTS in Senegal. In the UK, STV (Central and Northern Scotland), BBC, and ITV are the official broadcasters.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our World Cup Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
