Bayern Munich vs Wolfsburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
by Daniel Ngulu | in Bundesliga Prediction
Bayern Munich will have their final home game of the season on Sunday when they welcome Wolfsburg at the Allianz Arena. Wolfsburg, placed 12th, with fading European ambitions, will find more to play for here than second-placed Bayern Munich. The hosts have had an underwhelming season by their standards, and are set to finish without silverware. They are coming from a disappointing defeat, falling 2-1 away to Real Madrid in the Champions League semis. That result left the Bavarians winless in their last three matches. It was their second straight defeat after earlier falling 3-1 away to Stuttgart. Seven losses so far in the Bundesliga represent the most they’ve been beaten in the league over the last decade. One area they’ve fallen seriously short this season is in their defence, conceding 41 times in 32 matches. While they are the league’s leading scorers, no team in the top five has conceded as many goals after 32 games. Bayern have kept just one clean sheet in their last 14 league matches, that was against relegation-threatened Cologne in April. Eight times in those 14 matches, Bayern conceded two or more goals.
Wolfsburg’s push for European football next season will do with six points from their remaining two games. Their hopes for Europe are slim but worth a push, and that’s what they’ll be doing here. The last time Wolfsburg triumphed over Bayern Munich was in 2015, 21 meetings ago. In the first meeting between them this season, Bayern won 2-1, inflicting a third straight loss on Wolfsburg. Jamal Muisala scored his fifth goal in six matches against Wolfsburg then, before Harry Kane got his first against the same opponents. With this game meaning more to them than Bayern, Wolfsburg will be hopeful of ending their poor run in this fixture. In their last outing, Wolfsburg triumphed 3-0 over Darmstadt, registering their third straight win and fourth in six matches. In this form, they will be confident of getting three points from Bayern to fuel their own ambitions. Three clean sheets only in 17 matches however stands out as a pointer to their struggles in defence. Six times in their last 10 matches, Wolfsburg conceded two or more goals, and seven of the 10 matches had over 2.5 goals.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bayern Munich v Wolfsburg Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1 | 41 | 301 |
|
|
1.4 | 5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.2 | 6.3 |
|
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Who will win the Bayern Munich vs Wolfsburg Football match?
The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg of Bundesliga on 5/12/24 :
- There is a probability of 60.83% ⭐ for Bayern Munich to win this match against Wolfsburg ⚽ with odds of 1.4 found at Ladbrokes.
- Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 41 which implies a probability of 15.18%.
- Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Wolfsburg to win the match are about 301 at Bet365. That means a probability of 23.99%.
Bayern Munich - Wolfsburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayern Munich vs Wolfsburg prediction | Win Probability | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich is favoured to win | 60.83 % | 1.4 |
| Draw | 15.18 % | 41 |
| Wolfsburg wins the game | 23.99 % | 301 |
Bayern Munich vs Wolfsburg Form
Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
72 | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 49 |
|
12
|
37 | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | -15 |
Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 May 2024 - Champions League
4 May 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Apr 2024 - Champions League
27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Apr 2024 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2024 - Bundesliga
27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
7 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
Bayern Munich against Wolfsburg : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
5 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
14 Aug 2022 - Bundesliga
14 May 2022 - Bundesliga
17 Dec 2021 - Bundesliga
17 Apr 2021 - Bundesliga
Bayern Munich against Wolfsburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
T. Buchmann
S. Boey
R. Guerreiro
K. Min-jae
MidfielderJ. Musiala
ForwardK. Coman
H. Kane
S. Gnabry
E. Choupo-Moting
L. Sane
Rogerio
MidfielderM. Svanberg
A. Vranckx
Y. Gerhardt
K. Amoako
ForwardL. Nmecha
D. Pejcinovic
Bayern Munich - Wolfsburg Key Points
- Four of Bayern Munich’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals
- Eight of the last 10 meetings between these two sides had over 2.5 goals
- 3.1 goals per game were scored on average in Wolfsburg’s last 10 games
- Bayern Munich conceded two or more goals in eight of 14 league matches
- Wolfsburg’s Bundesliga matches this season have had a per game average of 2.8 goals
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Our Bayern Munich vs Wolfsburg Prediction
Bayern Munich meeting Wolfsburg is a fixture that has become accustomed to high scores. In the run up to this game, the two sides have also been in high-scoring games and we expect the same here. Going by their recent scoring runs, our prediction for Bayern Munich v Wolfsburg is for the game to have over 2.5 goals.
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