Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
The two unbeaten nations in Group D2 of the UEFA Nations League, Lithuania and Azerbaijan, are set to meet in Round 3 action. The table toppers, Lithuania, on four points, will be visiting Azerbaijan, who are two points adrift. Azerbaijan have a stronger run at home and haven’t lost when hosting Lithuania, and our prediction backs them to avoid defeat.
Azerbaijan have drawn their opening two matches; the first was against Lithuania (1-1) and then Liechtenstein (0-0), and they will feel capable of a win now.
They come into this encounter unbeaten in four matches, having won two. At home, Azerbaijan are also on a good run, having only lost once in the last six and winning three times in the process.
Lithuania are eyeing their first away win against Azerbaijan. They will be confident coming into this encounter, as they have started the season on a high.
In their opening encounter they overcame Liechtenstein 2-0 before playing out a 1-1 draw with Azerbaijan. To warm up for their repeat game against Azerbaijan, Lithuania thrashed Andorra 3-0 in a friendly.
They’ve only lost once in five matches, but their away form has been poor, Lithuania suffering seven defeats in their last 10 matches on the road. That form will really concern the visitors ahead of this clash.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Azerbaijan v Lithuania Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.23 | 3.05 | 3.35 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.32 | 3.34 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.24 | 3.26 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.09 | 3.42 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.24 | 3.26 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Azerbaijan and Lithuania?
Our prediction for the Azerbaijan vs Lithuania match is: draw or Azerbaijan to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/10/2026 between Azerbaijan and Lithuania in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.11% for a win of Azerbaijan against Lithuania with odds of 2.33 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Azerbaijan vs Lithuania is 30.93% with odds of 3.32 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Lithuania vs Azerbaijan with odds of 3.42 at Betwinner.
Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Form
Azerbaijan and Lithuania's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 |
|
2
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Azerbaijan and Lithuania Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
23 Sept 2026 - International Friendlies
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
23 Sept 2026 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sept 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
29 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sept 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
29 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Most goals and assists
Azerbaijan
Lithuania
M. Emreli
(1 Goals)
A. Dolznikov
(1 Goals)
,
L. Michelbrink
(1 Goals)
,
A. Kucys
(1 Goals)
T. Mutallimov
(1 Assists)
G. Gineitis
(1 Assists)
,
A. Kucys
(1 Assists)
Azerbaijan and Lithuania Stats in UEFA Nations League
Azerbaijan - Lithuania Key Points
- Lithuania are winless in their two visits to Azerbaijan, losing once.
- Lithuania suffered seven defeats in their last 10 away matches.
- The last two meetings between these nations produced draws.
- Azerbaijan are unbeaten in four games, having drawn twice.
- Azerbaijan posted two wins in their last three home games.
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Our Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Prediction
Azerbaijan have all the reasons to come into this encounter high in confidence. The hosts haven’t lost any of their last four matches, winning twice. At home, Azerbaijan have recorded a three-game unbeaten run ahead of this clash, with two wins.
They also avoided defeat in their last two meetings with Lithuania, both which ended in draws. As Lithuania come into this encounter on a poor away run, we aren’t backing them a lot, though they are unbeaten in three against Azerbaijan. Our prediction for Azerbaijan v Lithuania is for a draw or Azerbaijan to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
