Australia vs Egypt Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath | in World Cup Predictions
The final night of the Round of 32 at the 2026 World Cup kicks off with Australia taking on Egypt at the AT&T Stadium in Arlington on Friday. The Pharaohs came through the group stage unbeaten, and we are going with them to avoid defeat against the Socceroos here as our match prediction.
Tony Popovic’s side secured their place in the knockout round by finishing second in Group D with four points, only behind tournament co-hosts the USA. Beyond aiming to qualify for the last 16 for a second World Cup in succession, this is a shot at revenge for the team from Down Under, as this is the very opponent that denied them a shot at a medal during the 2020 Summer Olympics.
Regardless of the outcome here, this is already a memorable tournament for the Egyptians, as they are featuring in the knockout round of a World Cup for the first time since 1934. Hossam Hassan’s team also finished second in their group, albeit with five points, and are the clear favourites heading into this crucial clash. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Australia v Egypt Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.3 | 2.85 | 2.46 |
|
|
3.44 | 3.06 | 2.52 |
|
|
3.3 | 2.95 | 2.43 |
|
|
3.3 | 2.95 | 2.43 |
|
|
3.44 | 3.06 | 2.52 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Australia and Egypt?
Our prediction for the Australia vs Egypt match is: Egypt draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/07/2026 between Australia and Egypt in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.67% for a win of Australia against Egypt with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Australia vs Egypt is 25.79% with odds of 3.08 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.54% chance ⭐ for a win of Egypt vs Australia with odds of 2.52 at 1xbet.
Australia vs Egypt Form
Australia and Egypt Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
5 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 May 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
28 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
28 May 2026 - International Friendlies
17 Jan 2026 - AFCON
10 Jan 2026 - AFCON
5 Jan 2026 - AFCON
26 Dec 2025 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
14 Jan 2026 - AFCON
Australia - Egypt: Form Analysis
Australia's World Cup campaign began positively with a 2-0 victory over Türkiye, but that was the highlight of their group stage, as they lost their next match to the USA before drawing goalless with Paraguay.
The Socceroos have only scored two goals in this competition, both of which came in that opening win against the Turks. Across their group-stage campaign, they managed an xG of just 0.69 per 90.
The Aussies' record in their last 10 games now reads as W3 D2 L5 - a significant dip in form after going unbeaten in their 12 preceding matches between September and October last year.
Australia have failed to score in five of their last 10 matches in all competitions!
Meanwhile, Egypt played out two 1-1 draws against Belgium in their opener and a thriller against Iran, either side of an impressive 3-1 victory over New Zealand in Group G to clinch second place.
The Pharaohs have recorded 48 shots at goal in this competition and have scored as many goals in their three matches in this World Cup (5) as they had in seven games at the finals before this year.
Across their last 10 matches, Egypt’s record stands at W4 D3 L3. However, they have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last four matches and are averaging 1.52 xGA per 90 in this competition.
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Australia vs Egypt last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Ryan
P. Izzo
DefenderM. Degenek
J. Geria
C. Burgess
K. Trewin
MidfielderP. Okon-Engstler
C. Devlin
ForwardN. Velupillay
T. Yengi
M. Toure
A. Mabil
A. Hrustic
M. Alaa
M. Elshenawy
M. Soliman
DefenderY. Ibrahim
K. Hafez
Tarek Alaa
MidfielderN. Donga
Marawan Attia
ForwardO. Marmoush
Zizo
Hamza Abdelkarim
H. Hassan
Ibrahim Adel
Missing players
J. Italiano
Ahmed Fatouh
M. Abdelmoneim
H. Abdelmaguid
MidfielderHamdy Fathy
M. Lashin
ForwardM. Salah
Australia & Egypt Squad Analysis
Nestory Irankunda has looked like Australia’s liveliest player in this tournament. The 20-year-old scored off the bench in their win against Turkiye and has registered two shots on target in 190 minutes on the pitch in this competition.
Connor Metcalfe is the only other player to have scored for the Socceroos at this World Cup, and his ability to arrive in the box from midfield is something the Egyptian defence will need to keep an eye on.
Mathew Leckie and Jacob Italiano sustained injuries in the lead-up to Australia’s final group match against Paraguay, and both players reportedly departed the team's camp on Friday morning.
Will Mohamed Salah feature for Egypt in the Round of 32?
The Egyptian King only lasted 57 minutes in the team’s final group game against Iran. He was seen with an ice pack on his left hamstring and will be assessed ahead of kickoff for this match.
Ahmed Fattouh and Mohamed Abdelmonem were also forced off through injury in the last match. Fattouh has been ruled out of this fixture, while Abdelmonem faces a race against time to feature.
The Pharaohs will be hoping that Omar Marmoush can step up here. The Man City attacker has yet to score for the side in this competition and has only managed one shot on target in 211 minutes.
Most goals and assists
Australia
Egypt
C. Metcalfe
(1 Goals)
,
N. Irankunda
(1 Goals)
E. Ashour
(1 Goals)
,
M. Salah
(1 Goals)
,
Trezeguet
(1 Goals)
,
Mostafa Zico
(1 Goals)
,
M. Saber
(1 Goals)
P. Okon-Engstler
(1 Assists)
M. Salah
(2 Assists)
Australia - Egypt Key Points
- Australia has only won one of their last five matches in all competitions.
- Australia has failed to score in their last two matches.
- Egypt are unbeaten at the 2026 World Cup.
- Egypt has scored in each of their last five matches in all competitions.
- Egypt are unbeaten in their two previous matches against this opponent.
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Our Australia vs Egypt Prediction
Australia has done well to reach the last 16 in this competition with a young side. However, their performances in the last two games were far from impressive, and there is a case to be made that they benefited from a favourable draw in the group stage
Egypt may have been a tad fortuitous to take a point away from their final group-stage match against Iran, but they have looked good in attack in this competition. We fancy the Pharaohs to progress from this tie, but will opt for the safety of our money back in the event of a 90-minute draw as our primary wager. Our Australia vs Egypt prediction is Egypt draw no bet.
Australia vs Egypt Alternative Predictions
Egypt wins
For all the same reasons pointed out in our main prediction, we are going for a straight-up Egypt win as our secondary prediction.
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Australia vs Egypt - FAQs
The 2026 World Cup Round of 32 match between Australia and Egypt will take place on July 3 at 18:00 UTC.
The 2026 World Cup Round of 32 match between Australia and Egypt will be broadcast on SBS (Australia) and beIN Sports (Egypt). UK viewers can tune in to the BBC and ITV.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our World Cup livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
