South America - Copa Sudamericana
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Football Predictions
Atlético Mineiro host Independiente del Valle in this second leg of the Copa Sudamericana on Wednesday. The Comeback Club held the Ecuadorian side to a draw away in the first leg in Ecuador. Can they leverage home advantage to overcome the visitors for a place in the final? Let's get into our prediction for the match.
Atlético Mineiro escaped defeat at the death in the first leg against Independiente del Valle. Forward Dudu silenced the home fans in Ecuador, netting a stoppage-time equaliser to chalk off the hosts’ narrow 1-0 lead.
Dudu also contributed at the weekend, providing the assist for the team’s 1-0 home victory over Ceara in Brazil’s Serie A. The Ceara win extended the Rooster’s unbeaten run at home to seven matches across competitions. They have won four of their six Copa Sudamericana home matches (D1, L1).
After the first leg stalemate, Independiente del Valle will need a magical turn of events in Wednesday’s clash to secure victory. The Ecuadorian Serie A title hopefuls have failed to win five of their six continental away games in regulation this season. This includes two of their three Copa Sudamericana away fixtures. They have also lost their last two away trips to face Atlético Mineiro.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atletico MG v CSD Independiente Del Valle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.65 | 3.75 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.4 | 5 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.3 | 5 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.4 | 5 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.65 | 5.3 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico MG and CSD Independiente Del Valle?
Our prediction for the Atletico MG vs CSD Independiente Del Valle match is: Atlético Mineiro wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/10/2025 between Atletico MG and CSD Independiente Del Valle in Copa Sudamericana :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.04% for a win of Atletico MG against CSD Independiente Del Valle with odds of 1.7 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico MG vs CSD Independiente Del Valle is 32.69% with odds of 3.75 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.26% chance ⭐ for a win of CSD Independiente Del Valle vs Atletico MG with odds of 5.3 at Unibet.
Atletico MG vs CSD Independiente Del Valle Form
Atletico MG and CSD Independiente Del Valle Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Oct 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
18 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Sept 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Oct 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
18 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Sept 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
11 Sept 2025 - Copa do Brasil
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Oct 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
17 Oct 2025 - Liga Pro
13 Oct 2025 - Copa Ecuador
8 Oct 2025 - Copa Ecuador
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Pro
28 Sept 2025 - Liga Pro
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Oct 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
13 Oct 2025 - Copa Ecuador
28 Sept 2025 - Liga Pro
17 Sept 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
13 Sept 2025 - Liga Pro
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2025 - Liga Pro
8 Oct 2025 - Copa Ecuador
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Pro
24 Sept 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
20 Sept 2025 - Liga Pro
24 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
Atletico MG vs CSD Independiente Del Valle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Oct 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
19 May 2022 - Copa Libertadores
26 Apr 2022 - Copa Libertadores
Atletico MG vs CSD Independiente Del Valle last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 3 - 2
Most goals and assists
Atletico MG
CSD Independiente Del Valle
Hulk
(7 Goals)
C. Spinelli
(24 Goals)
Hulk
(5 Assists)
,
G. Scarpa
(5 Assists)
J. Sornoza
(3 Assists)
Atletico MG and CSD Independiente Del Valle Stats in Copa Sudamericana
Atletico MG - CSD Independiente Del Valle Key Points
- Atlético Mineiro have won four of their six Copa Sudamericana home matches.
- Atlético Mineiro are unbeaten in their last seven home matches.
- Independiente del Valle have failed to win five of their six continental away matches this season in regulation.
- Independiente del Valle have lost their previous two away visits to Atlético Mineiro.
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Our Atletico MG vs CSD Independiente Del Valle Prediction
Atlético Mineiro are confident of a win on Wednesday after their strong performance in the first leg in Ecuador. Jorge Sampaoli’s side will have the backing of the Belo Horizonte crowd. They have also been resilient at home lately, and have won four of their six Copa Sudamericana home matches.
Despite their recent strong results in domestic away matches, Independiente del Valle have not impressed in their continental away fixtures this season. They have also suffered defeats in their last two trips to face Atlético Mineiro. Our Atlético Mineiro vs Independiente del Valle prediction is Atlético Mineiro wins.
Get up to €100 to bet on the Atletico MG vs. CSD Independiente Del Valle game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Atletico MG and CSD Independiente Del Valle when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Copa Sudamericana!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
