Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Atalanta finally lost a game in Serie A and will be looking to bounce back when they host Sassuolo next. Few wins, too many draws, and even fewer defeats have Atalanta in 11th place while Sassuolo are 12th, both tied on 13 points. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Atalanta have been through it all the past few days. After their first league loss in Udinese, they traveled to France for a Champions League game where they beat Marseille 1-0, albeit controversially.
Apart from having won just four of their 14 matches, Atalanta have also not been scoring a lot. Across the last nine matches, they scored more than a goal once. Twice in their last three home matches, Atalanta failed to score.
Sassuolo have lost in each of their last nine visits to Atalanta. As their hosts are coming from a league loss, Sassuolo will be looking to add to their woes.
They’ve actually won more matches than Atalanta in Serie A this season and will be confident going into this match. Half of their total points have come from their away matches.
However, coming here, they’ve managed just one win in the last four league outings. Their away form has also been improving, with a three-match unbeaten streak after losing the first three.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atalanta v Sassuolo Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.48 | 4.5 | 6.5 |
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1.5 | 4.5 | 6.5 |
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1.5 | 4.2 | 6 |
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1.48 | 4.33 | 6.5 |
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1.46 | 4.5 | 6.4 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Sassuolo?
Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Sassuolo match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/11/2025 between Atalanta and Sassuolo in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.25% for a win of Atalanta against Sassuolo with odds of 1.53 at Bwin.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Sassuolo is 30.75% with odds of 4.54 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 18% chance ⭐ for a win of Sassuolo vs Atalanta with odds of 6.55 at LSbet.
Atalanta - Sassuolo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atalanta Sassuolo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 51.25% | 1.53 at Bwin |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.16% | 1.9 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 55% | 1.85 at Betway |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atalanta | 26.54% | 4.5 at Betfair |
Atalanta vs Sassuolo Form
Atalanta and Sassuolo's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
|
13
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 2 |
Atalanta and Sassuolo Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Serie A
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Serie A
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
27 Sept 2025 - Serie A
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2025 - Serie A
30 Oct 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
18 Oct 2025 - Serie A
3 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2025 - Serie A
18 Oct 2025 - Serie A
3 Oct 2025 - Serie A
24 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
29 Aug 2025 - Serie A
Atalanta vs Sassuolo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Feb 2024 - Serie A
3 Jan 2024 - Coppa Italia
20 Aug 2023 - Serie A
4 Feb 2023 - Serie A
15 Oct 2022 - Serie A
10 Apr 2022 - Serie A
Atalanta against Sassuolo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
M. Bakker
E. Pieragnolo
F. Romagna
MidfielderD. Boloca
C. Volpato
ForwardL. Skjellerup
Most goals and assists
Atalanta - Sassuolo Key Points
- Each of Atalanta’s last seven games had under 2.5 goals.
- Only two of Sassuolo’s last five games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Sassuolo scored more than once in two of their last six away matches.
- Atalanta scored more than once in two of their last seven home matches.
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Our Atalanta vs Sassuolo Prediction
Sassuolo haven't had a great run in this fixture, especially when playing away to Atalanta. However, with their hosts struggling to score goals, they can afford some optimism. On the other hand, Sassuolo themselves aren’t scoring a lot, which means we may be looking at a low-scoring match here.
Sassuolo’s recent matches have generally had few goals, and coupled with the fact that in none of Atalanta’s last seven matches has a team scored more than once. Our prediction for Atalanta v Sassuolo is for less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atalanta Sassuolo
| Atalanta vs Sassuolo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 1.45 | 1.48 | +2.1% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 4.5 | -5.3% |
| Sassuolo wins | 6.5 | 6.5 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atalanta is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.0% and is now 67.6% (-1.4%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Atalanta vs. Sassuolo game!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.