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07 February 2024 - 15:00 

- R.4

England - FA Cup

Aston Villa
VS
Chelsea

Prediction :

Both Teams to Score And Over 2.5 Goals to be Scored

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Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup

 by Ian John | in FA Cup Prediction

Aston Villa and Chelsea could not have more contrasting form heading into Wednesday night's FA Cup Fourth Round Replay at Villa Park. The home side bounced back from a surprise home defeat to Newcastle by thrashing Sheffield United 5-0 on the road at the weekend, with five different players on the scoresheet and all goals scored by the 47th minute mark of the game. It was a much-needed return to form for the Villains after a lackluster run of results in the league, all of which stemmed from their 3-2 loss at Manchester United on Boxing Day. It was also a welcome return to goalscoring form for the team as they had recorded just two goals in their previous four games, with two 0-0 draws in amongst their previous four matches ahead of the thrashing of the Blades at the weekend. 

In sharp contrast, Chelsea come into this game on the back of two poor performances and heavy defeats in the Premier League. The Carabao Cup Finalists were held by Villa after their big 6-1 win over Middlesbrough in the semi-final 2nd leg of that competition but have since lost 4-1 to Liverpool (who they will play in the Carabao Cup Final) and then a 4-2 defeat at home to Wolves followed at the weekend. With the cups offering Chelsea their only realistic chance of a successful season, the pressure is on Mauricio Pochettino and his expensively assembled squad to stay in this competition and I think that is going to lead to an open game as I cannot see Chelsea being able to keep Villa out, and similarly, Villa have looked susceptible to conceding goals on the counter attack this season. The winner of this tie will have a home tie in the fifth round to look forward to, against the winner of the Leeds United v Plymouth Argyle replay on Tuesday night.

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The Best Betting Odds for Aston Villa v Chelsea Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.95 4.2 3.3
Betfred
2.05 3.75 3.4
Ladbrokes
2 3.7 3.4
NetBet
1.99 3.85 3.25
Check all Aston Villa vs Chelsea odds
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Who will win the Aston Villa vs Chelsea Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Aston Villa and Chelsea of FA Cup on 2/7/24 :

  • There is a probability of 61.54% ⭐ for Aston Villa to win this match against Chelsea ⚽ with odds of 2.05 found at Betfred.
  • Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 4.2 which implies a probability of 17.04%.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Chelsea to win the match are about 3.4 at Betfred. That means a probability of 21.43%.

Aston Villa - Chelsea Prediction and Best Odds:

Aston Villa vs Chelsea prediction

Win Probability

Best Odds
Aston Villa  is favoured to win61.54 %2.05
Draw17.04 %4.2
Chelsea wins the game21.43 %3.4

Aston Villa vs Chelsea Form

Aston Villa and Chelsea Last Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa Last matches
W W D D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
0.83
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

3 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Sheffield United
0 :  5
Aston Villa

30 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Newcastle

26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Chelsea
0 :  0
Aston Villa

14 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  0
Aston Villa

6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Aston Villa

30 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  2
Burnley
Chelsea
Chelsea Last matches
L W W D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.33
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

4 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  4
Wolves

31 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  1
Chelsea

26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Chelsea
0 :  0
Aston Villa

23 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
6 :  1
Middlesbrough

13 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Fulham

9 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Chelsea

Aston Villa against Chelsea : Head to Head (H2H)

Aston Villa

33 %

Draw

33 %

Chelsea

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
1.83
BTTS
33%
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
1
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%

26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Chelsea
0 :  0
Aston Villa

24 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Aston Villa

1 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  2
Aston Villa

16 Oct 2022 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  2
Chelsea

26 Dec 2021 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Chelsea

22 Sep 2021 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
1 :  1
Aston Villa
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Players list

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Goalkeeper

E. Martinez

Defender

D. Carlos

M. Cash

C. Lenglet

Midfielder

J. Ramsey

M. Diaby

N. Zaniolo

D. Luiz

T. Iroegbunam

Forward

O. Watkins

A. Moreno

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

D. Petrovic

Defender

A. Disasi

B. Chilwell

A. Gilchrist

M. Gusto

Midfielder

T. Silva

C. Gallagher

C. Chukwuemeka

E. Fernandez

Forward

C. Nkunku

R. Sterling

Substitutes

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Goalkeeper

J. Wright

R. Olsen

Defender

C. Chambers

P. Torres

Midfielder

N. Zaniolo

L. Bailey

J. Ramsey

Y. Tielemans

T. Iroegbunam

B. Kamara

Forward

O. Kellyman

M. Diaby

J. McGinn

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

M. Bettinelli

L. Bergstrom

Defender

T. Silva

C. Palmer

I. Samuels-Smith

A. Gilchrist

B. Badiashile

Midfielder

C. Chukwuemeka

M. Caicedo

Forward

C. Nkunku

N. Jackson

M. Mudryk

R. Sterling

N. Madueke

Missing players

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Defender

T. Mings

Midfielder

E. Buendia

B. Kamara

J. Ramsey

Forward

A. Moreno

M. Rogers

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

W. Fofana

Midfielder

R. Lavia

E. Fernandez

C. Chukwuemeka

Aston Villa - Chelsea Key Points

  1. Aston Villa have conceded just three goals in their last five games, all of those came in their recent 3-1 home defeat to Newcastle United.
  2. After successive 1-0 wins over Man City and Arsenal in December, Villa's last three home games have seen them draw with Sheffield United, narrowly beat Burnley 3-2 and then lose 3-1 to Newcastle United, who had previously won just one other away game all season.
  3. Villa have not lost to Chelsea in any of the last three games (winning two, drawing one), but all three of those games have come at Stamford Bridge. Their last win against Chelsea at home was back in May 2021.
  4. Chelsea have won five of the last six games that they have played against Aston Villa at Villa Park.
  5. The Blues come into this game on the back of two successive four-goal defeats in the Premier League, losing 4-1 to Liverpool at Anfield and then 4-2 at home to Wolves at the weekend.
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Our Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction

The bookmakers seem to think Aston Villa vs Chelsea in the FA Cup 4th Round replay will be a walkover for the Villains, but a closer look at the record reveals that Chelsea have a very good historic record at Villa Park. The problem for Chelsea is that their current form is awful and the cup competitions are their best hope of silverware this season, so there's a lot of pressure on the Londoners in this replay. Our prediction here for Aston Villa v Chelsea is for this game to buck the trend of low-scoring games between the two and for both teams to score and there to be over 2.5 goals in the game.

Prediction :

Both Teams to Score And Over 2.5 Goals to be Scored

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Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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