WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Top seed Aryna Sabalenka has an excellent record in the Madrid Open. The two-time champion faces 24th-seeded Marta Kostyuk in the quarter-finals of this outdoor clay court tournament. Here’s our match prediction.
The world number one has only ever won two WTA clay court tournaments. Both of them were in this tournament with wins in 2021 and 2023.and was the losing finalist last year.
This is Sabalenka’s second clay court tournament of the year. The other was in Stuttgart earlier this month where she lost in the final. Wins in Madrid have come against qualifier Anna Blinkova, 28th-seeded Elise Mertens and unseeded Peyton Stearns. Only Mertens took a set off her.
Marta Kostyuk has lost both of her previous matches against Aryna Sabalenka. One was on clay at Roland Garros last year with Sabalenka only conceding five games.
Kostyuk is up to 27th in the live rankings. The Ukrainian is in only her second quarter-final of the year and the first on this surface. Before this year, six times at the Madrid Open had seen her fail to get past round two.
This run to the last eight has seen three-sets wins over Emma Raducanu and Veronika Kudermetova and a 6-3 6-2 win over Anastasia Potapova.
We tip Sabalenka to win in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aryna Sabalenka v Marta Kostyuk Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.2 | 4.5 |
|
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1.2 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.19 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.23 | 4.23 |
|
|
1.23 | 4.23 |
|
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Who will win the Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk match is: Aryna Sabalenka to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk game on 30/04/2025 of the current WTA Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 74.15% chance to win against Marta Kostyuk according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.23.
- Marta Kostyuk has a 25.85% probability of winning facing Aryna Sabalenka ⭐ with odds of 4.56 at Betobet.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aryna Sabalenka has a 74.15 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 74.15 % |
| Marta Kostyuk | 25.85 % |
Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Marta Kostyuk Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
29 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
27 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
21 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
20 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
19 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
29 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
27 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
12 Apr 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup
11 Apr 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup
24 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
28 May 2023 - WTA French Open
Aryna Sabalenka - Marta Kostyuk Key Points
- Aryna Sabalenka has won both of her previous two matches against Kostyuk, one on clay.
- Of Sabalenka's last 18 wins, 17 have been in straight sets.
- Sabalenka has won this tournament twice and was the runner-up last year.
- Kostyuk hasn't faced any seeded players in this tournament but has lost two sets.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Prediction
Some players love particular tournaments and for Aryna Sabalenka, it's the Madrid Open. Twice she has won this title and lost in last year's final. The world number one is going well again this year and if winning this match will face either Elina Svitolina or Moyuka Uchijima in the last four.
Marta Kostyuk finally faces a seed in this tournament but has twice been taken to a final set. In two previous matches against Sabalenka, she is yet to win a set. Our Aryna Sabalenka v Marta Kostyuk prediction is Aryna Sabalenka to win in straight sets.
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Try your luck on this year's WTA Mutua Madrid Open! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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