Arsenal vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Daniel Ngulu | in Premier League Predictions
Out-of-form Arsenal will be back at home hoping to bag three points from the visit of Newcastle United to boost their title hopes. Like their hosts, Newcastle are also struggling, and both sides will be looking to return to winning ways. This encounter finds Arsenal in second place as Newcastle starts the round sitting 14th. Read on for our prediction of the match.
The Gunners are at risk of ending another season trophyless, and this time it will be harder to take after doing well all season only to falter in the final two months. They’ve been eliminated from two cups and pushed to second in the Premier League while there are no guarantees in the Champions League.
It also looks bad for Newcastle United, who look set to miss out on Europe after suffering their 15th defeat of the season. It makes for grim reading to the hopeful Newcastle fans that the Magpies are winless in 13 away league games at Arsenal.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Arsenal v Newcastle Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.46 | 4.8 | 6.8 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.84 | 7.4 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.84 | 7.4 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.75 | 7 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.7 | 6.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Newcastle match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/04/2026 between Arsenal and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.32% for a win of Arsenal against Newcastle with odds of 1.47 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Newcastle is 10.72% with odds of 5.03 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Arsenal with odds of 7.75 at 888Starz.
Arsenal - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:
| Arsenal Newcastle Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 54.32% | 1.47 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.81% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 59.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Arsenal | 21.28% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Arsenal vs Newcastle Form
Arsenal and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
85 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 |
|
12
|
49 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 |
Arsenal and Newcastle Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
15 Apr 2026 - Champions League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
22 Mar 2026 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Apr 2026 - Champions League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Carabao Cup
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
Arsenal vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Sept 2025 - Premier League
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Premier League
5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
7 Jan 2025 - Carabao Cup
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
Arsenal - Newcastle: Form Analysis
Once 10 points clear of Manchester City, Arsenal seems on course to bottle yet another campaign that looked quite promising. Two straight league defeats, and one of them against a direct competitor, have left the Gunners in a very awkward situation. While they were lackluster in most of their matches, Arsenal rose to the occasion in the 2-1 loss to Manchester City.
They missed a number of good chances and were eventually outdone by City’s individual brilliance. In midweek, they dropped to second place, and having looked short of confidence, this could be another tormenting outing. Arsenal run the risk of losing three straight EPL games for the first time since 2022.
Newcastle United are winless at Arsenal in their last 13 PL visits.
Newcastle United might want to add to Arsenal’s woes, but they come around with their own baggage. The visitors arrive for this game on a run of four straight defeats across all competitions. This run was set off by a 7-2 thrashing by Barcelona at Camp Nou, and they’ve gone on to fall in three league outings.
The most recent of them was against Bournemouth, leaving Eddie Howe under immense pressure. This season, they’ve managed just four away wins in their 16 Premier League games. Their last two wins on the road were against London sides (Chelsea and Tottenham), and the Magpies will be gunning for the same here. However, apart from being winless in their last 13 away league games at Arsenal, Newcastle have only scored once in nine of those visits.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Arsenal against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
K. Arrizabalaga
DefenderC. Mosquera
MidfielderM. Dowman
M. Lewis-Skelly
B. Saka
G. Martinelli
G. Jesus
V. Gyokeres
L. Trossard
A. Ramsdale
DefenderK. Trippier
L. Hall
A. Murphy
ForwardH. Barnes
A. Elanga
N. Woltemade
S. Neave
Y. Wissa
Missing players
K. Hein
DefenderJ. Timber
R. Calafiori
MidfielderM. Merino
F. Schar
E. Krafth
T. Livramento
ForwardJoelinton
A. Gordon
Arsenal & Newcastle Squad Analysis
One of the problems that have come across for Arsenal’s slump has been injury to key men. Bukayo Saka, Jurrien Timber, and Ricardo Calafiori have been missing in action lately. Saka is expected back, though. Skipper Martin Odegaard has been in and out of the team while Noni Madueke and Ben White have been off-color.
Kai Havertz has been scoring important goals and did so in the last game too. However, he has also been singled out for big misses, something he will need to address. The German was picked ahead of Viktor Gyökeres last time out, and it remains to be seen if Mikel Arteta injects any changes.
Aaron Ramsdale is set to face his former employers, Arsenal, as the Magpies’ starter.
Newcastle United’s season has also largely been impacted by injuries. There will be no easing ahead of this game with Tino Livramento succumbing to a groin strain in the Bournemouth defeat. It is reported he is out for the remainder of the season, which will definitely hurt the Magpies.
Arsenal-linked Anthony Gordon is also out of this encounter with a similar injury. It doesn’t end there for the visitors, as Emil Krafth and Fabian Schar are also ruled out while Joelinton is suspended.
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
Newcastle
V. Gyokeres
(14 Goals)
B. Guimaraes
(9 Goals)
L. Trossard
(6 Assists)
, 
M. Odegaard
(6 Assists)
B. Guimaraes
(5 Assists)
Arsenal - Newcastle Key Points
- Newcastle have scored in 18 consecutive matches.
- Arsenal failed to score in just three of their last 25 matches.
- Newcastle netted in each of their last 10 away games.
- Arsenal have only managed five clean sheets in the last 14 games.
- In their last 15 matches, Newcastle kept one clean sheet.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Arsenal vs Newcastle Prediction
Newcastle United have been performing poorly in terms of results, but not much fault can be attached to their attacking form. The Magpies have scored in 18 straight matches across all competitions.
They are, however, not doing themselves much favor with conceding in almost all. Only one of their last 15 matches produced a clean sheet. That was against an off-form Chelsea. Arsenal are also scoring consistently, but their defensive shape seems to abandon them at the time of need. With that, our prediction for Arsenal v Newcastle United is: BTTS.
Arsenal vs Newcastle Alternative Predictions
Arsenal wins
Arsenal may be struggling, but they aren’t doing as badly as Newcastle United. They will want to put that in practice and in the form of results here. The Gunners rarely lose this match at home, so we are backing them to win as our second prediction.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Arsenal Newcastle
| Arsenal vs Newcastle | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 1.48 | 1.47 | -0.7% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 5.03 | +11.8% |
| Newcastle wins | 5.8 | 7.75 | +33.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 67.6% and is now 68.0% (0.5%)
Arsenal vs Newcastle - FAQs
The Arsenal v Newcastle United match will be played on Saturday, 25th April.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
