Argentina vs Cape Verde Isl. Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
World - World Cup
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Devesh Jaganath | in World Cup Predictions
The penultimate team to progress to the last 16 of the 2026 World Cup will be decided on Friday night when Argentina take on Cape Verde at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. While La Albiceleste are massive favourites to win this clash, the Blue Sharks have been solid in defence, and our prediction is that they will keep the scoreline respectable in this match.
Lionel Scaloni’s side has fully lived up to expectations in North America this month, having breezed through the group stage with a perfect record of three wins in three. The defending champions are now the second-favourite to win the title again this year, and the shortest-priced favourite of any team in the RO32 this week.
In contrast, Cape Verde has more than exceeded expectations on football’s grandest stage. Under the guidance of Bubista, they ground out three points in their group and are the smallest country by population to reach the World Cup knockout stages. The Blue Sharks have been the fairytale story of this tournament - can they find a way to keep their dream alive? Let’s get into the key stats!
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Argentina v Cape Verde Isl. Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.15 | 6.8 | 17 |
|
|
1.19 | 7.85 | 22 |
|
|
1.15 | 7.4 | 20 |
|
|
1.16 | 7.3 | 19 |
|
|
1.19 | 7.85 | 22 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Argentina and Cape Verde Isl.?
Our prediction for the Argentina vs Cape Verde Isl. match is: less than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/07/2026 between Argentina and Cape Verde Isl. in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.13% for a win of Argentina against Cape Verde Isl. with odds of 1.19 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Argentina vs Cape Verde Isl. is 26.71% with odds of 8 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 10.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Cape Verde Isl. vs Argentina with odds of 24 at Betsson.
Argentina vs Cape Verde Isl. Form
Argentina and Cape Verde Isl. Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
29 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
29 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
26 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
Argentina - Cape Verde Isl.: Form Analysis
Argentina looked a cut above the rest in Group J of the 2026 World Cup, as they stormed into the Round of 32 with three wins on the bounce, beating Algeria 3-0, Austria 2-0 and Jordan 3-1.
La Albiceleste’s eight goals were the joint-second-most in the group stage, while the goal they conceded against Jordan is the only one they’ve allowed in their last six matches in all competitions.
The reigning world champions are now riding a 10-match win streak and have only lost one of their last 18 games, with that solitary defeat coming against Ecuador 1-0 back in September last year.
Argentina have scored two or more goals in each of their last nine matches!
Meanwhile, Cape Verde made a huge statement in their opening match of the tournament by holding Spain to a goalless draw before taking a point apiece off Uruguay (2-2) and Saudi Arabia (0-0).
Solid defence has been the cornerstone of the Blue Sharks’ success in recent times. Not only did they concede only twice in the group stage, but they have now kept four clean sheets in their last five matches.
Cape Verde is now unbeaten in their last six matches across all competitions. They have not lost a match in regulation time in any competition since the AFCON qualifiers in November 2024.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Argentina vs Cape Verde Isl. last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Substitutes
G. Rulli
J. Musso
DefenderG. Montiel
L. Martinez
F. Medina
N. Molina
C. Romero
MidfielderA. Mac Allister
R. De Paul
N. Gonzalez
V. Barco
E. Fernandez
ForwardL. Messi
T. Almada
J. Lopez
M. Rosa
C. Dos Santos
DefenderK. Pires
L. Costa
Stopira
S. Moreira
MidfielderY. Semedo
H. Varela
N. Da Costa
G. Rodrigues
L. Duarte
J. Cabral
ForwardG. Benchimol
Missing players
T. Arcanjo
Argentina & Cape Verde Isl. Squad Analysis
Lionel Messi has been the standout performer in this competition. The eight-time Ballon d’Or winner has scored in every match so far and leads the Golden Boot standings with six goals in three games.
Beyond the Inter Miami superstar, Scaloni has plenty of attacking firepower at his disposal. Lautaro Martinez notched up his first goal of the tournament against Jordan and will likely lead the line in this match.
Cristian Romero missed La Albiceleste's final group match with a knee injury, but the Tottenham defender returned to full training with the squad earlier this week, and he should be available for this clash.
Messi is the first player to score in seven consecutive World Cup appearances!
While Cape Verde has received heroic performances from several of their players, few stand out quite like Vozinha. The 40-year-old shot-stopper made seven saves against Spain and another three against Saudi Arabia, and he will need to be at his best again here to keep his side in this contest.
Pico Lopes has been the rock in front of Vozinha in goal. Against La Roja alone, the Shamrock Rovers defender recorded 11 clearances, three blocks, two interceptions and a 100% aerial duel success rate.
Most goals and assists
Argentina
Cape Verde Isl.
L. Messi
(6 Goals)
R. De Paul
(1 Assists)
,
N. Gonzalez
(1 Assists)
,
F. Medina
(1 Assists)
Argentina - Cape Verde Isl. Key Points
- Seven of Argentina’s last 10 matches have ended with under 3.5 goals.
- Argentina has kept clean sheets in five of their last six matches in all competitions.
- Argentina has an xGA of just 0.54 per 90 in this competition.
- Nine of Cape Verde’s last 10 matches have ended with under 3.5 goals (in regulation time).
- Cape Verde has kept clean sheets in four of their last five matches in all competitions.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Argentina vs Cape Verde Isl. Prediction
Argentina has been sensational in their title defence. Not only have they been clinical in attack, but they’ve also been rock solid in defence, conceding just a single goal their last six matches across all competitions.
Cape Verde has been the Cinderella story of this World Cup, and while many from a neutral perspective would love to see the fairytale continue, this is about the toughest challenge they could face. Still, given how the Blue Sharks have defended in this tournament, we fancy them to keep the scoreline respectable. Our Argentina vs Cape Verde prediction is less than 3.5 goals.
Argentina vs Cape Verde Isl. Alternative Predictions
Argentina wins
Argentina are the reigning world champions. They won all three group-stage games and are now on a 10-match win streak across all competitions, while having scored two or more goals in each of their last nine.
Get up to €100 to bet on the Argentina vs. Cape Verde Isl. game
You can get yourself up to €100 in matched bets for the World Cup match between Argentina and Cape Verde Isl. when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on World Cup!
Argentina vs Cape Verde Isl. - FAQs
The 2026 World Cup Round of 32 match between Argentina and Cape Verde will take place on July 3 at 22:00 UTC.
The 2026 World Cup Round of 32 match between Argentina and Cape Verde will be played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, USA.
The 2026 World Cup Round of 32 match between Argentina and Cape Verde will be broadcast on Telefe (Argentina) and RTC (Cape Verde). UK viewers can tune in to the BBC and ITV.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our World Cup livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
