Scotland - Scottish League Cup
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
Arbroath will start off their 2025/26 season with a League Cup first-round match against St. Mirren in Group D. Having led the way in League One, the Smokies will look to shock the Premiership side here. Let’s look at the numbers going into the game before offering a prediction.
Arbroath had a poor finish to last season, a three-game winless run, even though they ended the season seven points ahead of second place.
This run extended into their preseason performances as they failed to win their two friendly matches ahead of this game. Two years ago, they met St. Mirren in this very competition and were beaten 4-0. In their last three matches, they conceded nine goals.
St. Mirren had a solid campaign in the Premiership last season, managing a sixth-place finish. Having won three straight friendly matches ahead of this fixture, the visitors will be keen on a flying start.
Their last two competitive matches ended in draws, but they are unbeaten in six competitive matches, winning three. On their away trips, St. Mirren bagged four wins in the last eight competitive matches.
They will be looking back to that for inspiration heading into this game. St. Mirren have four wins in their last six League Cup matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Arbroath v St Mirren Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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5.75 | 4.5 | 1.42 |
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7 | 4 | 1.4 |
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6.5 | 4 | 1.44 |
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6 | 4.33 | 1.44 |
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5.5 | 4.2 | 1.44 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Arbroath and St Mirren?
Our prediction for the Arbroath vs St Mirren match is: St. Mirren wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/07/2025 between Arbroath and St Mirren in Scottish League Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.96% for a win of Arbroath against St Mirren with odds of 7 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arbroath vs St Mirren is 36.19% with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.85% chance ⭐ for a win of St Mirren vs Arbroath with odds of 1.46 at Tonybet.
Arbroath vs St Mirren Form
Arbroath and St Mirren Last Matches

2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Scottish League One
26 Apr 2025 - Scottish League One
19 Apr 2025 - Scottish League One
12 Apr 2025 - Scottish League One
5 Apr 2025 - Scottish League One
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Scottish League One
12 Apr 2025 - Scottish League One
29 Mar 2025 - Scottish League One
15 Mar 2025 - Scottish League One
1 Mar 2025 - Scottish League One
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Scottish League One
19 Apr 2025 - Scottish League One
5 Apr 2025 - Scottish League One
22 Mar 2025 - Scottish League One
8 Mar 2025 - Scottish League One
4 Mar 2025 - Scottish League One

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership
14 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership
10 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership
26 Apr 2025 - Scottish Premiership
12 Apr 2025 - Scottish Premiership
29 Mar 2025 - Scottish Premiership
1 Mar 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership
10 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership
5 Apr 2025 - Scottish Premiership
15 Mar 2025 - Scottish Premiership
Arbroath - St Mirren Key Points
- Arbroath lost to St. Mirren in their latest meeting.
- Arbroath are winless in the last three competitive matches.
- Arbroath lost two of their last three League Cup matches.
- St. Mirren lost just two of their last eight away matches, winning four.
- St. Mirren are unbeaten in their last six matches, winning three.
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Our Arbroath vs St Mirren Prediction
While these two sides haven't met a lot in recent years, this fixture rarely favors Arbroath. In 2023 the two sides clashed in the League Cup too, and St. Mirren took a commanding 4-0 win. The visitors are still the favorites here, as away from home, they carry a six-match unbeaten run.
In their last six League Cup matches, St. Mirren managed four wins. Among them is a win against Arbroath. Our prediction for Arbroath v St. Mirren is that St. Mirren wins the match.
Get up to £30 to bet on the Arbroath vs. St Mirren game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Arbroath and St Mirren when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Scottish League Cup!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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