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Arbroath vs St Mirren Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish League Cup

Scotland - Scottish League Cup

Arbroath
12/07/2025 07:00
St Mirren

Prediction :

 

St Mirren wins the match

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions

Arbroath will start off their 2025/26 season with a League Cup first-round match against St. Mirren in Group D. Having led the way in League One, the Smokies will look to shock the Premiership side here. Let’s look at the numbers going into the game before offering a prediction.

Arbroath had a poor finish to last season, a three-game winless run, even though they ended the season seven points ahead of second place.

This run extended into their preseason performances as they failed to win their two friendly matches ahead of this game. Two years ago, they met St. Mirren in this very competition and were beaten 4-0. In their last three matches, they conceded nine goals.

St. Mirren had a solid campaign in the Premiership last season, managing a sixth-place finish. Having won three straight friendly matches ahead of this fixture, the visitors will be keen on a flying start.

Their last two competitive matches ended in draws, but they are unbeaten in six competitive matches, winning three. On their away trips, St. Mirren bagged four wins in the last eight competitive matches.

They will be looking back to that for inspiration heading into this game. St. Mirren have four wins in their last six League Cup matches.

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The Best Betting Odds for Arbroath v St Mirren Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
5.75 4.5 1.42
Betfred
7 4 1.4
William Hill
6.5 4 1.44
Betway
6 4.33 1.44
Ladbrokes
5.5 4.2 1.44
Check all Arbroath vs St Mirren odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Arbroath and St Mirren?

Our prediction for the Arbroath vs St Mirren match is: St. Mirren wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/07/2025 between Arbroath and St Mirren in Scottish League Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.96% for a win of Arbroath against St Mirren with odds of 7 at Betfred.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arbroath vs St Mirren is 36.19% with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 36.85% chance ⭐ for a win of St Mirren vs Arbroath with odds of 1.46 at Tonybet.

Arbroath vs St Mirren Form

Arbroath and St Mirren Last Matches

Arbroath
Arbroath Last matches
W W L L D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Arbroath
1 :  1
Dundee United

3 May 2025 - Scottish League One

Arbroath
1 :  1
Queen of The South

26 Apr 2025 - Scottish League One

Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
3 :  0
Arbroath

19 Apr 2025 - Scottish League One

Annan Athletic FC
5 :  1
Arbroath

12 Apr 2025 - Scottish League One

Arbroath
4 :  0
Stenhousemuir

5 Apr 2025 - Scottish League One

Montrose
0 :  1
Arbroath
W D W W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Arbroath
1 :  1
Dundee United

3 May 2025 - Scottish League One

Arbroath
1 :  1
Queen of The South

12 Apr 2025 - Scottish League One

Arbroath
4 :  0
Stenhousemuir

29 Mar 2025 - Scottish League One

Arbroath
1 :  0
Cove Rangers

15 Mar 2025 - Scottish League One

Arbroath
1 :  1
Dumbarton

1 Mar 2025 - Scottish League One

Arbroath
3 :  0
Annan Athletic FC
W W D W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2025 - Scottish League One

Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
3 :  0
Arbroath

19 Apr 2025 - Scottish League One

Annan Athletic FC
5 :  1
Arbroath

5 Apr 2025 - Scottish League One

Montrose
0 :  1
Arbroath

22 Mar 2025 - Scottish League One

Kelty Hearts
1 :  1
Arbroath

8 Mar 2025 - Scottish League One

Alloa Athletic
2 :  3
Arbroath

4 Mar 2025 - Scottish League One

Dumbarton
1 :  2
Arbroath
St Mirren
St Mirren Last matches
W W D D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Milton Keynes Dons
1 :  2
St Mirren

28 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Dumbarton
0 :  4
St Mirren

17 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  1
St Mirren

14 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
2 :  2
Hibernian

10 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
0 :  2
St Mirren

3 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
1 :  0
Aberdeen
L W W D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

14 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
2 :  2
Hibernian

3 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
1 :  0
Aberdeen

26 Apr 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
2 :  2
Rangers

12 Apr 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
3 :  2
Ross County

29 Mar 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
5 :  1
Kilmarnock

1 Mar 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
2 :  5
Celtic
D L W D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Milton Keynes Dons
1 :  2
St Mirren

28 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Dumbarton
0 :  4
St Mirren

17 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  1
St Mirren

10 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
0 :  2
St Mirren

5 Apr 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee FC
2 :  0
St Mirren

15 Mar 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
2 :  2
St Mirren
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Arbroath - St Mirren Key Points

  1. Arbroath lost to St. Mirren in their latest meeting.
  2. Arbroath are winless in the last three competitive matches.
  3. Arbroath lost two of their last three League Cup matches.
  4. St. Mirren lost just two of their last eight away matches, winning four.
  5. St. Mirren are unbeaten in their last six matches, winning three.
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Our Arbroath vs St Mirren Prediction

While these two sides haven't met a lot in recent years, this fixture rarely favors Arbroath. In 2023 the two sides clashed in the League Cup too, and St. Mirren took a commanding 4-0 win. The visitors are still the favorites here, as away from home, they carry a six-match unbeaten run.

In their last six League Cup matches, St. Mirren managed four wins. Among them is a win against Arbroath. Our prediction for Arbroath v St. Mirren is that St. Mirren wins the match.

Prediction :

 

St Mirren wins the match

 
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Arbroath vs St Mirren Prediction
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