Anderlecht vs Lyon Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

Europe - Europa League

Anderlecht
16/09/2026 15:00
Lyon

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Europa League Predictions

Anderlecht will hope to make the most of their home advantage as they begin their league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League (UEL) against Lyon on matchday one. This match at the Lotto Park on Wednesday between the ‘Purple & White’ and ’Les Gones’ could be a tight encounter, with under 2.5 goals remaining our match prediction.

The hosts have come through the qualifiers, starting from the second qualifying round. The visitors dropped down into the Europa League after losing in the UEFA Champions League playoffs against Fenerbahce.

Anderlecht edged out KV Mechelen 1-0 away from home last Friday for a fourth win in their last six matches (D1, L1). Two of those wins have come in the UEL qualifiers, where they thrashed Kairat Almaty 3-0 in each leg.

Strong home form is Anderlecht’s strength, as they remain unbeaten at home in all competitions (W5, D1), while keeping three clean sheets along the way.

Lyon come here on the back of a 0-0 away draw against Paris FC in Ligue 1. That was part of a four-game sequence where they could win just once (D2, L1) and lost to Fenerbahce in the Champions League. That defeat saw them drop down to the Europa League, but just one win from the last four trips (D2, L1) suggests things may not be straightforward for them.

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Anderlecht v Lyon Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.4 3.7 2.06
1xbet
3.57 3.78 2.06
Melbet
3.5 3.7 2.01
Betwinner
3.5 3.7 2.01
22bet
3.52 3.72 2
Check all Anderlecht vs Lyon odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Anderlecht and Lyon?

Our prediction for the Anderlecht vs Lyon match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/09/2026 between Anderlecht and Lyon in Europa League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.43% for a win of Anderlecht against Lyon with odds of 3.65 at Betsson.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Anderlecht vs Lyon is 24.24% with odds of 3.78 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 25.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Lyon vs Anderlecht with odds of 2.08 at Tonybet.

Anderlecht vs Lyon Form

Anderlecht and Lyon Last Matches

Anderlecht
Anderlecht Last matches
W W L W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
0% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Sept 2026 - Jupiler Pro League

Mechelen
0 :  1
Anderlecht

6 Sept 2026 - Jupiler Pro League

Anderlecht
0 :  0
Genk

3 Sept 2026 - Jupiler Pro League

Anderlecht
1 :  0
Kortrijk

30 Aug 2026 - Jupiler Pro League

Union Saint-Gilloise
3 :  0
Anderlecht

27 Aug 2026 - Europa League

Anderlecht
3 :  0
Kairat Almaty

20 Aug 2026 - Europa League

Kairat Almaty
0 :  3
Anderlecht
W W W W W D
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2026 - Jupiler Pro League

Anderlecht
0 :  0
Genk

3 Sept 2026 - Jupiler Pro League

Anderlecht
1 :  0
Kortrijk

27 Aug 2026 - Europa League

Anderlecht
3 :  0
Kairat Almaty

13 Aug 2026 - Europa League

Anderlecht
3 :  2
PAOK Thessaloniki

9 Aug 2026 - Jupiler Pro League

Anderlecht
2 :  1
RAAL La Louviere

30 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Anderlecht
3 :  1
Hammarby IF
D W L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Sept 2026 - Jupiler Pro League

Mechelen
0 :  1
Anderlecht

30 Aug 2026 - Jupiler Pro League

Union Saint-Gilloise
3 :  0
Anderlecht

20 Aug 2026 - Europa League

Kairat Almaty
0 :  3
Anderlecht

16 Aug 2026 - Jupiler Pro League

Beveren
1 :  0
Anderlecht

6 Aug 2026 - Europa League

PAOK Thessaloniki
0 :  1
Anderlecht

23 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Hammarby IF
1 :  1
Anderlecht
Lyon
Lyon Last matches
D W L D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  0
Lyon

4 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
3 :  1
Auxerre

29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  1
Le Havre

26 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Lyon
1 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul

22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  2
Lyon

18 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
1 :  1
Lyon
W L W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
3 :  1
Auxerre

29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  1
Le Havre

26 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Lyon
1 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul

11 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Lyon
3 :  0
Sparta Prague

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lyon
0 :  2
Slavia Prague

15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lyon
2 :  1
Servette Geneva
W L L D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  0
Lyon

22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  2
Lyon

18 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
1 :  1
Lyon

4 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Sparta Prague
2 :  1
Lyon

29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Betis
4 :  0
Lyon

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Wolfsburg
0 :  2
Lyon
Anderlecht vs Lyon Prediction

Anderlecht vs Lyon last Lineups

Anderlecht

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

26
C. Coosemans
79
A. Maamar
4
G. Biancone
27
L. Petrot
6
L. Augustinsson
10
M. Winkler
30
I. Koutsoupias
55
M. Kana
11
O. Antman
21
T. Bentayeb
14
D. Sikan
17
L. Openda
10
P. Sulc
7
E. Nuamah
8
C. Tolisso
23
T. Morton
2
M. Bidstrup
16
A. Vinicius
19
M. Niakhate
20
F. Bacher
13
Z. Athekame
1
D. Greif

Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1

Lyon

Substitutes

Anderlecht
Anderlecht
Goalkeeper

J. Heekeren

Defender

A. Omobamidele

Midfielder

E. Llansana

T. Aasgaard

A. Romeo

T. Degreef

J. Nga Kana to

Forward

N. Ojea Cobiella

M. Cvetkovic

Lyon
Lyon
Goalkeeper

R. Descamps

Defender

C. Mata

R. Kluivert

N. Tagliafico

Midfielder

N. Nartey

K. Boudache

K. Merah

T. Tessmann

K. Nakamura

Anderlecht - Lyon Key Points

  1. Anderlecht kept a clean sheet in five of their last six matches.
  2. Lyon scored exactly once in five of their last eight matches in Europe.
  3. Four of Lyon’s last six matches have featured under 2.5 goals.
  4. Anderlecht’s last three games featured less than two goals each time.
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Our Anderlecht vs Lyon Prediction

Lyon dropped to the Europa League after losing in the playoffs of the Champions League. While that gives them enough motivation to do well in this competition, Anderlecht won’t be ceding their home advantage easily. They have come through the qualifiers this year and have five wins from their last six home games in Europe, while keeping three clean sheets along the way.

Three of Lyon’s last four away matches in Europe ended with fewer than three goals, and that could repeat here. That’s why our Anderlecht vs Lyon prediction is under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.