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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Toronto Predictions
Holger Rune is seeded fifth in the outdoor hard court Canadian Open. In the last 32 of this Masters tournament, he takes on 29th-seeded Alexandre Muller. The winner faces either Danill Medvedev or defending champion Alexei Popyrin in the next round. Time for our match prediction.
While Rune is best known for his clay court exploits, he did reach the last four at Indian Wells this year. That saw him get wins over Daniil Medvedev, Tallon Greikspoor, Stefanos Tsitsipas and Ugo Humbert.
In his one match so far this week, the 22-year-old beat Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in straight sets. He's up to eighth in the live rankings.
Alexandre Muller has had one previous match against Rune. That was on clay four years ago with Rune winning in straight sets.
Muller is 41st in the live rankings and struggled in his one match played so far this week in Toronto. The 28-year-old needed three sets to defeat unseeded Miomir Kecmanovic. Last week was a struggle too with a 6-0 6-1 loss to Corentin Moutet in Washington.
He'll want to rediscover the form that saw him win the hard court tournament in Hong Kong six months ago. This is the first time since then he's made it to round three of a hard court tournament. We tip Rune to win in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Alexandre Muller v Holger Rune Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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4.33 | 1.22 |
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4.2 | 1.22 |
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4 | 1.25 |
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4 | 1.22 |
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4.25 | 1.23 |
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Who will win the Alexandre Muller vs Holger Rune Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alexandre Muller vs Holger Rune match is: Holger Rune to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alexandre Muller vs Holger Rune game on 31/07/2025 of the current ATP Toronto season:
- Alexandre Muller has a 26.15% chance to win against Holger Rune according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 4.4.
- Holger Rune has a 73.85% probability of winning facing Alexandre Muller ⭐ with odds of 1.27 at Betobet.
Alexandre Muller vs Holger Rune Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alexandre Muller has a 26.15 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Alexandre Muller | 26.15 % |
Holger Rune | 73.85 % |
Alexandre Muller vs Holger Rune Form
Alexandre Muller and Holger Rune Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
29 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
22 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
21 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
23 Jun 2025 - ATP Mallorca Open
16 Jun 2025 - ATP Halle Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
29 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
30 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
20 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
18 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
16 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
1 Jun 2025 - ATP French Open
Alexandre Muller vs Holger Rune Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
4 Jun 2021 - Biella 7, Italy, Qualifying
Alexandre Muller - Holger Rune Key Points
- Muller is 33 places below Rune in the live rankings.
- Muller had to go to three sets to win his only match played so far in Toronto.
- Muller lost to Corentin Moutet last week in Washington and only won one game.
- This is the first time in six months that Muller has progressed past round two of a hard court tournament.
- Rune won his only previous match against Muller in straight sets.
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Our Alexandre Muller vs Holger Rune Prediction
Holger Rune has an excellent chance to reach the last 16 of the Canadian Open. The fifth seed did well to win his second round match in straight sets and has beaten several top ranked players on hard courts this year.
Muller struggled to win against Kecmanovic and put in a dreadful performance last week against Corentin Moutet. He'll need to show massive improvement on that to challenge Rune. Our Alexandre Muller v Holger Rune prediction is Holger Rune to win in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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