ATP - ATP Vienna
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Third seed Alex de Minaur faces unseeded Matteo Berrettini for a place in the Erste Open semi-finals. De Minaur will be attempting to get his first win over Berrettini since 2022. Read our match prediction below.
Alex de Minaur has so far beaten unseeded Jiri Rodionov and wild card Filip Misolic without dropping a set. The Australian is up to sixth in the live rankings and a place lower in the ATP Race. He's still in with a good chance of reaching the Tour Finals.
The 26-year-old has a 39-12 hard court record this year. This is his ninth ATP Tour hard court quarter-final in 2025. He's won one title in Washington and was the runner-up in the Rotterdam indoor tournament.
He trails Berrettini 3-2 in previous meetings and lost to him in Miami this year. That made it 2-1 to de Minaur on hard courts.
Matteo Berrettini had a tough match on Thursday while de Minaur's last match was on Wednesday. Berrettini had to go to three sets to get past Cameron Norrie with two tie-breaks played Before that, he beat Alexei Popyrin in straight sets.
Berrettini is in his second successive quarter-final in Vienna and 61st in the live rankings.
We tip de Minaur to win this.
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The Best Betting Odds for Alex De Minaur v Matteo Berrettini Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.29 | 3.75 |
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1.29 | 3.8 |
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1.3 | 3.4 |
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1.3 | 3.6 |
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1.27 | 2.95 |
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Who will win the Alex De Minaur vs Matteo Berrettini Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alex De Minaur vs Matteo Berrettini match is: Alex de Minaur wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alex De Minaur vs Matteo Berrettini game on 24/10/2025 of the current ATP Vienna season:
- Alex De Minaur has a 57.4% chance to win against Matteo Berrettini according to Ladbrokes ⭐ with the odds of 1.3.
- Matteo Berrettini has a 42.6% probability of winning facing Alex De Minaur ⭐ with odds of 3.8 at Betway.
Alex De Minaur vs Matteo Berrettini Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alex De Minaur has a 57.4 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alex De Minaur | 57.4 % |
| Matteo Berrettini | 42.6 % |
Alex De Minaur vs Matteo Berrettini Form
Alex De Minaur and Matteo Berrettini Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
22 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
20 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
10 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
8 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
6 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
23 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
22 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
16 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
14 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
1 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
26 Sep 2025 - ATP Japan Open
Alex De Minaur vs Matteo Berrettini Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
25 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
7 Jul 2023 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
19 Jun 2021 - ATP London - Queen's
Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini Key Points
- Only six players have earned more ranking points than de Minaur this year.
- De Minaur is playing in his ninth ATP Tour hard court quarter-final of 2025.
- De Minaur is yet to drop a set this week.
- De Minaur has won 11 of his last 13 matches.
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Our Alex De Minaur vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction
Alex de Minaur has been ultra-consistent this year with 52 wins on all surfaces and 31 on hard courts. He's playing in his third successive hard court quarter-final and is yet to drop a set in this week's Erste Open in Vienna.
Matteo Berrettini was a quarter-finalist here last year. This is his fourth ATP Tour hard court last eight appearance of the year but he's yet to get past this stage and had a tough match on Thursday. Our Alex de Minaur v Matteo Berrettini prediction is Alex de Minaur wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
