ATP - ATP Stockholm Open


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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Round one of the 2025 Stockholm Open could well see a seeding upset. Unseeded Aleksandar Kovacevic is our selection to defeat eighth-seed Camilo Ugo Carabelli Time to read our match prediction.
The winner of this match goes into the last 16 of this indoor hard court tournament. There they will face either unseeded Lorenzo Sonego or a qualifier. A new champion will be crowned this year as 2024 title winner Roberto Bautista Agut isn't playing.
Both of these players are struggling for form. Kovacevic has lost his last five matches (all on hard courts) with his last victory coming in mid-August. He's been getting close though with each of his last three matches going to a third set.
He's 68th in the live rankings and that is 23 below that of his opponent. However, the fact this match is being played on a hard court is very important. While Kovacevic has a 12-3 indoor hard court record this year with two ATP finals reached, Carabelli has a 5-9 record on this surface.
The Italian is far better on clay and this is his first indoor hard court match of the year. His recent form is poor with only two of his last eight matches (all on hard courts) being won. We tip Kovacevic to win in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Aleksandar Kovacevic v Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.3 | 3.5 |
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1.36 | 3.1 |
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1.35 | 3.2 |
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1.33 | 3.1 |
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1.35 | 3.2 |
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Who will win the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli match is: Aleksandar Kovacevic to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli game on 13/10/2025 of the current ATP Stockholm Open season:
- Aleksandar Kovacevic has a 56.44% chance to win against Camilo Ugo Carabelli according to William Hill ⭐ with the odds of 1.36.
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 43.56% probability of winning facing Aleksandar Kovacevic ⭐ with odds of 3.98 at Betwinner.
Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aleksandar Kovacevic has a 56.44 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Aleksandar Kovacevic | 56.44 % |
Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 43.56 % |
Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Form
Aleksandar Kovacevic and Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
2 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
21 Sep 2025 - ATP Japan Open
19 Sep 2025 - ATP Hangzhou Open
25 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
19 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open
18 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
3 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
1 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
25 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
18 Sep 2025 - ATP Hangzhou Open
24 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
10 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aleksandar Kovacevic - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Key Points
- Carabelli has only won five of his 14 hard court matches this year.
- Kovacevic has a 12-3 indoor hard court record in 2025.
- Carabelli has only won two of his last eight matches.
- Kovacevic has reached two ATP hard court finals this year.
- Carabelli hasn't won a set in his last six matches.
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Our Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction
If this match was being played on clay, our prediction would be rather different. Carabelli is far better on that surface and has a 5-9 record on hard courtts and hasn't played indoors in 2025. Only two of his last eight matches have been won and no sets.
Aleksandar Kovaceviic could also do with a win but he's at least been getting close. He may well relish a return to indoor hard courts where he's won 12 of his 15 matches this year. Our Aleksandar Kovacevic v Camilo Ugo Carabelli prediction is Aleksandar Kovacevic to win in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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