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Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Stockholm Open

ATP - ATP Stockholm Open

ATP 68 USA
Aleksandar Kovacevic
13/10/2025 04:00
ATP 45 Argentina
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Prediction :

 

Aleksandar Kovacevic to win in straight sets

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Round one of the 2025 Stockholm Open could well see a seeding upset. Unseeded Aleksandar Kovacevic is our selection to defeat eighth-seed Camilo Ugo Carabelli   Time to read our match prediction.

The winner of this match goes into the last 16 of this indoor hard court tournament. There they will face either unseeded Lorenzo Sonego or a qualifier. A new champion will be crowned this year as 2024 title winner Roberto Bautista Agut isn't playing.

Both of these players are struggling for form. Kovacevic has lost his last five matches (all on hard courts) with his last victory coming in mid-August. He's been getting close though with each of his last three matches going to a third set.

He's 68th in the live rankings and that is 23 below that of his opponent. However, the fact this match is being played on a hard court is very important. While Kovacevic has a 12-3 indoor hard court record this year with two ATP finals reached, Carabelli has a 5-9 record on this surface.

The Italian is far better on clay and this is his first indoor hard court match of the year. His recent form is poor with only two of his last eight matches (all on hard courts) being won. We tip Kovacevic to win in straight sets.

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The Best Betting Odds for Aleksandar Kovacevic v Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.3 3.5
William Hill
1.36 3.1
Betway
1.35 3.2
Ladbrokes
1.33 3.1
Unibet
1.35 3.2
Check all Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli odds
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Who will win the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli match is: Aleksandar Kovacevic to win in straight sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli game on 13/10/2025 of the current ATP Stockholm Open season:

  • Aleksandar Kovacevic has a 56.44% chance to win against Camilo Ugo Carabelli according to William Hill ⭐ with the odds of 1.36.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 43.56% probability of winning facing Aleksandar Kovacevic ⭐ with odds of 3.98 at Betwinner.

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aleksandar Kovacevic has a 56.44 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Aleksandar Kovacevic56.44 %
Camilo Ugo Carabelli43.56 %

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Form

Aleksandar Kovacevic and Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last Matches

Aleksandar Kovacevic Last matches
W L L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

2 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Aleksandar Kovacevic
1 :  2
Juncheng Shang

21 Sep 2025 - ATP Japan Open

Aleksandar Kovacevic
1 :  2
Aleksandar Vukic

19 Sep 2025 - ATP Hangzhou Open

Aleksandar Kovacevic
1 :  2
Valentin Royer

25 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Aleksandar Kovacevic
0 :  3
Coleman Wong

19 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Miomir Kecmanovic
2 :  0
Aleksandar Kovacevic

18 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Aleksandar Kovacevic
2 :  0
Filip Misolic
Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last matches
L L L L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

3 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

1 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
abort
Terence Atmane

25 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2 :  0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

18 Sep 2025 - ATP Hangzhou Open

Rinky Hijikata
2 :  0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

24 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0 :  3
Tomas Martin Etcheverry

10 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Ben Shelton
abort
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Compare Aleksandar Kovacevic and Camilo Ugo Carabelli with our comparison tool.

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Key Points

  1. Carabelli has only won five of his 14 hard court matches this year.
  2. Kovacevic has a 12-3 indoor hard court record in 2025.
  3. Carabelli has only won two of his last eight matches.
  4. Kovacevic has reached two ATP hard court finals this year.
  5. Carabelli hasn't won a set in his last six matches.
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Our Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction

If this match was being played on clay, our prediction would be rather different. Carabelli is far better on that surface and has a 5-9 record on hard courtts and hasn't played indoors in 2025. Only two of his last eight matches have been won and no sets.

Aleksandar Kovaceviic could also do with a win but he's at least been getting close. He may well relish a return to indoor hard courts where he's won 12 of his 15 matches this year. Our Aleksandar Kovacevic v Camilo Ugo Carabelli prediction is Aleksandar Kovacevic to win in straight sets.

Prediction :

 

Aleksandar Kovacevic to win in straight sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction
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