Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction - Eredivisie

Predictions Odds Live

Netherlands - Eredivisie

Ajax

02/05/2026 14:00

PSV Eindhoven

Prediction :

More than 3.5 goals

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Prediction published on 02/05/2026, 05:37 by Thobelani Moyo | Modified on 02/05/2026 at 15:55 in Eredivisie Predictions

Ajax will welcome newly-crowned champions PSV Eindhoven to the Johan Cruijff Arena on matchday 32 of the Eredivisie. Ajax are fourth in the league standings, while PSV leads at the top with a massive 19-point lead. Here's our match prediction.

Ajax enter this clash looking to continue their fine run of form in the Eredivisie. The Amsterdammers had recently won just one of their last six games. This time in question, they've won their last two.

Their most recent win came against NAC Breda. It was no hassle as they won 2-0 away. This follows a commanding 3-0 away win to bottom side Heracles Almelo on the road.

The Sons of the Gods return to their humble abode, which is their penultimate home fixture of the campaign before taking on FC Utrecht. Their overall performance at the Johan Cruijff Arena has been quite impressive this season, with nine wins in their last 15 games. This currently sees them boasting the league's third-best home record.

PSV Eindhoven have clinched the league title for the third consecutive time and their 27th overall, wrapping it up about three weeks ago.

With just three games remaining, the Lightbulbs will feel there's still a lot to play for, and that's concluding the season on a high note.

They are already on course, having won their last three league games, including a comprehensive 6-1 home win over relegation-threatened PEC Zwolle.

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Ajax v PSV Eindhoven Best Betting Odds

1	X	2
2.39	4.1	2.5
2.41	4.04	2.57
2.41	4.04	2.57
2.35	4.2	2.55
2.36	3.9	2.46

Check all Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven?

Our prediction for the Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven match is: more than 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/05/2026 between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven in Eredivisie :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.74% for a win of Ajax against PSV Eindhoven with odds of 2.47 at Tonybet.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven is 14.22% with odds of 6.8 at BC Game.
Our prediction model gives a 37.04% chance ⭐ for a win of PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax with odds of 3.6 at BC Game.

Ajax - PSV Eindhoven Prediction and Best Odds:

Ajax PSV Eindhoven Prediction	Probability	Odds
Ajax wins	48.74%	2.47 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals	71.59%
Both Team To Score	74.58%
Half-time / Full-time : Ajax/Ajax	23.12%	3.7 at LSbet

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Form

Ajax and PSV Eindhoven's standings in the Eredivisie

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
1 PSV Eindhoven	84	34	27	3	4	+56
5 Ajax	56	34	14	14	6	+21

Ajax and PSV Eindhoven Last Matches

Ajax Last matches

All Home Away

L W D L W W

Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals

50% BTTS

2 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

25 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

NAC Breda

0 : 2

Ajax

11 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Heracles

0 : 3

Ajax

4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax

1 : 2

Twente

22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Feyenoord

1 : 1

Ajax

14 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax

4 : 0

Sparta Rotterdam

7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Groningen

3 : 1

Ajax

W L W D W L

Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals

67% BTTS

2.17 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax

1 : 2

Twente

14 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax

4 : 0

Sparta Rotterdam

21 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax

1 : 1

NEC Nijmegen

14 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax

4 : 1

Fortuna Sittard

28 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Ajax

1 : 2

Olympiacos

24 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax

2 : 0

Volendam

D D L D W W

Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

25 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

NAC Breda

0 : 2

Ajax

11 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Heracles

0 : 3

Ajax

22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Feyenoord

1 : 1

Ajax

7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Groningen

3 : 1

Ajax

1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Zwolle

0 : 0

Ajax

8 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar

1 : 1

Ajax

PSV Eindhoven Last matches

All Home Away

W L L W W W

Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals

83% BTTS

2.83 Goals scored

1.83 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

23 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

6 : 1

Zwolle

11 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam

0 : 2

PSV Eindhoven

4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

4 : 3

Utrecht

22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Telstar

3 : 1

PSV Eindhoven

14 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

2 : 3

NEC Nijmegen

7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

2 : 1

AZ Alkmaar

W W W L W W

Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.17 Total goals

100% BTTS

3.5 Goals scored

1.67 Goals conceded

100% Over 2.5

0% Under 2.5

23 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

6 : 1

Zwolle

4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

4 : 3

Utrecht

14 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

2 : 3

NEC Nijmegen

7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

2 : 1

AZ Alkmaar

21 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

3 : 1

Heerenveen

4 Feb 2026 - KNVB beker

PSV Eindhoven

4 : 1

Heerenveen

W L W L L W

Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals

83% BTTS

1.83 Goals scored

1.67 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

11 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam

0 : 2

PSV Eindhoven

22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Telstar

3 : 1

PSV Eindhoven

3 Mar 2026 - KNVB beker

NEC Nijmegen

3 : 2

PSV Eindhoven

28 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Heracles

1 : 3

PSV Eindhoven

13 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Volendam

2 : 1

PSV Eindhoven

8 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Groningen

1 : 2

PSV Eindhoven

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Ajax

33 %

Draw

50 %

PSV Eindhoven

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67

Total goals

83.33%

BTTS

1.83

Goals scored

1.83

Goals conceded

50%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

21 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

2 : 2

Ajax

30 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

0 : 2

Ajax

2 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie

Ajax

3 : 2

PSV Eindhoven

3 Feb 2024 - Eredivisie

Ajax

1 : 1

PSV Eindhoven

29 Oct 2023 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

5 : 2

Ajax

30 Apr 2023 - KNVB beker

Ajax

1 : 1

PSV Eindhoven

Ajax against PSV Eindhoven Lineups: Starting 11

Ajax

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

M. Paes

A. Gaaei

J. Sutalo

Y. Baas

L. Rosa

Y. Regeer

K. Itakura

J. Mokio

S. Berghuis

K. Dolberg

M. Godts

C. Driouech

R. Pepi

E. Bajraktarevic

G. Til

J. Veerman

P. Wanner

Mauro Junior

Y. Gasiorowski

R. Flamingo

K. Sildillia

M. Kovar

Formation : 4 - 2 - 1 - 3

PSV Eindhoven

Substitutes

Ajax

Goalkeeper

P. Reverson

A. el Hani

Defender

A. Bouwman

T. Tomiyasu

R. van de Pavert

Midfielder

S. Steur

Y. Regeer 71'

R. Bounida

K. Itakura 83'

O. Gloukh

S. Berghuis 71'

Forward

O. Edvardsen

M. Carrizo

D. Konadu

K. Dolberg 83'

PSV Eindhoven

Goalkeeper

N. Schiks

N. Olij

Defender

S. Dest

P. Wanner 60'

A. Obispo

Midfielder

J. Van Den Berg

C. Driouech 87'

J. Bawuah

J. Koller

N. Fernandez

J. Veerman 60'

Forward

D. Man

E. Bajraktarevic 72'

M. Boadu

R. Pepi 72'

Missing players

Ajax

Goalkeeper

V. Jaros

J. Heerkens

Defender

O. Zinchenko

Midfielder

D. Klaassen

K. Fitz-Jim

PSV Eindhoven

Defender

A. Salah Eddine

Midfielder

J. Schouten

I. Saibari

Forward

I. Perisic

A. Plea

R. van Bommel

Most goals and assists

Ajax

PSV Eindhoven

Top Goalscorer

M. Godts (17 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

R. Pepi (16 Goals)

Best assists

M. Godts (12 Assists)

Best assists

J. Veerman (14 Assists)

Ajax - PSV Eindhoven Key Points

Ajax have seen over 3.5 goals in three of their last home league meetings against PSV Eindhoven.
PSV Eindhoven have scored four or more goals in two of their last three league games.
Ajax are averaging 1.93 goals per game at home, and PSV Eindhoven are averaging 2.47 goals per game on the road.
PSV Eindhoven have seen 9 of their last 16 away league games end with over 3.5 goals.

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Our Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

There was very little to separate the two teams in the previous fixture as they settled for a point in a nail-biting 2-2 draw. It was the second time in three meetings that the result ended with over 3.5 goals, indicating an encounter filled with plenty of goals.

PSV are the current top scorers in the Eredivisie with 90 goals. They are averaging 2.90 goals per game this season. It's hardly surprising for a side that put six past Zwolle last time out. That said, we anticipate a high-scoring affair. Our Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven prediction: more than 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

More than 3.5 goals

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ajax PSV Eindhoven

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven	Opening odds	Pre-match odds	Odds Movements
Ajax wins	2.45	2.47	+0.8%
Draw	4	6.8	+70.0%
PSV Eindhoven wins	2.43	3.6	+48.1%

Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

Ajax is most likely to win
The odds for this bet have increased by 0.8% since opening
The probability of this result was 40.8% and is now 40.5% (-0.3%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie

Ajax v PSV Eindhoven Best Betting Odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven?

Ajax - PSV Eindhoven Prediction and Best Odds:

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Form

Ajax and PSV Eindhoven's standings in the Eredivisie

Ajax and PSV Eindhoven Last Matches

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Ajax against PSV Eindhoven Lineups: Starting 11

Substitutes

Missing players

Most goals and assists

Ajax - PSV Eindhoven Key Points

Our Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ajax PSV Eindhoven