Ajax vs Heerenveen Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Eredivisie Predictions
Ajax’s make-or-break plans in Europe could be a distraction that Heerenveen would like to take advantage of when the sides meet on Sunday in a matchday two fixture of the 2026-27 Eredivisie. This match at the Johan Cruijff Arena in Amsterdam between the 3rd-placed ‘Lancers’ and the 7th-placed ‘Super Frisians’ could end up in a surprise result, and our match prediction is a draw or a Heerenveen win.
After a 2-0 win on the opening weekend, Ajax find themselves on the top three list. Heerenveen also kept a clean sheet with a 1-0 victory on matchday one.
Ajax drew 2-2 away at Shelbourne on Thursday to win the tie 5-3 and proceed to the playoffs of the UEFA Conference League. With a spot in Europe up for grabs, the ‘Lancers’ could be forgiven for putting their thoughts on the upcoming first leg against Sion.
They are still a strong force at home, having won both their competitive fixtures here this season.
Heerenveen won 1-0 at home against Twente on matchday one, extending their run from the friendlies. The visitors are unbeaten in five games this campaign (W4, D1), while they had three wins from their last five regular-season league games.
The visitors need to overturn their away form, though, as they lost three of their last four league trips.
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Ajax v Heerenveen Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.44 | 4.8 | 5.8 |
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1.45 | 4.94 | 6.64 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.88 | 6.55 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.88 | 6.55 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.88 | 6.55 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and Heerenveen?
Our prediction for the Ajax vs Heerenveen match is: draw or Heerenveen.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/08/2026 between Ajax and Heerenveen in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.65% for a win of Ajax against Heerenveen with odds of 1.48 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ajax vs Heerenveen is 19.44% with odds of 5 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Heerenveen vs Ajax with odds of 7 at Bet365.
Ajax vs Heerenveen Form
Ajax and Heerenveen's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 |
|
7
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
Ajax and Heerenveen Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Aug 2026 - Conference League
9 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
6 Aug 2026 - Conference League
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2026 - Conference League
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Aug 2026 - Conference League
30 Jul 2026 - Conference League
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Aug 2026 - Conference League
9 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2026 - Conference League
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 May 2026 - Eredivisie
17 May 2026 - Eredivisie
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Eredivisie
25 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
5 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 May 2026 - Eredivisie
10 May 2026 - Eredivisie
3 May 2026 - Eredivisie
12 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
Ajax vs Heerenveen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 May 2026 - Eredivisie
1 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
19 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
11 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
11 Feb 2024 - Eredivisie
5 Nov 2023 - Eredivisie
Most goals and assists
Ajax
Heerenveen
J. Brandt
(1 Goals)
, 
J. Mokio
(1 Goals)
L. Oyen
(1 Goals)
T. Arokodare
(1 Assists)
,
M. Godts
(1 Assists)
J. Trenskow
(1 Assists)
Ajax and Heerenveen Stats in Eredivisie
Ajax - Heerenveen Key Points
- Ajax failed to win their last three home Eredivisie matches in the regular season.
- Ajax won just one of their last four league games during the regular season.
- Heerenveen are undefeated in their last five matches.
- Heerenveen avoided defeat in nine of their last 11 Eredivisie matches in the regular season.
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Our Ajax vs Heerenveen Prediction
Ajax made a confident start to the season, winning on matchday one and progressing in the UEFA Conference League. However, the upcoming playoff round in Europe is likely to be a distraction, which could provide a chance for Heerenveen to cause an upset. The visitors are unbeaten this season, including qualifiers, and although they have struggled on the road lately, there’s value in backing them.
Ajax are favourites to win here, but Heerenveen held them to a draw in both fixtures last season. The visitors could still surprise, so our Ajax vs Heerenveen prediction is a draw or Heerenveen.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
