11 February 2024 - 14:45

- Day 24

Italy - Serie A

AC Milan

Napoli

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Prediction published on 11/02/2024, 09:05 by Sridhar | Modified on 11/02/2024 at 09:11 in Serie A Prediction

AC Milan haven't won a home Serie A game against Napoli since 2014, but this could be their chance to end that rut. These sides meet at the San Siro Stadium in Milan on Sunday in a matchday 24 contest. Ahead of this round, the hosts are 3rd with 49 points while the visitors are 7th with 35 points. Recent surge in form has seen Milan keep themselves perched at third, while being only marginally behind top-two. They could be feeling this is their best chance to end a long-standing home drought against Napoli. Interestingly, the defending champions have struggled on the road and have looked out of their depth in recent times. With no goals across their last four away league games, Napoli are perhaps coming with the worst of their forms for this trip. Can Milan end their long-standing wait or will Napoli rise up to the occasion and continue their hold over their opponents?

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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Napoli Match

1	X	2
1.91	3.5	4
1.95	3.4	3.9
1.95	3.45	3.85

Check all AC Milan vs Napoli odds

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Who will win the AC Milan vs Napoli Football match?

The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between AC Milan and Napoli of Serie A on 2/11/24 :

There is a probability of 60.54% ⭐ for AC Milan to win this match against Napoli ⚽ with odds of 1.95 found at Ladbrokes.
Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 3.5 which implies a probability of 19.49%.
Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Napoli to win the match are about 4 at Bet365. That means a probability of 19.97%.

AC Milan - Napoli Prediction and Best Odds:

AC Milan vs Napoli prediction	Win Probability	Best Odds
AC Milan is favoured to win	60.54 %	1.95
Draw	19.49 %	3.5
Napoli wins the game	19.97 %	4

AC Milan vs Napoli Form

AC Milan and Napoli's standings in the Serie A

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
2 AC Milan	71	35	21	8	6	25
8 Napoli	51	35	13	12	10	9

AC Milan and Napoli Last Matches

AC Milan Last matches

W L W W D W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals

BTTS

83%

Goals scored

2.5

Goals conceded

1.5

Over 2.5

100%

Under 2.5

3 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Frosinone

2 : 3

AC Milan

27 Jan 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan

2 : 2

Bologna

20 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Udinese

2 : 3

AC Milan

14 Jan 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan

3 : 1

Roma

10 Jan 2024 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan

1 : 2

Atalanta

7 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Empoli

0 : 3

AC Milan

Napoli Last matches

L W W L D W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals

2.17

BTTS

33%

Goals scored

1.17

Goals conceded

Over 2.5

67%

Under 2.5

33%

4 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Napoli

2 : 1

Hellas Verona

28 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Lazio

0 : 0

Napoli

22 Jan 2024 - Super Cup

Napoli

0 : 1

Inter Milan

18 Jan 2024 - Super Cup

Napoli

3 : 0

Fiorentina

13 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Napoli

2 : 1

Salernitana

7 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Turin

3 : 0

Napoli

AC Milan against Napoli : Head to Head (H2H)

AC Milan

50 %

Draw

33 %

Napoli

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals

2.5

BTTS

50%

Goals scored (Team 1)

1.67

Goals scored (Team 2)

0.83

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

29 Oct 2023 - Serie A

Napoli

2 : 2

AC Milan

18 Apr 2023 - Champions League

Napoli

1 : 1

AC Milan

12 Apr 2023 - Champions League

AC Milan

1 : 0

Napoli

2 Apr 2023 - Serie A

Napoli

0 : 4

AC Milan

18 Sep 2022 - Serie A

AC Milan

1 : 2

Napoli

6 Mar 2022 - Serie A

Napoli

0 : 1

AC Milan

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AC Milan - Napoli: Form Analysis

Milan come into this match with a four-point deficit to second-placed Juventus to cover up. They won 3-2 against Frosinone in their last match, making it three wins and a draw over their last four matches. In fact, in the league, they have won six and drawn two of their last eight matches. Their last defeat was in December to Atalanta, which remains their only loss across 12 league games. This sequence has seen them notch eight wins, so the home fans will be confident that they can increase that tally. In fact, Milan have won five and drawn one of their last six league matches at San Siro, so they would be confident of their chances here.

Napoli are still in the reckoning to finish in top-four spots as they start this round four points behind Atalanta. That said, they are only three points ahead of tenth-placed Torino, so technically they could be pulled down in the event of a loss. At least there's improvement of form to fall back on, as the defending Champions have won two and drawn one of their last three league games. Yet, four defeats, three wins and two draws across their last nine Serie A matches suggest they are likely to struggle for consistency. The worries are even more prominent on the road where Napoli have lost three and drawn one of their last four away league games.

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AC Milan against Napoli Lineups: Starting 11

AC Milan

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

M. Maignan

D. Calabria

S. Kjaer

M. Gabbia

T. Hernandez

I. Bennacer

Y. Adli

C. Pulisic

R. Loftus-Cheek

R. Leao

O. Giroud

G. Simeone

K. Kvaratskhelia

P. Mazzocchi

P. Zielinski

S. Lobotka

A. Zambo Anguissa

G. Di Lorenzo

J. Jesus

A. Rrahmani

L. Ostigard

P. Gollini

Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1

Napoli

Missing players

AC Milan

Goalkeeper

M. Maignan

Midfielder

R. Loftus-Cheek

T. Pobega

Napoli

Midfielder

P. Zielinski

L. Dendoncker

K. Kvaratskhelia

Forward

V. Osimhen

G. Raspadori

AC Milan & Napoli Squad Analysis

Milan have a long list of absentees ahead of this match. Samuel Chukwueze is out on national duty while a lengthy injury list worries the hosts. They are set to miss out on the regularly absentees Tommaso Pobega, Malick Thiaw, Pierre Kalulu and Fikayo Tomori. Ismael Bennacer is likely to start in midfield as Tijjani Reijnders remains out of contention due to suspension. Napoli have fewer worries on that front, but they will continue to miss out on talismanic striker Victor Osimhen out on national duty. Mario Rui is suspended and is unavailable for this match. The visitors are also set to be without Piotr Zielinski for this trip to Milan.

AC Milan - Napoli Key Points

Milan have seen over 2.5 goals scored in their last seven competitive matches
In Serie A, nine of Milan’s last ten league games have returned over 2.5 goals
At home, Milan have seen over 2.5 goals scored in four of their last five league games
Three of Napoli’s last four league games have returned over 2.5 goals
The last three league games between Milan and Napoli have ended with over 2.5 goals scored

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Our AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction

Milan may have slipped a bit behind the league's top two – Inter and Juventus, but make no mistake about their form. They are snapping on the heels of the top-two teams and would be keen to continue their rich form and take advantage of any slip-ups. With goals being a common denominator of their matches, the hosts would be geared up for another high-scorer. Napoli have struggled in their title defense and it is safe to say that they are now only fighting to be in the top-four spots. Four points separate them from fourth-placed Atalanta but poor away form holds against them as they look to find some goals on the road. Our prediction for AC Milan vs Napoli is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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AC Milan vs Napoli match : Frequently asked questions

AC Milan vs Napoli Serie A match is scheduled for a 7:45pm UK time kick-off on Sunday February 11, 2024.

This is AC Milan's home game and so AC Milan vs Napoli Serie A match is set to be played at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza or San Siro Stadium in Milan.

AC Milan vs Napoli Serie A match will be broadcast live on DAZN Tv.

You can also keep up to the minute with all the action on the SportyTrader livescore page .

Daniele Doveri will be the referee for this AC Milan vs Napoli Serie A match. He will be assisted by Daniele Bindoni and Giovanni Baccini. Matteo Marchetti will be the fourth official. VAR will be Paolo Mazzoleni and will be assisted by Valeri.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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