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25 November 2023 - 14:45 

- Day 13

Italy - Serie A

AC Milan
VS
Fiorentina

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

 by Steve Ashfield in Serie A Prediction

Milan begin the weekend third in Serie A but struggling for form in their domestic league. They look to get back into winning ways with a home win over sixth placed Fiorentina. The home side have only lost three league games this season but they have lost their last two. Losses came against Juventus and Udinese with Milan failing to score in either of those fixtures. That's left them six points behind the top two. Better form was shown in the Champions League with an impressive 2-1 home win over PSG before the international break. They need to transfer that form to Serie A, starting this weekend. Milan have won three of their five home league games, losing the other two. Of their five home Serie A fixtures this season, four of them have seen under 2.5 goals scored, Five goals were scored in their opening home league win over Torino but the four games that have followed have seen under 2.5 goals scored.  Milan have only scored three goals in the last four home league fixtures.

Fiorentina are in sixth place and only a point off the top four and three behind their opponents in this game. Like their opponents, current form in Serie A hasn't been impressive. They had lost three successive fixtures against Empoli, Lazio and Juventus before beating Bologna 2-1 at home in their most recent fixture. Fiorentina have won three of their six away league games but lost two. Only one of the last three away Fiorentina fixtures in Serie A has been won with the most recent being a 1-0 loss at Lazio.

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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Fiorentina Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.95 3.4 3.8
NetBet
1.85 3.2 3.55
Check all AC Milan vs Fiorentina odds
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Who will win the AC Milan vs Fiorentina Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between AC Milan and Fiorentina of Serie A on 11/25/23 :

  • There is a probability of 37.34% ⭐ for AC Milan to win this match against Fiorentina ⚽ with odds of 1.95 found at Bet365.
  • Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 3.4 which implies a probability of 23.7%.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Fiorentina to win the match are about 3.8 at Bet365. That means a probability of 38.96%.

AC Milan - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:

AC Milan vs Fiorentina prediction

Win Probability

Best Odds
AC Milan  is favoured to win37.34 %1.95
Draw23.7 %3.4
Fiorentina wins the game38.96 %3.8

AC Milan vs Fiorentina Form

AC Milan and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
AC Milan
AC Milan
74 36 22 8 6 29
8
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
53 35 15 8 12 13

AC Milan and Fiorentina Last Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
L L D L W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.67
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
1.67
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

11 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  2
AC Milan

7 Nov 2023 - Champions League

AC Milan
2 :  1
PSG

4 Nov 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Udinese

29 Oct 2023 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  2
AC Milan

25 Oct 2023 - Champions League

PSG
3 :  0
AC Milan

22 Oct 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Juventus
Fiorentina
Fiorentina Last matches
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.33
BTTS
17%
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
0.83
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

12 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Bologna

9 Nov 2023 - Conference League

FK Cukaricki
0 :  1
Fiorentina

5 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  1
Juventus

30 Oct 2023 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
Fiorentina

26 Oct 2023 - Conference League

Fiorentina
6 :  0
FK Cukaricki

23 Oct 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  2
Empoli

AC Milan against Fiorentina : Head to Head (H2H)

AC Milan

67 %

Draw

0 %

Fiorentina

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
3.5
BTTS
67%
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.5
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

4 Mar 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
AC Milan

13 Nov 2022 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

1 May 2022 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Fiorentina

20 Nov 2021 - Serie A

Fiorentina
4 :  3
AC Milan

21 Mar 2021 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  3
AC Milan

29 Nov 2020 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Fiorentina
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

AC Milan against Fiorentina Lineups: Starting 11

AC Milan

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

16
M. Maignan
2
D. Calabria
28
M. Thiaw
23
F. Tomori
19
T. Hernandez
80
Y. Musah
14
T. Reijnders
32
T. Pobega
21
S. Chukwueze
15
L. Jovic
11
C. Pulisic
9
L. Beltran
7
R. Sottil
5
G. Bonaventura
10
N. Gonzalez
32
A. Duncan
6
A. Melo
3
C. Biraghi
28
L. Martinez
4
N. Milenkovic
65
F. Parisi
1
P. Terracciano

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Fiorentina

Missing players

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

M. Maignan

Midfielder

R. Loftus-Cheek

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Forward

R. Sottil

AC Milan - Fiorentina Key Points

  1. The last four Milan home league games have seen under 2.5 goals scored in them.
  2. Milan have only scored three goals in their last four home league matches.
  3. Only five goals have been scored in the last four Milan home league fixtures.
  4. Three of the last four Fiorentina away league games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
  5. Two of the last three Milan home league games against Fiorentina have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
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Our AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction

Milan's Serie A title challenge has faltered in recent weeks. They have gone four league games without a win and are now six points behind the top two. Fiorentina are also in need of improvement with three of their last four Serie A fixtures being lost. Our Milan v Fiorentina prediction is for under 2.5 goals to be scored in the game.

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction

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