Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
The semi-finals of the Finals series in the A-League get underway with Western United taking on Melbourne City in the first leg at AAMI Park on Friday. The winner of this tie between Western and Hearts will face either Melbourne Victory or Auckland in the Grand Final. Let’s get into the match prediction.
After two poor seasons, including finishing second-bottom last term, Western United’s Finals series dream is still alive, after beating Adelaide United 3-2 in the last round.
Noah Botic was the hero of the piece, scoring a brace while he was also responsible for the first goal, which was eventually given as an own-goal. He is now the highest scorer this season with 14.
That victory was Western’s third in a row and eighth in their last 10 (W8 D0 L2). They also scored two or more goals in six of the wins during this period.
Meanwhile, Melbourne City bowed out in the Elimination-finals last season, but thanks to a second-place finish in the league, they were able to forego that match this time around.
Hearts ended the regular season in great shape, beating Sydney 5-1 in their final match to finish the campaign unbeaten in six games, including four wins and two draws.
The visitors also won both regular-season games against this opponent and scored two or more goals in three of their last four away matches ahead of this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Western United v Melbourne City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.2 | 3.6 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.3 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.5 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.4 | 2.15 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.62 | 2.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Western United and Melbourne City?
Our prediction for the Western United vs Melbourne City match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/05/2025 between Western United and Melbourne City in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.7% for a win of Western United against Melbourne City with odds of 3.34 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Western United vs Melbourne City is 17.3% with odds of 3.68 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne City vs Western United with odds of 2.5 at Ladbrokes.
Western United - Melbourne City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Western United Melbourne City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Western United wins | 49.7% | 3.34 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.33% | 1.76 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 57.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Western United/Western United | 25% | 5.5 at Betfair |
Western United vs Melbourne City Form
Western United and Melbourne City Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2025 - A-League
3 May 2025 - A-League
27 Apr 2025 - A-League
17 Apr 2025 - A-League
13 Apr 2025 - A-League
5 Apr 2025 - A-League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2025 - A-League
3 May 2025 - A-League
27 Apr 2025 - A-League
5 Apr 2025 - A-League
8 Mar 2025 - A-League
23 Feb 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Apr 2025 - A-League
13 Apr 2025 - A-League
16 Mar 2025 - A-League
28 Feb 2025 - A-League
9 Feb 2025 - A-League
10 Jan 2025 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - A-League
26 Apr 2025 - A-League
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
11 Apr 2025 - A-League
5 Apr 2025 - A-League
29 Mar 2025 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - A-League
26 Apr 2025 - A-League
11 Apr 2025 - A-League
5 Apr 2025 - A-League
12 Mar 2025 - A-League
7 Mar 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
29 Mar 2025 - A-League
28 Feb 2025 - A-League
22 Feb 2025 - A-League
7 Feb 2025 - A-League
25 Jan 2025 - A-League
Western United vs Melbourne City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
0 %
80 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Jan 2025 - A-League
4 Nov 2024 - A-League
28 Apr 2024 - A-League
21 Oct 2023 - A-League
22 Apr 2023 - A-League
Western United against Melbourne City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Western United
Melbourne City
N. Botic
(15 Goals)
Y. Cohen
(6 Goals)
R. Danzaki
(9 Assists)
A. Kuen
(7 Assists)
Western United - Melbourne City Key Points
- Seven of Western United’s last 10 games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Western United conceded two or more goals in four of their last five matches.
- Four of Melbourne City’s last six games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Melbourne City have scored two or more goals in six of their last 10 games.
- Melbourne City have conceded two or more goals in three of their last four away matches.
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Our Western United vs Melbourne City Prediction
While Western United failed to beat this opponent during the regular season, they have been in great shape recently and will be full of confidence after their result against Adelaide United last week.
Melbourne City are understandably installed as favourites here, but they have been leaking goals on the road of late, and we feel they may struggle to shut out a Western side with momentum in this one. Our Western United vs Melbourne City prediction is both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Western United Melbourne City
| Western United vs Melbourne City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western United wins | 2.7 | 3.2 | +18.5% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.6 | +9.1% |
| Melbourne City wins | 2.55 | 2.15 | -15.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Western United is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 18.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 37.0% and is now 31.3% (-5.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Western United vs. Melbourne City game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Western United and Melbourne City? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's A-League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
