West Ham vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Both of these clubs need a win from this Premier League game but for very different reasons. West Ham are 18th in the table and this Sunday are home leaders Arsenal. The Hammers have a poor home record against the Gunners and our match prediction is going to be an away win.
West Ham United have three games left to save themselves from relegation to the Championship. They suffered a major setback last week at Brentford and slipped into the bottom three after Spurs won at Aston Villa. The Hammers are only a point from safety and with Spurs not playing until Monday, an unlikely three points against the Gunners will see them escape the relegation zone.
With three games to play, Arsenal lead the Premier League table by five points. With a home game against Burnley and trip to Crystal Palace to come, three wins for the Champions League finalists will see them win the title.
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West Ham v Arsenal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.8 | 4.3 | 1.57 |
|
|
5.8 | 4.16 | 1.56 |
|
|
5.9 | 4.26 | 1.54 |
|
|
5.75 | 4.33 | 1.55 |
|
|
6 | 4.1 | 1.53 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between West Ham and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the West Ham vs Arsenal match is: Arsenal wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2026 between West Ham and Arsenal in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.28% for a win of West Ham against Arsenal with odds of 6.2 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between West Ham vs Arsenal is 36.13% with odds of 4.42 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.59% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs West Ham with odds of 1.6 at 888Starz.
West Ham - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:
| West Ham Arsenal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 36.59% | 1.6 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.74% | 1.92 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 58.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Arsenal | 14.48% | 4.5 at LSbet |
West Ham vs Arsenal Form
West Ham and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
85 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 |
|
18
|
39 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -19 |
West Ham and Arsenal Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Premier League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
20 Apr 2026 - Premier League
10 Apr 2026 - Premier League
5 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
10 Apr 2026 - Premier League
5 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
9 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Premier League
20 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 May 2026 - Champions League
2 May 2026 - Premier League
29 Apr 2026 - Champions League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
15 Apr 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 May 2026 - Champions League
2 May 2026 - Premier League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
15 Apr 2026 - Champions League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Apr 2026 - Champions League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
West Ham vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
11 Feb 2024 - Premier League
28 Dec 2023 - Premier League
1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup
West Ham - Arsenal: Form Analysis
West Ham are in deep trouble in the Premier League relegation zone. They were beaten 3-0 at Brentford last weekend and with Spurs beginning to win games, the Hammers are back in the bottom three.
Only one of their last three league games have been won. Over 90 minutes, the Irons have won just two of their last seven league and cup fixtures. They have won five home league matches this term but been beaten eight times.
Their recent home record against Arsenal is appalling. They have lost their last two against the Gunners and conceded a massive 11 goals. Just one of their last seven home games against Arsenal has been won. The reverse fixture this season ended in a 2-0 win for Arsenal.
The league title is Arsenal's to lose.
The Gunners will be Premier League champions if they win their final three league fixtures. None of those games are against sides currently in the top half of the table so it's not too bad a run-in. If Manchester City win on Saturday, Arsenal's lead will be cut to two points from level games.
Midweek saw them beat Atletico Madrid 1-0 to reach the Champions League final. They are unbeaten in their last four games and their last Premier League fixture was a 3-0 home win over Fulham.
Arsenal have the best away record in the Premier League with 14 wins this season. That alone is five more than West Ham have won at all venues. They have won two of their last three away league games..
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West Ham against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
A. Areola
DefenderS. Magassa
M. Kilman
K. Walker-Peters
MidfielderF. Potts
O. Scarles
M. Kante
ForwardPablo
C. Wilson
K. Arrizabalaga
DefenderP. Hincapie
C. Mosquera
M. Zubimendi
M. Dowman
M. Odegaard
N. Madueke
G. Martinelli
K. Havertz
Missing players
K. Hein
DefenderJ. Timber
MidfielderM. Merino
West Ham & Arsenal Squad Analysis
West Ham will climb out of the bottom three if they can win this match. That is a difficult task, especially if they play like they did at Brentford last weekend. Realistically anything they can get out of this game against Arsenal will be a bonus.
They have won their last two home games but they were against relegated Wolves and inconsistent Everton. The Hammers do not have any serious injury problems at present. Lukasz Fabianski is still not between the sticks and won't be playing against his former club this weekend.
Bowen is struggling for goals.
The Irons failed to score last weekend and Jarrod Bowen is struggling for form. He has failed to score in the last nine West Ham games that he has played. That isn't going to help his chances of making it into England's World Cup squad.
Arsenal have some injury problems but their squad is such that they can now withstand them. There had been some signs of them struggling but recent games have seen them cope with the pressure well and a memorable double is within their reach.
Jurrien Timber may feature in the squad this weekend but Martin Odegaard was injured last weekend. Bukayo Saka has scored in Arsenal's last two games but isn't playing the full 90 minutes at present. Viktor Gyokeres has scored three goals in as many games..
Most goals and assists
West Ham
Arsenal
J. Bowen
(9 Goals)
V. Gyokeres
(14 Goals)
J. Bowen
(11 Assists)
L. Trossard
(6 Assists)
, 
M. Odegaard
(6 Assists)
West Ham - Arsenal Key Points
- Arsenal are 40 points ahead of West Ham in the table.
- Arsenal have won 14 away league games this season.
- West Ham have conceded 11 goals in their last two home games against Arsenal.
- Arsenal won the reverse fixture 2-0.
- West Ham have lost eight home league games this season.
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Our West Ham vs Arsenal Prediction
Arsenal will hope to end a great week for the club with another win. The Gunners are five points clear at the top of the Premier League with only three games left to play. They are also in the final of the Champions League after their midweek victory over Atletico Madrid.
West Ham have two of their final three league games at home but this is such a tough task for them. They were hugely disappointing in their 3-0 loss at Brentford last weekend. Our main West Ham v Arsenal prediction is Arsenal wins.
West Ham vs Arsenal Alternative Predictions
Bukayo Saka to score or assist
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis West Ham Arsenal
| West Ham vs Arsenal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham wins | 4.8 | 6.2 | +29.2% |
| Draw | 3.95 | 4.42 | +11.9% |
| Arsenal wins | 1.64 | 1.6 | -2.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.0% and is now 62.5% (1.5%)
West Ham vs Arsenal - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
