UFC - UFC Fight Night
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in UFC Predictions
We’re in for another heavy weight collision, as Volkan Oezdemir takes on Alonzo Menifield in this UFC Fight Night clash. Both guys are bringing that decisive one-punch power, and that’s why we see someone getting stopped early. Based on the stats and the clear difference in striking volume, it’s Volkan Oezdemir that should come out on top by knockout or disqualification. Let’s get into this match prediction.
Menifield is riding a nice little two-fight win streak. But those were decisions over guys who mostly wanted to grapple. His most recent win was a unanimous decision over Oumar Sy back in June 2025. That was a big win, but the fact is, when he steps up against elite strikers who hit as hard as he does, the results haven't been good.
He’s been knocked out in three of his last seven fights, which is a massive red flag against a former title contender. Oezdemir, on the other hand, is a volume striker with a better chin and a much more diverse offensive arsenal.
He did drop a decision to the technical Carlos Ulberg in his last outing in November 2024. But before that, he had a vicious first-round KO over Johnny Walker, which shows the man can still shut the lights out on top-tier opponents. Given Oezdemir’s high striking output and Menifield’s clear difficulty absorbing powerful shots, it’s only a matter of time before his opponent finds the target here.
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Volkan Oezdemir - Alonzo Menifield Key Points
- Volkan Oezdemir has a superior significant strikes landed per minute (SLpM) of 4.95 compared to Menifield's 3.79.
- Oezdemir's career T/KO rate is 65%, with 13 KO wins, proving his fight-ending power.
- Alonzo Menifield has been knocked out in three of his last seven fights.
- Oezdemir’s last win was a vicious first-round KO over the highly-ranked Johnny Walker in June 2024.
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Our Volkan Oezdemir vs Alonzo Menifield Prediction
This light heavyweight battle is clearly going to be a striking war, but one guy has a much better track record of surviving those wars at the elite level. While Menifield has that game-ending power, he's shown a real vulnerability when faced with constant pressure and volume from heavy hitters.
Oezdemir has the better volume, the better chin, and that recent knockout over Johnny Walker proves his power is still there to finish the job. We expect Oezdemir to weather an early storm and deliver a clean knockout in the middle frames or see this match to the end. Hence, our Volkan Oezdemir vs Alonzo Menifield match prediction is that Volkan Oezdemir wins by KO/TKO or DQ.
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