Europe - Conference League
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by Kennedy Kechula in Conference League Predictions
Guimaraes are set for a third straight home match when they host Bosnian side Zrinjski in the Conference League Play-offs first leg. The two sides are eyeing the competition’s league phase, which will be confirmed in the course of two matches. Here’s our preview and prediction for the match.
It has been all positive for Guimaraes so far in the season. They are coming off two straight wins at home, extending their winning start to the season to six matches. Their 1-0 win against Estoril on Sunday was also their sixth clean sheet in as many games.
While it has all been perfect, Rui Borges may want to see his charges scoring more. In three of their six matches, they managed just a goal and their last three matches had under 2.5 goals.
Zrinjski will head into this game with odds heavily stacked against them. While they’ve started well in the Bosnian league, it is a different story in Europe. In the opening two rounds of the Conference League, they suffered two defeats.
The visitors held their own to advance to this stage after a 3-2 aggregate win against Botev Plovdiv in the last round. A 2-0 win at home in the return leg also marked Zrinjski’s first clean sheet this season. They didn’t have a weekend game and will be looking to benefit from this extended rest.
However, their struggles in this competition could be an impediment. In their last nine Conference League matches, Zrinjski posted just two wins, and failed to score in four. In six away games in the competition, they suffered five losses.
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The Best Betting Odds for Vitoria SC Guimaraes v Zrinjski Mostar Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1 | 51 | 101 |
|
|
1.32 | 4.33 | 9 |
|
|
1.05 | 9 | 41 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.6 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.03 | 13 | 67 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Zrinjski Mostar?
Our prediction for the Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Zrinjski Mostar match is: Vitoria Guimaraes to win with a clean sheet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/08/2024 between Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Zrinjski Mostar in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64.57% for a win of Vitoria SC Guimaraes against Zrinjski Mostar with odds of 1.35 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Zrinjski Mostar is 9.42% with odds of 451 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Zrinjski Mostar vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes with odds of 451 at Betfair.
Vitoria SC Guimaraes - Zrinjski Mostar Prediction and Best Odds:
| Vitoria SC Guimaraes Zrinjski Mostar Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Vitoria SC Guimaraes wins | 64.57% | 1.35 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.54% | 3.43 at 22bet |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Vitoria SC Guimaraes/Vitoria SC Guimaraes | 32.83% | 10.5 at Unibet |
Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Zrinjski Mostar Form
Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Zrinjski Mostar Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
15 Aug 2024 - Conference League
12 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2024 - Conference League
1 Aug 2024 - Conference League
25 Jul 2024 - Conference League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
15 Aug 2024 - Conference League
1 Aug 2024 - Conference League
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
27 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2024 - Conference League
25 Jul 2024 - Conference League
18 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
4 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
21 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2024 - Conference League
11 Aug 2024 - Premijer Liga BiH
8 Aug 2024 - Conference League
1 Aug 2024 - Conference League
25 Jul 2024 - Conference League
12 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2024 - Conference League
25 Jul 2024 - Conference League
28 Jun 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 May 2024 - Premijer Liga BiH
8 May 2024 - Cup
3 May 2024 - Premijer Liga BiH
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Aug 2024 - Premijer Liga BiH
8 Aug 2024 - Conference League
1 Aug 2024 - Conference League
12 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Most goals and assists
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Zrinjski Mostar
G. Silva
(10 Goals)
N. Santos
(9 Assists)
Vitoria SC Guimaraes - Zrinjski Mostar Key Points
- Vitoria Guimaraes have six straight wins.
- Guimaraes are yet to concede a goal this season.
- Zrinjski lost two of four Conference League matches this season.
- In four of nine Conference League matches Zrinjski failed to score.
- Zrinjski have five losses in six away Conference League matches.
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Our Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Zrinjski Mostar Prediction
Zrinjski’s struggles in the Conference League are well documented. They have two wins only in their last nine matches in the competition. Meanwhile, in three of the last five away matches in the same competition, they failed to score.
On the flipside, Guimaraes are enjoying a good start to the campaign, one which has them on six straight wins. The Portuguese side is also yet to concede a goal this season. In this run the hosts are clearly the favorites heading into the game.
Our prediction for Vitoria Guimaraes v Zrinjski is for Vitoria Guimaraes to win with a clean sheet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Vitoria SC Guimaraes Zrinjski Mostar
| Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Zrinjski Mostar | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria SC Guimaraes wins | 1.36 | 1 | -26.5% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 51 | +1,077.8% |
| Zrinjski Mostar wins | 7.5 | 101 | +1,246.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 26.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.5% and is now 100.0% (26.5%)
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