Tip Valencia - Atletico Madrid
Valencia and Atletico Madrid have both had tough times in recent matches and as Valencia host their second leg La Liga meeting, both will be hoping to bag the three points at stake as they both harbour top four ambitions. Two points separate the two sides, with Valencia seventh on 37 points and Atletico fourth with 39 points. Valencia have had a great home run this season in La Liga; they are unbeaten in 12 matches. It is their away form that has left a lot to be desired, a case in point, the 3-0 loss to Getafe in their last match, and it could have been more. Valencia can be an unpredictable side; they fell heavily to Real Madrid and Mallorca then struggled to beat lower tier side UD Logrones, but right afterwards were comfortable 2-0 winners over Barcelona. They have three losses and just one win in their last five matches and in the last 10 they have won three. Valencia have not scored more than a goal in 11 of their last 12 matches but at home they have three wins in the last four matches. They have not lost in their 12 league matches at home this season, and have scored in all of the 12. They have three straight clean sheets in La Liga matches at home though six of their last seven league matches at home have produced under 2.5 goals. They have beaten Atletico Madrid in just one of the last 15 meetings.
Atletico head to this game on three wins, a draw and a loss in their last five games. The win over Granada came courtesy of an early Koke goal and it is their only victory in the last six matches. Atletico have been a bit off color; they have failed to score in four of their last six matches. It has been worse away from home, where they have no win in the last four, with three straight losses. They have scored just once in the last four away matches and have one win in eight away league matches. Atletico march to this match on one win in their last eight away league matches and they have lost the last two league matches away from home. However, they have a good record over Valencia, having gone 10 unbeaten, with six wins therein.
Key points Valencia - Atletico Madrid
Valencia have not scored more than one goal in 11 of the last 12 matches.
Atletico have not scored more than one goal in the last six matches.
Atletico have three straight away losses.
Valencia have not lost in their last 12 matches at home in La Liga.
Valencia have three straight clean sheets at home.
Conclusion Valencia - Atletico Madrid
The grand separating factor here is the home form for Valencia and Atletico’s struggles away from. Key too is the fact that these sides have not been known for scoring a lot of goals in recent times. Valencia have not scored more than one goal in 11 of 12 matches and Atletico have not scored more than one in their last six matches. This coupled with Atletico’s away form, we will back Valencia for a narrow win; a 1-0 victory for the home side will do.
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Valencia Atletico Madrid Prediction published on February 13, 2020