World - World Cup
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by Thobelani Moyo | in World Cup Predictions
Uruguay return home in the CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifiers for the first time since their defeat to Argentina in March 2025. They play host to Venezuela at Centenario Stadium. The hosts are in fifth place in the league standings, while the visitors are perched in seventh place. Here's our match prediction.
Results in the CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying have not been going Uruguay's way. They are winless in four games heading into this clash, and they dropped points from a winning position in a 1-1 draw against Brazil away from home on November 20, 2024.
It also has to be pointed out that their last victory in this competition was on November 16, 2024, beating Colombia 3-2 at home.
In their most recent match, La Celeste suffered a convincing 2-0 away defeat against Paraguay. That defeat now leaves them three points ahead of seventh-placed Venezuela, who occupy the inter-confederation playoff spot.
Venezuela are very much aware that a win here could significantly boost their chances of securing a direct World Cup qualification spot.
However, they need to confront a five-match winless run in this fixture against Uruguay, with their last triumph dating back to 2016, winning 1-0 in the Copa America.
Regarding their performance in the current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying campaign, La Vinotinto have won two consecutive matches, including a comfortable 2-0 home win against Bolivia.
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The Best Betting Odds for Uruguay v Venezuela Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 3.5 | 6 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.4 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.4 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.6 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.75 | 6.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Uruguay and Venezuela?
Our prediction for the Uruguay vs Venezuela match is: Uruguay wins at half-time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/06/2025 between Uruguay and Venezuela in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.55% for a win of Uruguay against Venezuela with odds of 1.67 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Uruguay vs Venezuela is 32.11% with odds of 4.1 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Venezuela vs Uruguay with odds of 7.9 at 888Starz.
Uruguay - Venezuela Prediction and Best Odds:
| Uruguay Venezuela Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Uruguay wins | 45.55% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 53.16% | 2.11 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 38.54% | 2.55 at Vbet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Uruguay | 20.25% | 4.33 at Betfair |
Uruguay vs Venezuela Form
Uruguay and Venezuela's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
24 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
|
7
|
18 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -4 |
Uruguay and Venezuela Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
10 Jul 2024 - Copa America
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
11 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
1 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
5 Jul 2024 - Copa America
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
5 Sep 2024 - World Cup
30 Jun 2024 - Copa America
Uruguay vs Venezuela Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
1 Feb 2022 - World Cup
8 Jun 2021 - World Cup
Players list
S. Mele
DefenderR. Araujo
M. Olivera
J. Gimenez
MidfielderN. Fonseca
G. Varela
M. Ugarte
F. Pellistri
S. Caceres
ForwardM. Araujo
R. Aguirre
R. Romo
DefenderN. Ferraresi
W. Angel
A. Gonzalez
M. Navarro
MidfielderT. Segovia
E. Bello
J. Cadiz
Y. Herrera
ForwardJ. Savarino
S. Rondon
Substitutes
C. Fiermarin
F. Israel
DefenderJ. Piquerez
G. Varela
S. Caceres
S. Bueno
MidfielderL. Torreira
N. Fonseca
R. Zalazar
B. Rodriguez
ForwardC. Olivera
A. Alvarez
W. Farinez
A. Baroja
DefenderJ. Chancellor
C. Makoun
A. Gonzalez
E. Bello
T. Rincon
T. Segovia
J. Savarino
E. Castillo
ForwardJ. Martinez
J. Cadiz
Most goals and assists
Uruguay
Venezuela
D. Nunez
(5 Goals)
S. Rondon
(5 Goals)
Uruguay - Venezuela Key Points
- Uruguay have won at half-time in five of their last six matches against Venezuela.
- Venezuela have lost three of their last five matches at half-time.
- Uruguay have won at half-time in each of their last two home matches against Venezuela.
- Venezuela have lost at half-time in four of their last five away CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying games.
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Our Uruguay vs Venezuela Prediction
Uruguay have been presented with the opportunity to get back to winning ways. They are at home this time, where they've lost just two of their last eight home matches. It has to be mentioned that they have suffered just one defeat at home against Venezuela in their previous six encounters (W3, D2).
Venezuela have been struggling with consistency on the road. They have lost five consecutive matches, conceding 15 goals. Their last meeting against Uruguay ended in a 4-1 defeat, conceding three first-half goals. They could fall short once again here. Our Uruguay v Venezuela prediction: Uruguay wins at half-time.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Uruguay Venezuela
| Uruguay vs Venezuela | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uruguay wins | 1.5 | 1.67 | +11.3% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.5 | -7.9% |
| Venezuela wins | 7.5 | 6 | -20.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Uruguay is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 11.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 59.9% (-6.8%)
Use the Uruguay vs. Venezuela game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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