Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Two sides with a recent unbeaten run in the Bundesliga meet on matchday 19 as Union Berlin host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on Saturday. This match in Berlin between the ninth-placed ‘Iron Ones’ and the second-placed Prussians comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
With 24 points from 18 matches (W6, D6, L6), Union are only five points behind the European qualification places. Dortmund’s 39 points (W11, D6, L1) see them start this round 11 points behind leaders Bayern and six points above third.
Union drew 1-1 away at Stuttgart last weekend to make it five unbeaten games in the Bundesliga (W2, D3). The last three have been scoring draws though, as Union look to push for European qualification spots.
Playing at home hasn’t brought any cheer either, as Union could win only two of their last eight home Bundesliga matches (D4, L2). That said, only two defeats in this sequence are a huge positive.
Dortmund lost 2-0 away at Tottenham in the midweek Champions League game, ending a six-game unbeaten run. In the league, the visitors are unbeaten in their last 11 matches (W7, D4) as they look to consolidate the second place.
Their away record hasn’t been spectacular, but with no defeats from their last five Bundesliga trips (W2, D3), Dortmund are proving to be a tough opponent.
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Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.35 | 3.35 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.34 | 3.2 | 2.26 |
|
|
3.26 | 3.19 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.2 | 2.28 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund?
Our prediction for the Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/01/2026 between Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.28% for a win of Union Berlin against Borussia Dortmund with odds of 3.45 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund is 39.27% with odds of 3.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin with odds of 2.39 at 888Starz.
Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund Prediction and Best Odds:
| Union Berlin Borussia Dortmund Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 39.27% | 3.4 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.96% | 2.16 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 73.75% | |
| Half-time: Union Berlin / Full-time: Draw | 15.32% | 14 at LSbet |
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Form
Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
73 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +36 |
|
11
|
39 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -14 |
Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
24 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
9 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
9 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
2 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
7 Oct 2023 - Bundesliga
8 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga
Union Berlin against Borussia Dortmund Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
M. Raab
DefenderC. Trimmel
A. Markgraf
S. Nsoki
A. Schafer
L. Burcu
D. Preu
D. Bogdanov
O. Burke
A. Meyer
DefenderY. Couto
F. Mane
R. Bensebaini
MidfielderK. Adeyemi
C. Chukwuemeka
A. Anselmino
S. Ozcan
J. Brandt
Missing players
D. Kohn
ForwardR. Skov
M. Sabitzer
M. Kaba
Most goals and assists
Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
O. Burke
(6 Goals)
S. Guirassy
(17 Goals)
A. Ilic
(8 Assists)
J. Ryerson
(15 Assists)
Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund Key Points
- Six of Dortmund’s last nine league games saw both teams score goals.
- Five of Dortmund’s last six away league games, including the last four, saw both teams score goals.
- Union saw both teams score goals in six of their last seven Bundesliga matches.
- Union’s last four home league games have returned BTTS.
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Our Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Union Berlin have stitched together an unbeaten run to move closer to the European qualification places but are still seeking consistency. Their home record shouts three draws from their last five Bundesliga matches, so the next step would be to convert those draws to wins. Doing that against Dortmund could be tough, as the visitors are giving a good account of themselves in the race to be Bayern’s closest challenger!
Dortmund have been patchy on the road, and that’s why our Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Union Berlin Borussia Dortmund
| Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin wins | 3.8 | 3.45 | -9.2% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0% |
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 1.95 | 2.39 | +22.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.4% and is now 29.4% (0.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
