Ukraine vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips - Nations League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Nations League Predictions
Thursday’s second match at the 2026 FIVB Volleyball Nations League will see Ukraine taking on Italy. Three of both these sides’ last four matches have gone beyond three sets, which sees us leaning toward the points market for our main prediction in this one.
After a solid two wins from four in the first week, Ukraine kicked off Week 2 with a massive statement, pulling off an against-the-odds victory over league leaders Brazil 3-1 on Wednesday.
In his first match of this tournament, Oleh Plotnytskyi led the team with an impressive 19 points, followed by Ukraine’s top scorer in the 2026 VNL, Vasyl Tupchii, with 17 points, including two blocks.
Ukraine are now sixth in the standings and 5-5 in their last 10 matches in all competitions. However, they have never beaten this opponent in a competitive matchup.
Meanwhile, Italy moved to the top of the world rankings in the first week after winning three of their four games, but they began Week 2 disappointingly, losing 3-2 to Bulgaria on Wednesday.
Kamil Rychlicki, Mattia Bottolo and Luca Porro have been their most effective players in the competition with 64 points to date, now on 64, 63, and 61 points, respectively.
Italy are one spot above their upcoming opponents in the standings and have won eight of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
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Ukraine v Italy Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.89 | 1.46 |
|
|
2.75 | 1.45 |
|
|
2.75 | 1.45 |
|
|
2.9 | 1.37 |
|
|
2.94 | 1.38 |
|
Ukraine vs Italy Form
Ukraine and Italy's standings in the Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +4 |
|
6
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +3 |
Ukraine and Italy Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
24 Jun 2026 - Nations League
14 Jun 2026 - Nations League
12 Jun 2026 - Nations League
11 Jun 2026 - Nations League
10 Jun 2026 - Nations League
18 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
24 Jun 2026 - Nations League
14 Jun 2026 - Nations League
12 Jun 2026 - Nations League
10 Jun 2026 - Nations League
16 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
14 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
11 Jun 2026 - Nations League
18 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
29 Jun 2025 - Nations League
26 Jun 2025 - Nations League
4 Oct 2023 - Olympic Games, Qual., Intercontinental Gr. B
3 Oct 2023 - Olympic Games, Qual., Intercontinental Gr. B
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
24 Jun 2026 - Nations League
14 Jun 2026 - Nations League
13 Jun 2026 - Nations League
11 Jun 2026 - Nations League
10 Jun 2026 - Nations League
28 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
24 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
18 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
16 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
14 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Nations League
30 Jul 2025 - Nations League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
24 Jun 2026 - Nations League
14 Jun 2026 - Nations League
13 Jun 2026 - Nations League
11 Jun 2026 - Nations League
10 Jun 2026 - Nations League
28 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
Ukraine vs Italy Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
18 Sept 2025 - Volleyball World Championship
17 Jul 2025 - Nations League
3 Oct 2023 - Olympic Games, Qual., Intercontinental Gr. B
Ukraine - Italy Key Points
- Three of Ukraine’s last four games have ended with over 173.5 points.
- Ukraine has only lost one of their last eight games in straight sets.
- Ukraine has only won one of their last nine games in straight sets.
- Five of Italy’s last six games have ended with over 173.5 points.
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Our Ukraine vs Italy Prediction
Italy moved to the top of the world rankings last week and are the clear favourites in this match, but they were well below their best against Bulgaria yesterday, and it will be interesting to see how they respond here.
Ukraine made a massive statement by handing Brazil their first defeat of the 2026 VNL yesterday. They also took Poland to a final set in their last match of Week 1, and we feel they will cause the Italians a fair few problems in this one. Our Ukraine vs Italy prediction is over 173.5 points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
