Troyes vs Paris FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
For the first time in their history, Paris FC and Troyes meet in Ligue 1. The two are penciled to clash on matchday one with Troyes playing host after their promotion. Paris are unbeaten in five meetings with Troyes, and this prediction goes in their favor.
This will be a momentous occasion for Troyes, who were on the brink of dropping to the third tier just two seasons ago. The last two years have been transformational, and after winning the Ligue 2 title, the target here is to stay up.
Troyes will feel ready for this challenge, having posted 14 home wins in Ligue 2 last season. They return to Ligue 1 hoping to change a few things, though, like the fact that they only have one win in their last 11 opening day fixtures.
Paris FC will have at the back of their minds Troyes’ matchday one struggles. They’ll also want to put into consideration that only one of the last five Ligue 2 reigning champions won their opening Ligue 1 game.
With that aside, Paris themselves have done well in this fixture. The visitors carry a five-game unbeaten run against Troyes from their previous Ligue 2 matches. In that run, they won each of the last three.
Those stats plus the fact that they finished last season with five wins in eight outings place Paris rightly as favorites.
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Troyes v Paris FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.05 | 3.55 | 2.33 |
|
|
4.07 | 4.44 | 1.66 |
|
|
3.04 | 3.64 | 2.23 |
|
|
3.04 | 3.64 | 2.23 |
|
|
4.07 | 4.44 | 1.66 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Troyes and Paris FC?
Our prediction for the Troyes vs Paris FC match is: Paris wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/08/2026 between Troyes and Paris FC in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.37% for a win of Troyes against Paris FC with odds of 4.07 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Troyes vs Paris FC is 22.57% with odds of 4.44 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Paris FC vs Troyes with odds of 2.45 at LSbet.
Troyes vs Paris FC Form
Troyes and Paris FC Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 May 2026 - Ligue 2
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 2
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 May 2026 - Ligue 2
25 Apr 2026 - Ligue 2
13 Apr 2026 - Ligue 2
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 2
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Ligue 1
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
Troyes vs Paris FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Feb 2025 - Ligue 2
21 Oct 2024 - Ligue 2
13 Apr 2024 - Ligue 2
28 Oct 2023 - Ligue 2
10 Apr 2021 - Ligue 2
5 Dec 2020 - Ligue 2
Missing players
E. Mbemba
Troyes - Paris FC Key Points
- Troyes lost seven of their last 11 Ligue 1 opening matches.
- Paris won four of their last six league matches.
- Paris won the last three meetings with Troyes.
- Troyes are winless in their last five matches against Paris.
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Our Troyes vs Paris FC Prediction
These two sides meet in Ligue 1 for the first time. Paris will bring on board top-flight experience after their impressive finish last season. That should give them an upper hand, especially as they have dominated recent meetings with Troyes.
Paris posted three straight wins in the latest meetings with Troyes, who have not tasted victory in five such encounters. Having wrapped up last season with five wins in eight games, Paris come here as favorites. Our prediction for Troyes v Paris FC is that Paris wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
