Tromsoe IL vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League

Europe - Conference League

Tromsoe IL
20/08/2026 13:00
Brighton

Prediction :

 

Brighton wins

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Conference League Predictions

Brighton are back in Europe for the second time in the club’s history. They begin their campaign away to Norwegian side Tromsø in the first leg of the UEFA Conference League play-offs on Thursday. With strong pre-season momentum and a significant squad-quality advantage, we are backing the Seagulls to come out on top in our prediction.

Tromsø began their European campaign this season in the Europa League second qualifying round, where they fell 4–1 on aggregate to lowly-rated Czech side Hradec Králové before dropping into the Conference League. 

They defeated CFR Cluj 7–1 on aggregate in the previous round to progress to these play-offs. However, Jørgen Vik’s men head into Thursday's clash on the back of a 3–2 defeat to Molde in the Norwegian Eliteserien at the weekend, meaning they have conceded in five of their last six outings across all competitions. 

Brighton are no pushovers despite heading into their first competitive fixture of the season. The Seagulls proved their readiness for the campaign by winning all three of their pre-season matches against high-quality opposition. At 97th in the UEFA rankings, the Premier League club sit 119 places above Tromsø and boast significantly greater squad depth than the hosts.

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Tromsoe IL v Brighton Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
5.4 4.1 1.54
1xbet
6.11 4.19 1.56
Melbet
6 4.14 1.55
Betwinner
6 4.14 1.55
22bet
6 4.14 1.55
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What is the prediction for the football match between Tromsoe IL and Brighton?

Our prediction for the Tromsoe IL vs Brighton match is: Brighton wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/08/2026 between Tromsoe IL and Brighton in Conference League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.17% for a win of Tromsoe IL against Brighton with odds of 6.11 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tromsoe IL vs Brighton is 16.22% with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 48.6% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Tromsoe IL with odds of 1.65 at Shangrila.

Tromsoe IL vs Brighton Form

Tromsoe IL and Brighton Last Matches

Tromsoe IL
Tromsoe IL Last matches
L L W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

16 Aug 2026 - Eliteserien

Molde
3 :  2
Tromsoe IL

13 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Tromsoe IL
2 :  1
CFR Cluj

6 Aug 2026 - Conference League

CFR Cluj
0 :  5
Tromsoe IL

2 Aug 2026 - Eliteserien

Aalesund
2 :  6
Tromsoe IL

30 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Hradec Kralove
3 :  1
Tromsoe IL

23 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Tromsoe IL
0 :  1
Hradec Kralove
L W D W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Tromsoe IL
2 :  1
CFR Cluj

23 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Tromsoe IL
0 :  1
Hradec Kralove

11 Jul 2026 - Eliteserien

Tromsoe IL
4 :  0
Vålerenga

25 May 2026 - Eliteserien

Tromsoe IL
1 :  1
Aalesund

10 May 2026 - Eliteserien

Tromsoe IL
2 :  0
Molde

29 Apr 2026 - Eliteserien

Tromsoe IL
0 :  5
SK Brann
D W L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

16 Aug 2026 - Eliteserien

Molde
3 :  2
Tromsoe IL

6 Aug 2026 - Conference League

CFR Cluj
0 :  5
Tromsoe IL

2 Aug 2026 - Eliteserien

Aalesund
2 :  6
Tromsoe IL

30 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Hradec Kralove
3 :  1
Tromsoe IL

18 Jul 2026 - Eliteserien

HamKam
1 :  4
Tromsoe IL

29 May 2026 - Eliteserien

KFUM Oslo
0 :  0
Tromsoe IL
Brighton
Brighton Last matches
W L L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
1 :  0
Bologna

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
3 :  0
Roma

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
4 :  3
Strasbourg

24 May 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  3
Manchester United

17 May 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Brighton

9 May 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Wolves
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
1 :  0
Bologna

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
3 :  0
Roma

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
4 :  3
Strasbourg

24 May 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  3
Manchester United

9 May 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Wolves

21 Apr 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Chelsea
W W W D L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

17 May 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Brighton

2 May 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  1
Brighton

18 Apr 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  2
Brighton

11 Apr 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Brighton

14 Mar 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  1
Brighton

21 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  2
Brighton
Tromsoe IL vs Brighton Prediction

Missing players

Tromsoe IL
Tromsoe IL
Brighton
Brighton
Defender

P. Struijk

Midfielder

K. Mitoma

C. Baleba

Forward

E. Ferguson

Y. Minteh

S. Tzimas

Tromsoe IL - Brighton Key Points

  1. Tromso lost their last competitive match and have conceded in five of their last six outings.
  2. Tromsø have lost two of their four European matches this season, conceding in three.
  3. Brighton have won their last three matches against top-level opposition.
  4. Brighton are 119 places above Tromso and boast significant squad depth than the hosts.
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Our Tromsoe IL vs Brighton Prediction

Despite playing at home, Tromsø head into Thursday's clash as underdogs, and rightly so given the gap in quality between the two sides. Their unconvincing European campaign this season, which has produced two losses in four outings and exposed weaknesses at the back, further strengthens our doubts.

Brighton have shown enough to suggest they are in a strong position to win this match despite it being their first competitive fixture of the season. They are leagues above Tromsø and arrive with a perfect three-win record against top-level opponents in pre-season. Our Tromsø vs Brighton prediction: Brighton wins.

Prediction :

 

Brighton wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.